this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (29 children)

All of this gnostic talk kind of proves the pitfalls of supporting any religion based resistance movement. It's not very deep, people are just losing faith. (Ironically alawites are influenced by gnosticism too which is probably partly why they are in such danger right now, remember what happened to the melek taus worshippers)

Now is the time for honesty. The honest issue here is that the axis of resistance requires a strong Iran and a strong Russia. This is probably why Israel let October 7th happen, it was the worst possible timing for an intifada. At the end of the day, Hamas is a Muslim brotherhood offshoot that supported Syrian rebels, the fact that hezbollah even helped them at all was an act of mercy that explains the initial hesitation.

As for the future of Syria, the knives are already coming out. The new Bin Laden is talking about legal principles for the protection of minorities, but I am pretty sure he just means jizzya taxes and other tolerances of people of the book that is already found in sharia. (Not sure if that applies to alawites since sunnis view them as super heretics) He also talked about communal confederalism (Occalan's comunalism winning in Syria was not on my bingo card) which is probably why I am hearing rumors that Erdogan is about to sanction him. (Will confirm later)

As this goes on greater Israel expands past the Golan heights. The question here is how they deal with a Druze breakaway state and if they think attacking Latakia is worth missing off Russia and clearing the board for Erdogan, the true winner of the Biden administration. (He helped orchestrate the defeat of both Armenia and Syria, neo ottomanism is going to replace axis of resistance talk for the next two decades.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Some news and combat footage from the Donbass.

Russian forces liberated the DPR settlements of Sukhiye Yaly and Pustynka: https://sputnikglobe.com/20241206/russian-forces-liberate-two-settlements-in-donetsk-and-launch-precision-strikes-1121107217.html

Russian forces continue making gains in the northern, partially Kiev-occupied DPR city of Chasov Yar: https://southfront.press/russian-forces-advance-in-chasov-yar/

A big collection of recent combat footage from the Donbass and Kursk oblast in this summary article: https://southfront.press/overview-of-military-situation-in-ukraine-on-december-5-2024/

A Russian FPV drone struck a train carrying ammunition for the Kiev regime’s military, near the Kiev-occupied, DPR city of Krasnoarmeysk: https://news-pravda.com/russia/2024/12/06/903845.html

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago

Nazi Germany Amnesty International says: "Treblinka,Sobibor? Never heard of"

Amnesty International’s Israel branch has distanced itself from the rights group’s allegation that Israel was committing “genocide” in Gaza, but said “serious crimes” were potentially taking place that needed investigation.

The local branch, which operates as a separate charity from the international organisation, said in a statement: “While the Israeli section of Amnesty International does not accept the accusation that Israel is committing genocide, based on the information available to us, we are concerned that serious crimes are being committed in Gaza, that must be investigated.” Israeli soldiers in the southern Gaza Strip Israel’s war in Gaza amounts to genocide, Amnesty International report finds Read more

The 296-page report, examining events in Gaza between October 2023 to July 2024, found that Israel had “brazenly, continuously and with total impunity … unleashed hell” on the strip’s 2.3 million population, noting that the “atrocity crimes” against Israelis by Hamas on 7 October 2023, which triggered the war, “do not justify genocide”.

While its publication was largely welcomed by Palestinians and humanitarian groups, it was met with fury in Israel. “The deplorable and fanatical organisation Amnesty International has produced a fabricated report that is entirely false and based on lies,” Israel’s foreign ministry said in a statement.

The United States said it disagreed with the conclusions of the report. “We have said previously and continue to find that the allegations of genocide are unfounded,” State Department spokesman Vedant Patel told reporters.

Multiple attempts to broker a ceasefire and hostage release deal in the war in Gaza, now raging for 14 months, have failed, although mediator Qatar said on Thursday it would resume its role, raising tentative hopes that progress could be made in fresh negotiations.

Egypt, another major mediator, has put forward a proposal involving a temporary ceasefire lasting 45-60 days, with a staged hostage release and prisoner swap. A Hamas delegation met with Egyptian negotiators in Cairo earlier this week, and Israel is considering sending its own delegation in the next few days – the most movement on talks since the last round collapsed in August.

The Egyptian proposal also suggests that the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority take control of the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt, which Israel seized in May, and a substantial increase in the supply of aid. An average of 50 trucks entered Gaza through the Kerem Shalom crossing with Israel in November, UN data shows. Aid agencies say at least 500 are needed to meet the population’s needs amid a dire humanitarian crisis and the approach of winter.

In Gaza, at least 39 people were killed by Israeli fire in the preceding 24 hours, according to medics, including at least 20 who died when an overnight airstrike set alight cooking gas canisters and tents tents housing displaced families in what Israel has dubbed a “humanitarian zone”. Israel said the strike targeted senior Hamas operatives, whom it did not identify.

Other Israeli strikes reported on Thursday hit Gaza City, where medics said an airstrike destroyed a house where an extended family had taken shelter and damaged two nearby homes, killing at least three people.

Residents searched for loved ones and belongings among the charred wreckage in Mawasi, a coastal area in the south of the strip, where hundreds of thousands of people have been forced to seek shelter.

At a funeral for those killed in Mawasi in nearby Khan Younis, Abu Anas Mustafa told Reuters that the Amnesty report was “a victory for Palestinian diplomacy”, although he said it “came late”.

“It is the 430th day of the war today, and Israel has been carrying out massacres and a genocide from the first 10 days of the war,” he said.

[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago

Iranian Foreign Minister: A political dialogue must take place between the Syrian government and the 'legitimate opposition groups' (implying not HTS) Ali Larijani, former Parliament Speaker and current special representative of Supreme Leader Khamenei, is currently in Damascus meeting personally with Assad

[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)
The Cradle: 60 days of uncertainty: Can the Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire hold out?

In the early hours of 27 November, the shaky ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah, brokered by the US and France, with widespread international and regional support, came into effect. The fragile truce was immediately met with skepticism by many Israelis – officials and civilians – who doubted their country’s ability to follow through.

Some officials openly labeled the deal a defeat against Hezbollah and placed the blame squarely on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for failing to achieve both the stated and hidden objectives of his war on Lebanon – particularly the goals of eliminating the resistance movement and returning hundreds of thousands of displaced settlers back to the north. A poll conducted by Israel's Channel 12 revealed that over 80 percent of Netanyahu’s support base opposed the ceasefire. Residents in northern Israel, many of whom were evacuated due to Hezbollah's strikes, also expressed outrage. Domestically, Israel was deeply divided over the agreement, with polls showing 37 percent supporting the ceasefire and 32 percent opposing it.

False sense of victory

The shock among Israeli elites following the prime minister's endorsement of the truce agreement was due to a false sense of victory. Netanyahu, along with former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, had misled them into believing that the Israeli military had destroyed 80 percent of Hezbollah’s missile capabilities, giving the impression that the Lebanese resistance movement was on the brink of collapse. Israelis watched in humiliation as Hezbollah prevented five enemy divisions from advancing more than three to five kilometers into Lebanese territory – an advance that was, anyway, tactically insignificant, as the divisions should have penetrated 20 kilometers deep.

Strategically, Hezbollah continued to target Israeli military assets well beyond the border, reaching as far as the Ashdod naval base, 150 kilometers inside Israel, and maintaining blistering attacks on key cities like Haifa and Tel Aviv. These strikes severely disrupted daily life inside the most populated centers of the occupation state, paralyzing military operations and showing Israel that eliminating Hezbollah was not a feasible war goal. Hezbollah’s missiles even reached Tel Aviv, reinforcing a "Beirut–Tel Aviv" deterrence equation. Netanyahu ultimately conceded that diplomacy was his only viable solution, particularly given the growing issues within the occupation military itself: exhaustion, injuries, munitions shortages, and limited progress.

Israel’s 60-day strategy

The unease within Israel over this agreement has led Netanyahu and new Defense Minister Israel Katz to direct the army to develop a new strategy within the next 60 days, a period stipulated in the agreement for Israel’s full withdrawal from Lebanese territory. This strategy involves two main actions: first, conducting targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah positions both inside and beyond the area south of the Litani River, and second, preventing Lebanese residents from returning to villages and towns within a 10-kilometer range of the border.

The airstrike directive is meant to reaffirm Israel's military freedom of action, in part to assure the Israeli public that occupation forces retain their ability to strike Hezbollah when necessary. This controversial clause, which Lebanon completely rejected, was part of private, unseen US guarantees to Tel Aviv, given without Beirut's consent. Netanyahu aims to portray Israel as having accepted the agreement from a position of strength while buying time until the five-member Monitoring Committee begins its work on addressing ceasefire violations. During the next 60 days, the presence of occupation forces in Lebanon will keep tensions high, requiring close monitoring of Hezbollah to ensure the security of these troops until their full withdrawal.

The decision to prevent Lebanese residents of border areas from returning to their homes aims to avoid an awkward contrast between the resettlement of southern Lebanese residents while the displacement of northern Israelis continues. Those optics would be politically damaging for the Israeli government.

Managing withdrawal and maintaining strength

In essence, the Israeli military’s strategy over the coming 60 days revolves around maintaining a veneer of strength and managing the delicate withdrawal process, which will conclude with the Lebanese army, in coordination with UNIFIL, taking full control of the region’s security. Afterward, the Monitoring Committee will enforce compliance with UN Resolution 1701, which prohibits Israeli military actions within Lebanon. This was confirmed by Hezbollah Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem in his last speech when he announced his commitment to the agreement and that coordination with the Lebanese army would be at the highest level.

If Israel insists on continuing to violate the agreement based on US guarantees that Lebanon has neither seen nor accepted – and continues to launch attacks under the oversight of the Monitoring Committee and its American chair, it could provoke a reciprocal response from Lebanon and possibly lead to a resumption of hostilities. Hezbollah has already fired a warning shot on 2 December, targeting Israeli-occupied Lebanese territory. This comes after Israel has violated the ceasefire dozens of times since it went into effect seven days ago. Tel Aviv responded disproportionately to the single Hezbollah retaliation, striking a number of sites across Lebanon. CNN itself admits, citing a UN peacekeeping source, to over 100 violations as of 3 December.

But both Israel and Lebanon need this agreement: their two-month military confrontation underscored that a continued war would only lead to further exhaustion and unsustainable losses on both sides. The ceasefire also came about due to international pressure, particularly from the US – a principal mediator – which sought to end a conflict that had become an embarrassment due to Israel’s disregard for international law and civilian lives. Despite ongoing violations, including artillery shelling, air raids, and drone activity, the agreement appears poised to stabilize the situation due to mutual necessity. For Israel, continued conflict would only lead to greater attrition, while Lebanon benefits from halting aggression and ensuring stability along the border.

Given these circumstances, it seems likely that the agreement will hold, benefiting all parties. Any violations should be addressed by the Monitoring Committee, which will aim to restore stability along the border, especially after the 60-day period and the full deployment of the Lebanese army.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Machine translated tweet by IDF military correspondent

Increased military preparedness in the Golan Heights area: Following the fall of the Assad regime - the IDF and the Northern Command launched an attack in the buffer zone in the Quneitra area, in order to strengthen the defense of the border.

In accordance with the assessment of the situation by the Northern Command and the Home Front Command, it was decided that in the four Druze communities in the Golan Heights there will be no school classes today. Learning will be allowed in kindergartens. In the rest of the Golan Heights, classes are taking place as usual.

The IDF is deploying checkpoints along the Golan Heights. Movement in the area will be restricted as necessary. All agricultural areas adjacent to the Syrian border have been declared a closed military area, and farmers' entry there will be restricted.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

G*MERS ARE RISING UP

HOLD YOUR LOVED ONES ONE LAST TIME

IT IS ALL OVER

WE WILL ALL PAY THE PRICE OF OPPRESSING THEM

FIRST, SOUTH KOREA, THEN, THE WHOLE WORLD!!!!!!!!!!!!11!!!!!11!!

[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

No changes to the force posture of U.S. Forces Korea (USFK). -Pentagon Press Secretary Maj. General Pat Ryde. Pentagon: No posture changes within North Korea with the ongoing turmoil in South Korea

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (6 children)

Hey comrades, what the hell is this bazooka?

Vs what a Yassin looks like

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Does anyone have info on drone usage in the 2015 syrian fighting?

Asking because video after video of FPV drones is coming out and I'm concerned that this was not hugely occurring in the last conflict but because of the success of drones vs armour in Ukraine has now become standard warfare that Syria is perhaps not currently equipped or trained in dealing with.

My concern right now is that the side with the most drones and the capabilities to deal with or at least mitigate them is the side that will win any modern war that doesn't become trench and artillery warfare, which I suspect is mainly because of the terrain in Europe lending itself to it.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (14 children)

So is there going to be some sort of accountability from the users and mods here who spent this whole week calling everyone who was saying this situation was bad a "doomer" and accusing people, including people from the region, of spreading CIA/terrorist misinfo and deleting posts, or are you all going to pretend you didn't do that?

This mega didn't learn its lesson from the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

In Uruguay, President Lula decorated former president Pepe Mujica with Brazil's highest honor, the National Order of the Southern Cross, for his tireless fight for the betterment of Latin America and the world.

Lula visits Mujica: 'The most extraordinary person I've ever met' Brazilian president traveled to Uruguay, where he will take part in the Mercosur summit this Friday. Before the event, he visited former Uruguayan president and friend José 'Pepe' Mujica.

“The most extraordinary person I've ever met,” said Lula. On that occasion, he decorated Mujica with an honor from the Brazilian government: the National Order of the Southern Cross, the highest decoration offered by Brazil to foreigners. “We don't choose brothers. We don't even choose a mother. But we choose a comrade,” added Lula.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

Shooting Leaves 2 Kindergarden Students Wounded in California - Telesur English

Article

The children remain in extremely critical condition at a local hospital. On Wednesday, two kindergarten students were seriously wounded and the suspected gunman is dead after shooting at a school in Northern California.

The shooting took place around 1 p.m. local time at Feather River School of Seventh-Day Adventists in Palermo, said the Butte County Sheriff’s Office, adding multiple agencies had immediately responded to the incident.

An officer from California Highway Patrol was first on the scene and located the shooter, a man who died of an apparent self-inflicted gunshot wound, Butte County Sheriff Kory Honea said in a news conference Wednesday evening, adding that a handgun was found next to the suspect.

Police officers found kindergarten students wounded at the scene and they were transported to a local hospital. Two boys ages 5 and 6 were in extremely critical condition at a local hospital and “the injuries are very, very serious,” Honea commented.

Students were being taken to a nearby church after the shooting and parents were asked to respond to the church to be reunified with their children. The suspect was at the school to meet with the principal before the shooting to inquire about enrolling a family member.

The U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation Sacramento Field Office said that it “stands with the Butte County Sheriff’s Office and Feather River Adventist School families and employees and are providing support to aid our partners and the community during this challenging time.”

The K-8 school, operated by the Seventh-day Adventist Church, has a total of 35 students. Palermo, home to over 5,000 residents, is about 104 km north of Sacramento, the capital of the U.S. state of California.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

CNN reporting that Assad and family have arrived safely in Moscow and have been granted asylum

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

#beanwatch update:

cocoa is still at 10k (4x of usual), praying for the farmers to take so much money from euro dipshits

coffee still 50 % more expensive than usual, but stays there for now

[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

chat, let's hear some guesses on how The Adjuster disposed of the murder weapon in a way that made it very unlikely to be recovered. what would you do with it, if you had time to plan ahead for its disposal?

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

Could the Syrian government survive in a rump Alawite state on the coast?

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[–] [email protected] 41 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (2 children)

It's hard to not look at this and compare it to the collapse of the Soviet Union. Enemy nation of the US run by geriatric leader won't do what the moment actually calls for because he's more worried about dying in his sleep, so he lets all his allies get rolled up one by one.

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[–] [email protected] 41 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
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