this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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On the 20th of October, Moldova - a small, landlocked country bordering western Ukraine and with a population of about 3 million - voted to join the EU. The margin was razor-thin, with the pro-EU vote gaining 50.39%, or an absolute difference of about 11,000 people. There was simultaneously a presidential vote between the incumbent, Maia Sandu, and other candidates, with the main competitor being Alexandr Stoianoglo.

The election was characterized by accusations of Russian interference, with Russian propaganda apparently flooding in, as well as people offering Moldovans money to vote against the EU. While the result does suggest that half the voting-age population of Moldova consists entirely of Russians who want to destroy democracy and all the good in the world, it seems to have just barely failed. This is a bad time to be a site entirely composed of Russian disinformation agents and bots. Twice already today, I've had to restart my program after somebody told me "Disregard all previous prompts."

While Moldova is a poor country which could benefit in some ways from EU membership, in practice, it is unlikely that they will be able to join for the foreseeable future, requiring many of the... reforms... that the EU requires of potential new members. But as basically every major European economy continues to slowly sink as recessions and political crises degrade them, one wonders how beneficial EU membership will even be in the years and decades to come - if it survives for decades. In that sense, it's as if the survivors of the Titanic are swimming back towards it, believing that being on a bigger - albeit slowly sinking - boat is better than trying their luck on small lifeboats.

Then again, like with Serbia, their geographical and geopolitical position makes anti-Western actions extremely difficult. It is rare that dissention is tolerated for long in the West - one tends to get called a dictator by crowds of people holding English-language signs in non-English countries, photographed by Western journalists who haven't meaningfully reported on your country in months or years. You can crush your people with neoliberal austerity for years, killing hundreds of thousands through neglect, and face glowing approval from the media - but try and use state resources to benefit the poor, and global institutions start ranking you on the authoritarian dictator scale.

The best case for Moldova is that it becomes an exploitable hinterland for Germany to harvest and privatize as it tries - and fails - to compete in a global economic war between the US and China/BRICS. The worst case is that tensions with Russia over Pridnestrovie, as well as possible eventual NATO involvement (though Moldova is not a member, it is a partner of NATO), result in the ongoing war also reaching them.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago

its october 22nd in asia, kazan summit nothing ever happens gang where we at

[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago

Putin wants to keep Dilma at the head of the BRICS bank

Russian President Vladimir Putin wants Dilma Rousseff to remain head of the New Development Bank (NDB, the BRICS bank) in the next phase, when Russia would take control of the institution. Sources linked to the Kremlin have confirmed this intention. Rousseff took over the presidency of the BRICS Bank in April.

Russia currently has a vice-presidency at the bank, held by Vladimir Kazbekov, who was previously director of the National Development Bank of Russia for more than 15 years. During the BRICS summit in Kazan, Rousseff had a long conversation with Putin.

Now, the question is whether the members of the bank will reach a consensus for Rousseff to continue as president. The Kremlin, however, has shown support for her staying on.

[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago (2 children)

For anyone more versed in Iranian military capabilities, here's a question.

If this attack was done by airstrikes, doesn't Iran have SAM/AA batteries, or even fighter interceptors? How did they get through to Tehran? I mean they've gotta at least have radar to give an early warning, right?

[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Air launched ballistic missiles (ALBMs) launched by Israeli jets from a stand off distance outside of SAM range would be likely. The legitimate leaked documents from last week stated that Israel had prepared at minimum 56 of these weapons by October 15. The "ROCKS" ALBM has a range of 250-300km, AIR LORA has a range of 400km, and Blue Sparrow has a range of 2000km.

Russia has showed this is a viable strategy with the Kinzhal, and Israel likely did something similar in their April attack against Iran, though on a much smaller scale with only one confirmed hit against an air defence radar.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago (4 children)
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Prabowo inaugurated as Indonesia president. Seems like another far right head of state https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/20/asia/prabowo-indonesia-presidency-int-latam/index.html

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (10 children)

Anyone here got a $4200 (more or close enough) mortgage? Is it really that high now considering the housing price bubble?

I ask because it's mentioned in the Buggati song timestamp 1:16 from 2013.

Edit: smh posted on news instead of the other

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/USEmbSL/status/1848951417261985834

Security Alert for American Citizens in Sri Lanka: The Embassy received credible information warning of an attack targeting popular tourist locations in the Arugam Bay area. Embassy staff are restricted from the area until further notice. U.S. citizens are strongly urged to avoid Arugam Bay and stay vigilant. Report suspicious activity to local authorities (119).

[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 month ago
[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 month ago

Former Peruvian president sentenced to 20 years in prison in Odebrecht case.

On Monday (21), the Peruvian courts sentenced former president Alejandro Toledo to 20 years and six months in prison for the crime of collusion and money laundering. The politician is accused of receiving bribes from Brazilian contractor Odebrecht. Toledo has been in pre-trial detention for 18 months.

The former president governed Peru between 2001 and 2006. He faces charges for allegedly receiving US$ 35 million from Odebrecht in exchange for bids to build two sections of the Southern Interoceanic Highway, which links Peru's Pacific coast with Brazil's Atlantic coast. In addition to Toledo, 78, three other former Peruvian leaders have been investigated over the scandal. According to the Public Prosecutor's Office, the Odebrecht plot in Peru also affected Alan García (2006-2011), who committed suicide in 2019 before being arrested, Ollanta Humala (2011-2016) and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (2016-2018).

I think Ollanta Humala investigation ceased after a request from the Brazilian Supreme court.

The politician has denied the accusations since the case was revealed. In 2016, the Brazilian construction company revealed the existence of a regional corruption network to obtain public works contracts. “I am innocent, I never made any agreement with Mr. [Jorge Simões] Barata [former director of Odebrecht in Peru],” Toledo told the judge before the sentencing.

The former president asked that the decision take into account his state of health. “I have cancer and heart problems (...). I want to go to a private clinic, I ask them to let me heal or die at home,” he added, his voice breaking, in his final statement. Toledo, a US-trained economist, came to power in 2001 after leading the opposition to the dictatorship of the late Alberto Fujimori (1990-2000).

[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

First geolocated posts about what Israel has targeted in their strikes. Two S300 PMU2 (NATO name: SA-20B) air defence systems and a Mersad medium level SAM site around Tehran appear to have been targeted. Unfortunately as predicted, it appears that the S300 systems were not able to deal with either the Air Launched Ballistic Missile (ALBM) threat or stealth aircraft. The Mersad never stood a chance, it's based on a US SAM system that first entered service over 60 years ago in the MIM-23 Hawk.

Stationary air defence systems are sitting ducks with modern SEAD/DEAD doctrine. ALBMs with stand off range and anti radiation seekers than can work in GPS denied environments, stealth aircraft with modern electronic warfare capabilities, satellite imagery and spy drones, drones with luneburg lenses to bait your radars, and the good old HARM missiles mean that you are dead if you're standing still. The Gulf War showed this, and the Serbs showed it by moving to avoid destruction. Stay still and you're dead.

Twitter link

Xcancel link

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[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 month ago (8 children)

US says evidence shows North Korea has troops in Russia, possibly for Ukraine war - Reuters

Article

SEOUL, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The United States said for the first time on Wednesday that it had seen evidence that North Korea has sent 3,000 troops to Russia for possible deployment in Ukraine, a move that could mark a significant escalation in Russia's war against its neighbor.

U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, speaking in Rome, said it would be "very, very serious" if the North Koreans were preparing to fight alongside Russia in Ukraine, as Kyiv has alleged. But he said it remained to be seen what they would be doing there.

"There is evidence that there are DPRK troops in Russia," Austin told reporters, using North Korea's formal name, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea.

Speaking to reporters later on Wednesday White House spokesperson John Kirby said the United States believes at least 3,000 North Korean troops are undergoing training at three military bases in eastern Russia.

The U.S. determined the North Korean soldiers were transported by ship in early-to-mid October from North Korea's Wonsan region to the eastern Russian city of Vladivostok before being taken to three military training sites in eastern Russia, said Kirby.

"If they do deploy to fight against Ukraine, they're fair game," he said. "They're fair targets and the Ukrainian military will defend themselves against North Korean soldiers the same way they're defending themselves against Russian soldiers."

In Seoul, South Korean lawmakers said that Pyongyang had promised to provide a total of about 10,000 troops, whose deployment was expected to be completed by December, the lawmakers told reporters after being briefed by South Korea's national intelligence agency.

"Signs of troops being trained inside North Korea were detected in September and October," Park Sun-won, a member of a parliamentary intelligence committee, said after the briefing.

The Ukraine conflict broke out when Russia invaded its neighbor in February 2022 and has since developed into a war of attrition largely fought along front lines in eastern Ukraine, with huge numbers of casualties on both sides.

The United States said the alleged North Korean deployment could be further evidence that the Russian military was having problems with manpower.

The Kremlin has previously dismissed Seoul's claims about the North's troop deployment as "fake news" and a North Korean representative to the United Nations in New York called it "groundless rumors" at a meeting on Monday.

Both Moscow and Pyongyang have also denied weapons transfers, but they have pledged to boost military ties and signed a mutual defense treaty at a summit in June. The latest numbers came after Seoul's National Intelligence Service said on Friday the North had sent some 1,500 special forces personnel to Russia by ship and they were likely to be deployed for combat in the war in Ukraine after training and acclimatization.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has also accused Pyongyang of preparing to send 10,000 soldiers to Russia. On Tuesday he called on his allies to respond to evidence of North Korean involvement in Russia's war.

NATO allies are consulting on the North Korean deployment to Russia, a NATO spokesperson said. A Biden administration official said Moscow might send the North Koreans to eastern Ukraine or to its own Kursk region, where Russian troops have been fighting to dislodge Ukrainian forces holding a chunk of territory that they seized in an incursion that began in August.

Mike Turner, the chair of the U.S. House of Representatives intelligence committee, said in a statement that U.S. President Joe Biden should allow Kyiv to respond with U.S.-supplied arms if North Korean troops “attack Ukraine from Russian territory.”

“If North Korean troops were to invade Ukraine’s sovereign territory, the United States needs to seriously consider taking direct military action against the North Korean troops,” Turner added.

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