[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 5 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

Base money includes some of the Government liabilities like bank notes, coins, settlement balances (also known as reserves which are balances held by commercial banks at Central Bank used to settle payments between banks). It does not include Government bonds.

More importantly, it doesn't include bank loans. Commercial banks create money too, they use leverage to create bank loans in excess of liquid assets they have which creates bank deposits (bank money). This is called endogenous money. And this bank money is special in that it is 'money', Government accepts it to settle debts you owe to it (eg. taxes, fees, fines), contracts are also largely enforced in bank money (you cannot buy a house with cash in many countries for instance, you can with bank money).

Another thing, bank money is also freely convertible to base money at par ($1 of bank money = $1 of base money). The Central Bank makes sure that's the case so there are no run on banks, when you make a transfer from one bank to another, base money is used (aforementioned settlement balances), you also convert bank money to Government's by withdrawing cash (since that's a Govt liability). If there is a system wide shortage of settlement balances, the Central Bank must provide it else risk payments system failing at the extreme.

Given that bank money is freely convertible to base money, that bank money is created well in excess of base money (due to leverage), and that the base money is convertible without capital controls to USD (for example), the 'currency board' cannot guarantee convertibility to US Dollars in a mechanical sense. The usual claim that currency boards cannot be broken isn't true.

Raising interest rates is a way to keep people from exchanging base money for foreign currency, acts as a sort of an incentive. This cannot work in the extreme, e.g. Russia in the 90s where Central Bank raised rates to triple digits, paying out billions in Rubles which were convertible to US Dollars.

Of course, this doesn't apply if your currency floats, in this case any intervention becomes discretionary.

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 7 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

Issue is trade is only a small component of balancing international payments. UAE has no capital controls, so anyone can swap Dirham for Dollar freely, and their Central Bank must defend the rate they set. It's basically a money laundering haven so...

See

I would expand the third point is even more complicated and it's not just independent monetary policy but also independent fiscal policy you have to give up. At the extreme, no matter how high the interest rate is, a peg cannot be defended without running out of reserves. Basically you cannot:

  1. Provide absolute promise to provide a fixed rate for converting local currency to another. (fixed exchange rates)
  2. Provide convertibility in unlimited amounts. (no capital controls)
  3. Unconstrained (Gov spending and bank credit creation) creation of domestic money convertible into foreign currency i.e. demand to convert domestic money into foreign currency does not exceed the system’s capacity.

All at once. UAE does so because its reserves are so large attacking the peg is very difficult and usually impractical but mechanically the peg is theoretically breakable, even currency boards like Hong Kong are (they only back base money, not all money). So credibility matters a lot.

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 33 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

Really don't see how that'll solve their problem which is that their currency peg is under pressure? Unless China provides their own currency swap arrangement or loan to UAE.

Devaluation must be really scary thing for them considering how long they've held their $1=3.67 Dirham parity. Everyone has planned and expected that rate. Abandoning it is much riskier for UAE than some settlement being done in Yuan for the US.

That said, UAE has trillions in Dollar denominated assets in their SWF, just that it's mostly in illiquid assets seeking higher returns.

I think it's more about liquidity and credibility than actual "UAE being broke" issue. Credibility also matters, if UAE starts selling assets to maintain peg, it'll create speculative pressure which will further increase outflows. A currency swap arrangement is generally good market optics.

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 75 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago)

IMF approves second review of agreement with Argentina and disburses another billion dollars

https://elpais.com/argentina/2026-04-15/el-fmi-aprueba-la-segunda-revision-del-acuerdo-con-argentina-y-desembolsa-otros-1000-millones-de-dolares.html

Basically another capital flight and treat subsidy. Much of which will go into paying existing debt ponzi.

Let's see how long this can continue before the Peso must collapse.

U.S. House of Companies in Argentina (AmCham). “We will continue to cut public spending to continue lowering taxes because taxes are a theft [...] We will take all the pesos off the street until the inflation rate collapses [...] We will not give up an iota in monetary policy, we will not give up an iota in continuing to deregulate,” he said. “We’re going to tie ourselves to the ship’s stick, we’re not going to listen to the siren songs.”

  1. Tax cut increases pesos in circulation.
  2. 30% interest rates increases pesos in circulation, it literally increases the fiscal deficit.
  3. They want taxes on workers but not themselves, since otherwise fiscal deficit goes toward infinity as % of revenue. In fact, they want workers to be in debt to private banks so they can pay taxes and other debts.

Both tax cuts for rich and interest payments are wasteful spending going into hoards or leaking into imports.

Really don't see a way out for Argentina unless they default on all their foreign currency debt and float the Peso, like actually float it, not pretend float since the latter forces Government to accommodate private demand for foreign currency. Then only can they raise socially useful spending.

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 16 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

The Iran war external shock really hurting the Gov's popularity. Cooking gas has become unaffordable or unavailable for the poor.

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 24 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Even ignoring all of it, SPD is a shitty neoliberal party now. :P

Are communists responsible for that too?

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 18 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Yeah it'll be a very interesting form of capitalism. Corps exist to turn money into more money. Since the state is now a biz, it can't run deficits/losses anymore. This implies no one will have any money since taxes > spending permanently. This can only be sustainable if profits are generated externally from foreign sector. But this also means not all countries can run profits.

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 30 points 5 days ago

Cortisol spike moment

[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 62 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

J street plan is bullshit

Israel doesn't need aid from the US because they transformed their economy in the 2000s, into exporting services. Netanyahu and others know this. Cutting off some transfers is just a way to to prevent excess appreciation of shekel naturally without Bank of Israel having to buy up excess $.

In other words, where many global south countries struggle to obtain Dollars, Israel has too much of it.

By cutting off only the aid part, Israel can reduce the bad optics of being a parasite all while avoiding being accused of mercantilism.

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God, capitalism is so stupid.

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submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by FuckyWucky@hexbear.net to c/slop@hexbear.net

ARTICLE

The disruption stirred by the US president’s visit is nothing new for Ford. The carmaker last month took a $19.5bn writedown as it scrapped production of its flagship F-150 all-electric pick-up truck after Trump’s crackdown on the green initiatives championed by his predecessor, Joe Biden.

Since returning to the White House last year, Trump has upended entire industries without warning, as he takes the most interventionist approach to business of any president in recent history, executives say.

Trump’s announcement just after 2026 began that the US would take control of Venezuela’s oil industry sent shares in American refiners soaring on the prospect of a flood of fresh crude. But it also stung executives in the US shale patch, who were already worrying about low crude prices.

Even comments on social media can shake corporate behemoths: a Truth Social threat last week to ban large investors from buying single-family homes sent homebuilder shares tumbling, while a proposed cap on credit card rates knocked Visa, American Express and shares in some big banks.

Trump’s reach also extended to the $11tn mortgage bond market: he nudged borrowing costs lower earlier this month with a post announcing plans for a $200bn asset purchase programme.

“Maga has gone Maoist. It is state capitalism. It is not remotely conservative,” said Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a Yale professor and author of Trump’s Ten Commandments, a book on how executives can manage the president’s diktats.

Conscious of the risks in provoking the president’s wrath, only a few executives at America’s biggest corporations have dared defy him.

ExxonMobil boss Darren Woods last week shrugged off Trump’s calls for drillers to pump billions of dollars into Venezuela, calling the country “uninvestable” at a White House meeting featuring the president, other senior officials and more than a dozen oil executives.

JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon similarly hit Trump with a barb this week, when he said attacks on Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell could raise interest rates and inflation.

Both Dimon and Woods faced swift rebukes from a president who has shown a strong willingness to express his views about corporate America.

Industry leaders say the events of recent weeks are a taste of what is to come, with Trump’s increasingly imperious approach likely to intensify in 2026 — with enormous consequences for US business.

“This year is going to be a very turbulent one until the [November] midterms,” said the chief executive of a Wall Street bank. “We are going to have the most activist year of his presidency and we are all ready for it.”

Executives say the list of flashpoints is likely to widen. After Venezuela, advisers point to Greenland, long coveted by Trump for its strategic location and mineral resources, as a possible next target, a prospect that has already drawn the attention of energy and mining companies.

For corporate bosses, much often comes down to their ability to build personal relationships with Trump or woo him with splashy commitments.

“Trump is a president like no other,” said a lobbyist with decades of experience advising chief executives dealing with US administrations. “Some see a fascist or an autocrat, others a benevolent dictator or even a genius. Whatever the view, a blunt lesson has taken hold in boardrooms: standing up to Trump is usually a losing strategy.”

Privately, several executives concede they have little appetite for kowtowing to Trump. But advisers say a pragmatic playbook has emerged: show up, make a promise grand enough to flatter the president, and then do as little as possible until his attention shifts elsewhere.

A senior banker, who said Trump officials disliked him for his political views, admitted many CEOs preferred to stay silent because, despite the administration’s disruptive approach, the economy remained strong and stock prices broadly rallied across sectors to record levels after an initial sell-off triggered by the president’s trade war, which was later scaled back.

The president’s “One, Big Beautiful Bill Act”, which was passed late last year, has also delivered a tax windfall for many companies.

A template for courting Trump emerged at a White House dinner in September where tech chiefs, including Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai and Apple’s Tim Cook, vied to pledge tens of billions of dollars in US investment.

Zuckerberg went furthest, telling Trump he would spend “something like, at least $600bn” through 2028, drawing praise from the president — before later being caught on a hot mic apologising that he “wasn’t sure what number you wanted to go with”.

The episode, executives and advisers said, underscored a lesson many had since internalised: under Trump, optics matter more than precision, and public deference often counts for more than binding commitments.

That approach, however, has not always worked.

Korean auto giant Hyundai’s chair, Chung Eui-sun, was appearing with Trump in the White House in March last year to announce an increase in the group’s total investment in the US to $21bn between 2025 and 2028.

The gesture was praised by Trump but it failed to protect Hyundai or South Korea from steep auto tariffs of 25 per cent imposed by the president two days later, while a battery plant being built by Hyundai and LG in the state of Georgia was raided by US immigration officials in September.

A top adviser to CEOs of America’s largest corporations said that despite the risk of a backlash, some of his clients felt it was their duty to country as well as shareholders and employees to use their company’s clout to push back on some of Trump’s policies that they believed risked harming national interests.

“The key is how you do it,” said the PR specialist. “You have to find a smart way to act as a corporate leader, defending your company’s and industry’s interest without alienating the president.”

Even talking about small changes in not allowing corps to capture as much rents is now Maoism.

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submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by FuckyWucky@hexbear.net to c/technology@hexbear.net

Oops YouTube removed it. Backup:

https://youtu.be/8uc1hVmtzEk

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submitted 3 months ago by FuckyWucky@hexbear.net to c/music@hexbear.net

thonk-cri

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submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by FuckyWucky@hexbear.net to c/slop@hexbear.net

article for freeBulgaria became the 21st member of the Eurozone on Thursday, completing a long-sought step in its European integration despite years of political instability and pro-Russian campaigning against the move.

Sofia has failed to form a stable government for nearly five years. Large protests in November led to the collapse of the latest cabinet and raised the prospect of an eighth election in as many years. Allegations of corruption and mismanagement, the absence of a 2026 budget and sustained fear-mongering by pro-Russian forces have all tainted the moment of euro adoption.

“I warmly welcome Bulgaria to the euro family,” said European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde.

“The euro is a powerful symbol of what Europe can achieve when we work together, and of the shared values and collective strength that we can leverage to confront the global geopolitical uncertainty that we face at the moment.”

What might otherwise have been a celebration of European values has proved more divisive in the Balkan country. Support for the euro stands at about 40 per cent, while opposition exceeds half the population, according to two Eurobarometer surveys conducted in 2025.

Public scepticism is driven in part by fears that retailers will round up prices during the currency conversion, as occurred in other countries after euro entry. The prolonged absence of a stable government has also undermined official efforts to defend the changeover.

Disinformation watchdogs say opposition has been amplified by a sustained campaign from pro-Russian political forces and co-ordinated messaging on social media. Parties such as the far-right Revival, along with Bulgaria’s pro-Russian president Rumen Radev, have called for a referendum on the euro.

Anti-euro activism has been led chiefly by Revival, which has organised protests across Bulgaria, some featuring Russian flags and clashes with police outside EU institutions. During one demonstration in Sofia, supporters attempted to set fire to part of the European Commission’s delegation, chanting slogans such as “No to the euro” and “We want to keep the lev”. The messaging centres on claims that joining the euro would erode national sovereignty, undermine Bulgarian identity and benefit political elites.

Goran Georgiev, an expert on Russian disinformation at the Centre for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, points to a “decades-long push by the Kremlin and its proxies to block Bulgaria’s accession first to the EU and Nato, and later to Schengen and the Eurozone.

“Bulgaria’s euro-Atlantic integration succeeded despite this, and despite systemic problems such as corruption and the lack of an independent justice system,” he said. “The reforms pledged at EU accession in 2007 are still the ones the country struggles to deliver.”

Outgoing prime minister Rosen Zhelyazkov acknowledged “challenges” ahead but said the euro would have a “long-term positive effect” on the economy. Bulgaria’s inflation rate of 5.2 per cent in November “had nothing to do with the euro”, he added.

The switch from the lev to the euro is expected to have limited immediate economic impact, as the national currency has been pegged to the Deutsche mark and later the euro since the 1990s to guard against hyperinflation.

Eurozone membership, however, gives Bulgaria a seat on the European Central Bank’s governing council for the first time, granting it a direct voice in monetary policy.

Now Bulgaria is locked in, no more option to break the currency board.

Don't like what Troika did to Greece and PIIGS? You are spreading pro-Russia propaganda.

You don't like that Eurozone member country debt have credit risk and are closer to American states than actual countries? Russian propagandist.

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Chinese phones are doing so well battery wise unlike Apple, Samsung, Google etc.

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submitted 3 months ago by FuckyWucky@hexbear.net to c/music@hexbear.net
[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 125 points 2 years ago

why is it in the cum jar?

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FuckyWucky

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