this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2024
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[–] [email protected] 30 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (2 children)

It could be. It certainly tracks with the separatists' move into guerilla tactics later in the second Chechen war.

Out of any time for them to start striking again, this would be it. Russia is stretched thin in manpower and supplies, and their attention is very focused on Ukraine and the West. Their ability to dump resources into the southern Caucus to tamp down a potential Chechen War #3 is definitely going to be limited. And coupled with the completion of Putin's sham election, it sends a very strong message against Russia's outward facade of "unity".

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 months ago

What, is Kadyrov not a lapdog anymore? He would seem to be the first hurdle, not a later one. Of course maybe he’s dead or something, idk, i haven’t checked tiktok in a long time.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Why would they attack random civilians instead of pulling a Wagner move towards the Kreml? Russia already showed that they wouldn't have much of a resistance to show for it.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 months ago

A terror attack requires a couple of guys with small arms. A move towards the Kremlin requires significantly more manpower and equipment.