this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2023
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The militaries argument is that a peer-to-peer conflict with say China would result in millions of casualties within months that would have to be replenished. You can't replenish those with volunteers.
Still, it's highly highly unlikely that will ever happen.
Yeah, I'm not saying they absolutely wouldn't ever use the draft again, I'm saying that is the weapon of last resort. Professional soldiers just do the job better than conscripts.
In such a scenario, yeah we may have to institute the draft again, but as you said, I find an all out war unlikely.