Democrats have won the Senate majority, a feat that seemed unreachable last year but that came to fruition with Republican candidates failing in states won just two years ago by President Trump, whose failing approval ratings was a huge drag on the GOP.

Victory in the Senate will deliver additional oversight powers to Democrats, who will now have a much bigger say on administration and judicial nominations.

They will also set the schedule for the Senate and have new powers to call in administration officials for hearings.

The string of Democratic victories sets the stage for Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to return as majority leader in 2027 and for hardball negotiations with Trump on an array of issues, including on federal spending levels.

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[–] 60 points 18 hours ago (12 children)

Right now, the Democrats are leading for the Senate seat in Mississippi. Admittedly, it's incredibly tight, but simply the fact that they're competitive in Mississippi is absolutely mind-boggling.

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  • [–] 2 points 9 hours ago*

    One thing Nate Silver pointed out during his livestream coverage was that in most of the battleground contests, the Democrats brought pretty strong candidates. Those candidates made their decisions to run and campaigned expecting to have hard fights. The Republicans often didn't have the most-competitive candidates they could have in a number of races that turned out to be up for grabs because normally these were places where it wouldn't matter; the Republican candidate winning would be pretty much a certain thing. Trump's deep unpopularity inducing such a large, late shift away from the Republican Party among voters meant that a lot of contests that the Republican Party would have considered safe seats were unexpectedly battlegrounds.

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  • [–] 14 points 17 hours ago (8 children)

    What about places like alabama and florida?

    Non american here, sitting with popcorn.

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  • [–] 24 points 16 hours ago* (2 children)

    Florida stayed quite red, the only good news was the the Republican off-year gerrymander of their district map did not win them any seats. The margins were tight but it was the only state the GOP really performed well in. Alabama nothing really changed, the red seats stayed red and the few blue seats stayed blue.

    There were some really surprising results in other states though. Texas went from all Republican-held state legislature, governor, Lt. governor and supreme court to Democrats winning or claiming majorities in all those positions. It's hard to describe how massive this is, because the Republicans have been suppressing metropolitan voters in that state for 30 years, which means that Texas might be a swing state in 2028.

    Another one-off result is in Tennessee, which mostly went well for Republicans, but House District 04 in that state is currently too close to call with the Democratic candidate ahead by (currently) 280 votes. Trump won this district two years ago with +24%.

    It's hard to describe how much an an historic wave tonight has been. I've not seen a midterm this one-sided since '94, when the GOP flipped 54 seats during Clinton's administration.

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  • [–] 4 points 7 hours ago* (1 child)

    I saw a thing this morning that showed that of the 15 new gerrymandered districts, Dems saved 13 of them.

    I predicted this when MAGA decided to re-draw the districts. The had a bunch of safe, Bright Red districts, and a few safe, Bright Blue districts. In order to eliminate Blue districts, they had to distribute those Blue votes among the safe Bright Red districts, diluting them, and compromising their safety. In a normal election, it might not make a difference, but in a generational wave like this, it badly weakened previously unbeatable districts, and they fell.

    And why? Because MAGA is virtuosically incompetent, and can be trusted ONLY to royally fuck up EVERYTHING they touch.

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  • [–] 2 points 7 hours ago*

    I remember being interested years back when I first started looking into details of gerrymandering.

    My initial assumption was that politicians would tend to gerrymander to favor their party (like, you want to win, but win by narrow margins). But as I learned to my surprise, that...isn't actually what happens. In general, they gerrymander to make seats safe, to win by comfortable margins, so that they don't really have to compete for them.

    So of all the times to do a switch in tactics to a "win by narrow margins to maximize party influence" strategy, this was an exceptionally poor time.

    EDIT: That is, a poor time for the Republicans. The Democratic counter-gerrymandering, like in California, worked well.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 hours ago (2 children)

    Florida stayed red but a DemSoc came within 3 points of winning the Senate seat.

    I like to think that all the chuds moving to FL during COVID paved the way for this Bluenami.

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  • [–] 1 point 7 hours ago (1 child)

    Florida used to have a nearly even split between Right and Left, making them a perfect Purple state. For many years, they even had a Democrat senator and a Republican senator. It was an unusual situation that went on for many years.

    Then Trump got elected, and Florida became MAGA HQ, and lots of MAGA weirdos moved there. Today MAGA has a 1.5 million registered voter lead. By all rights, every Democrat should get shellacked. But when the Dem challengers for Governor and Senator get that close, despite a 1.5 million lead, that's a very strong and scary message for Florida MAGAs. Florida is now in play for 2028.

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  • [–] 1 point 7 hours ago

    Florida is probably always (well, okay, maybe climate change might make it a little less appealing) gonna be a retirement destination for more-northerly East Coast Americans. People like retiring to warm places.

    https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/median-age-by-state

    Like, it has one of the most elderly populations of US states.

    So that's always gonna favor whichever party in the current party system is more popular with elderly voters.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retirement_to_Florida

    Retirement to Florida is a phenomenon in the United States beginning in the 1950s in which retirees have, during certain periods, disproportionately chosen to move to the state of Florida to live out their retirement.

    In the 1950s and 1960s, migration into Florida was localized, with retirees from places like New York City moving to Miami Beach in large numbers.[5][6] A 1958 newspaper article identified factors making Florida increasingly popular as a retirement destination in the postwar era, arguing that no single factor explained the trend, but that retirees were drawn by the state's warm climate, mild winters, abundant sunshine, comparatively inexpensive housing, and favorable tax structure. It was noted that many retirees from northern states could sell higher-priced homes and purchase less expensive residences in Florida while retaining cash reserves, with two-bedroom homes in Florida costing "between 20 and 40 per cent less than homes in most of the rest of the country". It also emphasized the absence of a state income tax, relatively low property taxes, and generous homestead exemptions. It also noted limitations, observing that the overall cost of living was difficult to compare with other states and that employment opportunities for retirees seeking supplemental income were relatively limited.

    Retirement communities, which are often built in warm climates, became common in Florida, as well as other warmer states such as Alabama, Arizona, California, Georgia, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nevada, and Texas. In 2011, The Villages, Florida became the largest of these communities,[9] approaching a population of 80,000 residents by 2020. Some of the characteristics of these communities typically are: the community must be age-restricted or age-qualified,[10] residents must be partially or fully retired, and the community offers shared services or amenities.[10]

    Florida also contains a number of niche retirement communities targeting retirees who "share a common interest, hobby or trait".[11] By 2011, niche retirement communities or "niche senior communities' - known as "affinity retirement communities" by industry professionals - [12] had become "one of the biggest trends in retirement living." These communities attract those over 55 who want to be in communities of like-minded individuals from the same ethnic background.

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  • [–] 13 points 16 hours ago

    Alabama, Florida, and Arkansas have been called for the Republicans. sucks that Nixon lost in Florida, bit it was pie in the sky. I am astonished that we got south Carolina and Kansas.

    Mississippi is so close it could easily be ratfucked by a judge tossing out 100 ballots. But the fact that the dem is leading there feels like a fever dream.

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  • [–] 7 points 16 hours ago

    Alabama was a comfortable +9.4% for republicans, Florida was much more competitive at +2.9% for the republican incumbent. Both of these are for the Senate seats, gubernatorial races were closer in both states. Mind you these are still firm republican wins on their face, but in the context of voting habits for previous elections this is a massive shift away from the republican party.

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