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this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2026
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Oh absolutely, that's probably why they aren't mining the strait but just blasting those that try.
Exactly, they don't have to take any extreme measures like mining because the mere threat is enough for insurers to pull back. This is exactly what Yemen was doing in Suez, and proved to be extremely effective.
Yep! This coupled with Europe's pivot to Russian LNG is going to be pretty huge for deteriorating US/EU relations.
we can only hope
EU seems pretty split now itself, with the Spain/Germany spat. I'm not getting my hopes up for that to manifest anything at the present moment though.
Same, I think it's going to be a while yet, but the cracks are definitely forming.
The cracks were already there, if we are to think dialectically, just growing.
absolutely
you would thinking mining would be the go-to move since so much of the western world might join in the fray to protect their financial & military assets.
It's the nuclear option, right now Iran wants to stay on Russia and China's good sides.
speaking of nuclear: i wonder if tel-aviv/washington/london/paris would launch a nuke if iran makes too much progress in neutralizing all of the western assets in the region and if beijing or moscow would step in at that stage.
I don't really want to think about that. Tens of millions of people would likely die in the process and World War III may get kicked off.
i'm bet beijing and moscow will nope out of it because of this.
Don't be too sure, Iran is extremely important for both.
Tel Aviv I can't predict. London and Paris are too sensible. Washington we could probably keep Krasnov from nuking anything (we've done good so far. I mean they changed the code from 00000 to 12345 at least, right? Right?) by giving him a red light up button and just letting him watch the end of Dr Strangelove