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Eight US states seek to outlaw chemtrails – even though they aren’t real
(www.theguardian.com)
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And that’s basically it!
The reason I gave those two examples was to highlight that conspiracy can range from false to (almost certainly) true.
I have no data on this but suspect it is more true for lower IQ than higher IQ.
However, I don't believe it should be a standard assumption. Considering one topic to be possible doesn't automatically imply a person believes in something else.