Do they have someone who is not a complete muffin to put in charge? From my perspective, it seems they have a similar problem to the USA. They have worked so hard excluding so many, that it's difficult to attract new members and voter with different values. The Republicans were dying before Trump. Hell likely kill them off, as he destroys everything but the libs don't have an equivalent to win voters and votes back.

Both LibLab have been slowly but consistently losing voters for decades, but Libs were already an endangered species in WA for years, and now have even been ousted in Tassie! This isn't new, but the federal level of manipulation/propaganda through Uncle Rupert kept the larger populations esp of Boomers in the fold, but fortunately, they are finally dying off and aren't the biggest demographic anymore. Thank fuck.

It's not just one bad result, though. The initial bad result was in 2022, which they then doubled down on instead of learning from. Now they've been wiped out of most capital cities, and have given teal independents at least six years to build their own support base. Even a single-term independent is difficult to dislodge, let alone one with six years of community engagement and networking. Their main voter base is rapidly dying out now and they are struggling to replace them with younger voters. The party itself is clearly in a fucked position, although that shouldn't be confused for traditionally centre-right politics/voters in Australia suddenly moving to the left.

I have little doubt they'll come back eventually, but it's going to require some serious soul searching on their part first. After 2013 Labor improved their leadership process which is what led to the internal instability that led to their incredible unpopularity back then.

Right now, the Liberals' problem seems to be a trend away from the so-called "sensible centre" into embracing extreme-right Trumpian politics. This is caused in part by the more moderate Liberals losing their seats, giving the moderates no leverage in the party room. And also by their party preselection process being overrun by Sky After Dark fans. They need to find a way to re-embrace the former "wets" and win back the voters who abandoned them for the teals. That requires them to win back the trust of women and to begin to take climate change seriously for once.

A different option could be for the teals to be folded into the Coalition itself. Turnbull suggested that as a possibility in a recent interview, if the teals were to form into a party which could then negotiate with the Liberals and Nationals into a broader Coalition.

But without a doubt, something will change. Whether it takes them until 2028 or 2031 or longer, the Liberals in some form are unlikely to go away for good.