this post was submitted on 28 Apr 2025
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Well, the other side of it is that it doesn't matter how good your planning and logistics are if you only have rocks to throw when you get there
Nobody with a lick of sense ever said that a civil war against an established and well equipped government was going to be fought on battlefields, lined up and infantry vs civilian infantry.
And it takes more than guns, as the Iraqis and Afghanis showed. But calling guns useless in a revolution or civil war, much less as a resistance or insurgency is just stupid.
I feel like it'd have to be a lot like Vietnam, with vets communicating 1 on 1 with soldiers, convincing them not to side with the government (trump has marginalized vets, after all). A military coup would be the best case scenario here. You convert his military, you remove his power.
Guns are pretty much giving the government the excuse to just shoot you as a crazy gun nut (or extremist group,...) and shoot you without any morale repercussions in the people they use to do so and without any PR nightmare in the greater population for them.
They're already abducting and deporting academics on the flimsiest justifications based off social media posts disparaging Trump and/or Elon. We're past the point that they need to label people something as heavy as gun nut to justify their actions.
The alternative being?
Non-violent protests in large numbers would be one option. It is much harder to get the military or police to shoot a crowd of a few tens of thousands of unarmed civilians, especially when it is people from their own communities. And when you do it anyway you have a very hard time suppressing it in your and the international media.
What do non-violent "protests" do? Why would police ever really try to supress them if they don't serve any purpose other than virtue signalling? Do you protesters expect Trump to stop ICE raids because "wow, I guess these signs with me drawn as a pig are really making me think", or MAGA supporters to stop voting for him because you wasted your sunday out in the sun walking around?
What do shootings do? Do you genuinely believe a couple of people with handguns or rifles are going to achieve anything at all?