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Predictions thread (lemmy.ca)

submitted 4 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Free form predictions, imaginary internet points awarded for being closest on seat count, popular vote, turnout, etc. Predict whatever you want! Timestamps before 8pm Atlantic time please :)

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 days ago (2 children)

Libs with 180. Cons 130. BQ 24. NDP 8. Greens 1.

Libs 41%. Cons 40%. NDP 8%. BQ 6%. Others 5%.

Turnout 68%.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Turnout 68%.

Gosh, that would be something.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 days ago

Historical turnouts: https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=ele&dir=turn&document=index&lang=e

I think 68% was damned close -- and similar to what we got in 2015.

However, I underestimated how much this election would turn into a two-party election (both the liberals and conservatives had higher popular vote than I expected). And overestimated the liberal vote efficiency being able to translate that into seats.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

Libs at 160 and cons at 138 right now not too bad.