Ukraine

Habeck is a realo, not fundie. Support for him among green voters (which is what actually counts, not party members, he'll get his nomination because who else should they run) is overwhelming, very good among SPD voters, AfD voters hate him and that won't change any time soon, CDU is where he's going to have to make inroads. Perception-wise the problem is competence, blame that on the Bild campaign and I absolutely expect that to shift very quickly once people actually hear him in a debate.