this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2024
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electoralism
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Wait how can they already know Trump won? Didn't it take weeks to count the votes last time?
Trump is winning by large margins.
lol incredible. The pollsters fucked up again
Kamabla is losing worse than Hillary fucking Clinton lol
Where do you go for the results? Google is only throwing up CNN and MSNBC and all those and they honestly suck ass
I’m just using NYT. I’m sure there’s much better stuff out there but the interactive map can give you pretty detailed breakdowns. You can compare the margins to past elections.
It looks like she might end up losing the popular vote too
IPSOS polling was pretty accurate, saying that the voting share was tied but Trump led on almost all key issues.
Huh, I feel like a liberal rn (I keep opening my mouth to say dumb shit about things I have not investigated properly)
A lot of the polls were really bad like that Selzer poll of Iowa, so you're correct on that. But the usually reliable ones like IPSOS got the general idea right. A tie on overall voter share, but with Trump ahead on key issues, suggesting a "hidden Trump vote".
Considering how much they underestimated him in 2016, I'd be surprised if they aren't trying to account for this factor by now. Clearly the math was still wrong lmao