this post was submitted on 18 Oct 2022
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I spend a lot more time following these things than most people. It's always possible something surprising will happen, but so far things have progressed largely as I thought they would. I expect that in the next few months things will become much more clear overall as well.
I am only recommending introspection and self criticism.
You don't need to defend your previous stance to me. I made the same mistake.
I don't think I've ever argued against either introspection or self criticism here.