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On the one hand, this matters because it allows the Senate to actually approve qualified judges to the federal bench, instead of the insane ideologues the GOP puts there.
On the other hand, all the federal judges in the world mean very little when SCOTUS is as thoroughly corrupt and extreme-right as it is, and has no issue overturning whatever cases they want to achieve the decision they've already arrived at.
On the other other hand, Manchin got to obstruct otherwise-popular legislation from either passing, or even being brought up for a vote merely by threatening to vote against it.
On the whole we're definitely better than we were before Biden took office, but I wouldn't put too much emphasis on Manchin. The successes of the Biden administration are despite Manchin, not because of him.