Welcome again to everybody. Make yourself at home I just ask that you dont solve the crossword in this weeks Lemmygrad Weekly. In the time-honoured tradition of our group, here is the weekly discussion thread.
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In the Name of Allah, the Most Compassionate, the Most Merciful
O Transformer of hearts and sights, O Director of nights and days, O Transformer of situations and circumstances, Transform our circumstances to the best of circumstances!
This year, the spring of spirituality and the spring of nature – i.e., the auspicious Eid-al-Fitr and the age-old Eid of Nowruz – have coincided, and I congratulate each and every one of the people of the nation on these two religious and national holidays. I also congratulate all Muslims of the world on the occasion of Eid-al-Fitr.
It is also necessary to congratulate everyone regarding the remarkable victories of Islam’s fighters and to express my condolences and sympathy to all the families and survivors of the honorable martyrs of the second imposed war, the January Coup, the third imposed war, the security and border martyrs, and the anonymous martyred soldiers [martyrs of intelligence forces].
Below I present my remarks on the occasion of the upcoming 1405 year.
First, I will give a brief overview of some of the important events of the past year. In the past year, our dear people have experienced three military and security wars. The first war was the June war, when the Zionist enemy, with the special help of the United States and in the midst of negotiations, martyred some of the country's best commanders and prominent scientists and subsequently about 1,000 of our fellow citizens. Because of a gross miscalculation, the enemy thought that after a day or two, it would be the people who would overthrow the Islamic system. But with the vigilance of you, the people, the unparalleled bravery of Islam’s fighters, and the many sacrifices, the indications of desperation and destitution soon appeared in it [the Zionist enemy], to the point that it saved itself from the edge of the abyss through mediation and resorting to cessation of fighting.
The second war was the January Coup, when the United States and the Zionist regime, thinking that the Iranian people were implementing the enemy’s vision due to the economic problems imposed by them, used their mercenaries to create countless disasters and martyred more of our dear fellow citizens than in the in the previous war and caused a lot of damage.
The third war is the war that we are now in the middle of, and on the first day of which, with tearful eyes and sad and broken hearts, we bode farewell to the kind father of the Ummah, our great Leader – may God make his respected position exalted – while hastening with great enthusiasm at the head of a caravan of martyrs on a celestial journey to a place that had been considered for him in the shadow of God's mercy and in proximity to purified lights and among the righteous and martyrs. Also, from that day onwards, we gradually and sorrowfully bode farewell to the other martyrs of this war, including the children of the Shajareh Tayyebeh School in Minab, the brave and oppressed stars of the Destroyer Dena, the martyred commanders and fighters of the IRGC, the army, the security and police forces, and the Popular Mobilization Force (the Basij), the anonymous soldiers [martyrs of intelligence forces], the brave border guards, and the rest of the nation, young and old, who passed in front of us in a caravan of light. This war took place after the enemy was disappointed with a significant popular movement in its favor, and with the illusion that if it martyred the head of the regime and a number of influential military figures, it would create fear and despair in you, our dear people, and cause you to leave the arena, and in this way, it would realize the dream of dominating Iran and then disintegrating it. But in this holy month, you combined fasting with jihad and provided a vast defense line, as wide as the country, and strong fortifications, as numerous as the squares, neighborhoods, and mosques. And in this way, you dealt him a confusing blow, so much so that he began to utter numerous contradictory words and many absurdities, which is a sign of lack of mindfulness and the existence of cognitive weakness.
You had already suppressed the coup on January 12 [22nd of Dey], and on February 11 [22nd of Bahman], you once again showed your opposition to global arrogance and your tirelessness, and on March 12, which coincided with Quds Day, you made him realize that he was not only dealing with missiles, drones, torpedoes, and military affairs and that Iran's front line is much bigger than his [the enemies’] humble and small mentality. I would like to thank each and every one of the dear people for creating this great epic, as well as the brave, honest and popular president and other officials who were present among the people in this ceremony, immaculate and without formalities.
This kind of action and making it visible can be in itself a very desirable thing that increasingly strengthens the cohesion between the nation and the rulers. At present, as a result of the incredible unity created among you, fellow citizens – despite all the differences of religious, intellectual, cultural and political origins – a breakdown is brought about in the enemy. This should be considered as a special blessing from the Almighty and Exalted Allah, for which we should be very grateful in words and in heart as well as in action. One of the inviolable rules is that whenever a blessing is thanked for, its root becomes stronger or enhanced in proportion to the amount of thanksgiving, and more favors are sent to the thankful person. What is needed for the time being in the position of practical gratitude is that we consider this great blessing as merely a mercy from the Almighty and make good use of it as much as possible. In this way, this cohesion will definitely become more and more resolute, and your enemies will become more disgraced and subdued. These were a review of some of the important events of the year 1404.
But now that we are on the verge of the year 1405, we are facing a few matters. One is that we bid farewell to our dear guest, the holy month of Ramadan 1447 AH, forever: The month in which your hearts turned to the transcendent world on the Night of Qadr and you called upon the merciful God, and His Holiness directed His mercy to you. You asked our lord [Imam Mahdi], may Allah hasten his noble reappearance, and His God for triumph, victory, well-being, and all kinds of blessings, and you must have received the same or better than what was your heart's desire, God willing. At the same time as this farewell, which the more knowledge human beings have, the more bitter and sad it will be, we press the happy and full moon of Shawwal al-Mukarram in our warm arms and await the reception of gifts from the Blessed and Transcendent Allah with fear and hope. I hope that after that daily and nightly conscientious presence of you, the dear nation, and the creation of the epic of Quds Day, the Almighty will not treat us except with His generosity, forbearance, forgiveness, and great grace to which you and I have become accustomed. And especially we hope that soon with the good news of the general relief in the matter of the general appearance of our lord [Imam Mahdi], his eminence, the supreme guardian appointed by Allah, He will fill the blessed heart of his holiness with joy, from which all kinds of blessings will descend upon the people of this world, by His grace and generosity.
Another thing we are facing is the important occasion of the age-old Eid of Nowruz. It is an Eid that brings with it a gift of nature, of renewal, freshness, and life, and it has a perfect occasion with joy and happiness. On the one hand, for the general public, this is the first year that our martyred Leader and other noble martyrs are not among us. In particular, the hearts of the families and survivors of the martyrs are grieving for their loved ones.
At the same time, for my part and as a simple citizen who has a few martyrs in my circle, I think that while we are mourning and our hearts are a nest of sorrow and grief for all the martyrs, we would become very happy that in these days, our newlywed brides and grooms start their life together. And God willing, the prayers of our martyred leader and other noble martyrs of this war will be with these dear ones. And I recommend that the public should have their usual [New Year] visits of these days, of course, while respecting the survivors of the martyrs and respecting their well-being, and perhaps the people of any neighborhood will start their New Year's meetings by honoring the martyrs of the same place, which can be made possible with the necessary coordination. Of course, the period [of mourning] that the honorable government set for the tragedy of the martyrdom of our dear Leader remains in place, and observing and preserving it is considered an aspect of the greatness of this system and the country.
After these words, there are other brief remarks.
First of all, I must especially thank those who – in addition to being present in squares, neighborhoods, and mosques – highlight their social role with increasing effort. Among them are some production units, both public and private, and including some service guilds, and especially people who provide all kinds of useful services to the people for free without their jobs requiring them, and praise be to God, there is an abundance of this kind.
Secondly, one of the enemy's courses of action is his media operations, which in these days, in particular, intends to undermine national unity and consequently national security by targeting the minds and souls of some among the people. We must be careful lest this sinister intention be realized as a result of negligence and by our own hands. Therefore, my advice to our country’s domestic media, with all the intellectual, political, and cultural differences they may have, is to seriously refrain from focusing on weaknesses. Otherwise, it is possible for the enemy to reach its goal.
Thirdly, one of the enemy's hopes is to take advantage of the economic and managerial weaknesses that have been formed over a long time. Over various years, our martyred Leader – may Allah elevate his position – had focused the main theme and slogan of the year on the economy. In the opinion of this humble person, providing people's livelihood and improving the living and welfare infrastructures and creating wealth for the general public should be considered as a focal point and a kind of defense and even significant progress against the economic war waged by the enemy.
I am gracious that I have had the chance to hear the words of our dear people from all walks of life. During one period, for instance, I would ride along with you in a taxi – arranged at my request – through the streets of Tehran, with an anonymous group, listening to your conversations. I regarded this method of sampling as superior to many opinion polls. In many cases, my understandings were in line with yours, which were often expressed as various criticisms regarding economic and managerial matters. In the process, I learned a great deal from you, and I continue to seek new knowledge. Recently, during the days before and after the 19th of Ramadan, I again learned things from many of you who were present in the public squares. I hope I am never deprived of this blessing. Following things thus learned and heard, along with other studies, efforts have been made to formulate an effective and expert-tested remedy—one that is as comprehensive as possible. Thank God, this has been realized to an acceptable degree, and soon it will be ready for implementation by officials of great resolve, with the cooperation of all segments of the nation, God willing. Finally, in this section, drawing inspiration from our great martyred Leader, I announce this year’s slogan as: “Resistance Economy in light of National Unity and National Security.”
Fourth and last, what I stated in the first statement regarding the system's stance and policy on engagement with neighboring countries is a serious and genuine matter. Beyond the element of neighborliness, we recognize other spiritual elements – foremost among them our shared devotion to the noble religion of Islam, as well as the presence of holy shrines and sacred sites in some of these countries, the residence and employment of many Iranians in others, shared ethnicity or language, and common strategic interests, particularly in confronting the front of arrogance—each of which alone can serve to strengthen amicable relations. Among them, I consider our eastern neighbors to be very close to us. For a long time, I have known Pakistan to be a country that was especially beloved by our martyred Leader, a sentiment that was evident in the emotion in his voice during Friday prayer sermons over the devastating floods that threatened the lives of our religious brothers there. For various reasons, I have always held this view myself and have not refrained from expressing it in various meetings. Here, I would like to urge that our two brotherly countries, Afghanistan and Pakistan, establish better relations with each other – if only for the sake of divine pleasure and to avoid division among Muslims – and for my part, I am ready to take the necessary steps.
I should also remark that the attacks against Turkey and Oman – both of which have good relations with us—targeting certain locations in these countries, were in no way carried out by the armed forces of the Islamic Republic or the other forces of the Resistance Front. This is a ploy by the Zionist enemy, employing the false flag tactic to create discord between the Islamic Republic and its neighbors, and it may also occur in some other countries. I have already mentioned the rest of the points related to this matter.
I hope, with the prayers of our lord [Imam Mahdi] – may Allah hasten his relief – and with the Almighty’s attention, this year will be a good year full of triumph and all kinds of spiritual and material relief for our nation, our neighbors, and Muslim nations, and especially for the elements of the Resistance Front; and a year not so for the enemies of Islam and humanity. “And We desired to show favor to those who were oppressed in the earth, and to make them examples and to make them the inheritors, and to establish them in the land, and to show Pharaoh and Haman and their hosts from them that of which they were apprehensive (Holy Quran 28:6).” Indeed, God the Almighty has spoken the truth; His noble Messenger (pbuh) has spoken the truth; and we are among those who bear witness to that.
May God’s greetings, mercy, and blessings be upon you.
Sayyid Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei
Esfand 29, 1404 [March 20, 2026]
Spain's renewables build-out has structurally decoupled its electricity prices from gas markets.
Gas now sets the price in only 15% of hours, compared to 90% in Italy.
Countries that invested early in clean power are far less exposed to fossil fuel price shocks.
cross-posted from: https://lemmygrad.ml/post/11075582
Part 4 of the series on the October Revolution
From the Tweet, it seems academia is slowly backing them up:
"🚨🇺🇸 REPORT: Researcher from University of Connecticut has published a paper on the rise of the American Communist Party.
"What we have found is that MAGA Communism –that is, the progenitor ideology held and reified in the ACP–is a novel contribution to American Marxism, and that in its substance the ACP is working to achieve counter-hegemonic, left-wing goals."
"Simply put, MAGA Communism is now made relevant, and a mystified understanding, or one that reduces it to opportunism, is insufficient to assess its unprecedented rise."
"What was once a 'fringe' online ideology"has become a rising force out in the open, and must be contended with by scholars of American Marxism and communist organizers alike."
Follow: @RTSG_News"
These are the same people that say "I can be way more racist than you."
Ukraine, like “Israel” before it, has been transformed into an outpost of Western imperialism. The two wars these two are waging—one against the Russian Federation, the other against Iran–are similar and interconnected in so many ways. The common goal of each war is to preserve and even enhance Western hegemony by waging warfare against countries that dare to rebel against the ‘rules-based international order’ of the Western powers.
Former advisor to the Ukrainian president’s office, Alexei Arestovich, says outright that the war on Iran is being used to demonstrate what happens to those who oppose the rotten Western alliance.
Eduard Basurin, former army spokesman of the Donetsk People’s Republic, is convinced that the treacherous war against Iran is directly linked to anti-Russian plans by the US empire. “By hook and by crook, as they say, the U.S. is pressing ahead with strategic plans to create a ‘firewall’ around Russia and drive us into economic isolation.”
Ukrainian political scientist and journalist Oleg Yasinsky, who lives in Chile, reminds that everyone in the world should be aware that the war against Iran is already a global war and is directed not only against Iran. “The question is whether all the other victims that will inevitably be subjected to what Iran is facing will take action or instead patiently await their turn,” he says.
Yasinsky is convinced that this war is not a demonstration of strength but, rather, of the extreme weakness of a system unable to retain its power and hold over the world except by forceful means.
The Ukrainian underground communist group Borotba writes that the goal of the US attack against Iran is to destroy all other forms of communal life on the planet except for those which are subordinate to the Western powers, be they liberal or conservative.“That is why the attack against Iran is an attack against all of us, it is an attack on all of humanity,” the group says.
The aggression by the US and “Israel” against sovereign Iran cannot fail to affect Ukraine itself, and in a very big way. That’s because any international conflict is traditionally perceived in ruling circles in Ukraine with undisguised jealousy, deemed to distract attention from the situation in Ukraine and from the antics of its comedian-and-actor-turned-president, Volodomyr Zelensky. The Ukrainian authorities regularly engage in public relations promotions using social media and ‘emotional diplomacy’ (hysteria), fearing, above all, a loss of attention from the foreign public.
Image from a based Chinese artist on Twitter @Amogha_Pasa
Good article.
a deepening ideological divide within right-wing American politics. On one side are Evangelical Christian and Jewish Zionists who support wars against Iran and the Palestinians; on the other are right-wing Christians who believe that America is being drawn into wars on behalf of Israel.
Similarly, many on the American left, including progressive Jews such as Congresswoman Sara Jacobs, argue that Israel has pulled the United States into war. Rather than seeing the US-Israeli imperialist attack as serving the bellicose American billionaire class that fully backs it, these right-wing and left-wing critics contend that Benjamin Netanyahu tricked Trump into attacking Iran primarily for Israel’s benefit.
However, it is crucial to understand that Israel’s bellicose policies are an element of the overall US strategy in the region and do not exist independently of it. It is hardly far-fetched that the US aims to intensify the Arab states’ hostility towards Iran and incite them to openly join the US-Israel attack.
Some right-wingers cite the fact that prominent American billionaires, including Sheldon and Miriam Adelson, Bernard Marcus and Paul Singer, have promoted hostility towards Iran for the past decade as proof that such figures are “Israel firsters”, rather than “America firsters”, and that Israel controls US foreign policy.
They ignore how major American defence industries and energy companies directly benefit and stand to make huge profits from this war. Palantir, Lockheed Martin, Exxon, Raytheon and Boeing can hardly be accused of being Israel firsters, even if, like the billionaires, they believe that Israel’s regional military dominance serves the interests of US imperialism.
Instead of framing their criticism of the attack on Iran as driven by the imperialist warmongering of US financial elites – for whom the genocidal Israeli state is both an asset and a proxy – these right-wingers accuse Israel of “controlling” Washington’s decisions, thus effectively exonerating the United States of responsibility.
Israel and its intelligence and military apparatus and personnel are tightly integrated into the US war machine, but this is not proof, as some might argue, of Israeli “control” over this system, but rather the result of the US subcontracting significant intelligence and military functions to a trustworthy proxy.
Both Maga and left-wing critics of the war have interpreted recent comments by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio as an admission that Israel dragged the US to war.
What they forget is that Washington – on which Israel is almost entirely dependent for weapons supplies – could have ordered Israel not to attack. But the US chose not to do so, meaning that it approved of Israel’s war plans and coordinated with it beforehand.
Translation: "When you're a Communist, you have to be clear about things: you can be completely against criminal regimes like the Venezuelan, Persian, North Korean, and the rest of the garbage, and that doesn't prevent you from being completely against any military operation by the damned and a thousand times more criminal Western Imperialism."
(A de facto world war is one in which war is continuous, global, undeclared, and administered through economic, informational, clandestine warfare and contained military force, as well as proxy mechanisms, rather than formal military declarations of war. It is asymmetrical, hybrid, and maintains Western Judeo-Christian civilizational hegemony, with the United States as the chief hegemonic officer. By “Western Judeo-Christian,” I am denoting a European empire-building alliance among specific Western formations of Christianity and Judaism. It does not refer to all Christians or all Jews, but to a particular civilizational project and alliance.)
I haven't watched this, maybe I won't, but with the "stolen childhoods" caption in the thumbnail... I have a feeling where this is going...
It is precisely the discourse of “authoritarian repression”—deployed at the historical moment when the Islamic Republic of Iran is fighting a war for national survival—that reveals the material function of imperial feminism. The language of women’s rights reaches its highest pitch not during decades of sanctions, assassinations, and economic strangulation, but at the moment when the state targeted for destruction is mobilizing to defend itself—and its people—from military aggression.
Greg Shupak documents the logic openly at work in U.S. media. Leading newspapers such as the New York Times and Washington Post advocate bombing Iran while presenting military force as a means to “help” Iranian protesters and “free” them from “bondage” (Shupak, 2026). The discourse of authoritarian repression becomes the ideological cover for imperial violence. Outrage over the Iranian government’s actions is converted into justification for the U.S. government to inflict more violence on Iran—a formula for devastation presented as solidarity.
What does ‘opposing authoritarianism’ mean materially?
Abstract invocations of “authoritarian repression” detach a legitimate analytical category from the historical structure in which it operates. Once severed from the reality of imperial war, the concept becomes politically functional: it legitimizes the destruction of the very institutions capable of organizing collective defense.
The contradiction becomes visible when we ask a simple material question: what is the actual alternative being offered? Those invoking the language of liberation from positions of imperial power have supported authoritarian client regimes across the region for decades—from the Shah to the Gulf monarchies to Israel’s apartheid state. What does it mean for supposedly radical or revolutionary figures and organizations to wield the same discourse?
The question imperial feminism cannot answer is straightforward. Is there a concrete political force capable of taking power in Iran while simultaneously defending the country from U.S. and Israeli aggression? Since February 28, no such force has appeared on the ground.The current opposition promoted in Western media is not a liberation movement but a restoration project aligned with the very powers conducting the bombing. Voices opposed to “authoritarianism” celebrated abroad possess neither a mass base among Iranian workers nor the institutional capacity to defend Iran’s national sovereignty at this critical moment.
The outcome of such politics is already visible elsewhere. Where sovereign states have been destroyed under the banner of liberation, the result has not been democracy but devastation. History has shown this repeatedly—from Iraq to Libya to Syria. The collapse of the state exposes the population to fragmentation, militia rule, and foreign domination.
The ground refuses abstraction
Events on the ground tell a different story.
Consider what Professor Marandi reported just days ago: when the bombs fell on Tehran—while thousands filled the squares to mourn and protest the U.S.-Israeli attacks—the crowd stood still. No one panicked. No one ran in fear. That stillness was not passivity. It reflected the political knowledge of a people who understand a fundamental truth: their survival—and any possible future freedom—requires defending their sovereignty against the empire that seeks their destruction.
These Iranians refuse the false equivalence imperial feminism insists upon. They reject the demand that while U.S. and Israeli bombs are falling, one must balance opposition to “authoritarian repression” with opposition to imperial war—as if these were symmetrical moral choices rather than a life-and-death struggle for national existence.
The South Pars workers demonstrated the same clarity. As Iranian scholar Helyeh Doutaghi documented through fieldwork during the December 2025 protests, when workers struck against wage theft and exploitation, they did not attack the legitimacy of domestic security institutions. They recognized that in a nation subjected to decades of sanctions, assassinations, and foreign-backed destabilization, doing so would play directly into the hands of those seeking to justify external intervention (Doutaghi, 2025). Their struggle for better conditions was inseparable from their defense of national sovereignty. They understood what imperial feminism cannot: that the state imperialism seeks to destroy remains the indispensable terrain on which any future working-class victory must be won.
Material reality of imperial war and international solidarity
When a nation is under siege, the survival of the population becomes bound to the survival of the state. That is not a matter of opinion but of political gravity. The structural logic of imperialism targets sovereign institutions precisely because in times of war they are the only force capable of organizing collective defense.
The human cost falls overwhelmingly on the working class. When sanctions block medical supplies, when infrastructure is bombed, when scientists and engineers are assassinated, those who suffer and die are the ordinary men and women whose liberation imperial feminism claims to champion. The destruction of sovereignty does not free them. It kills them.
Solidarity begins with recognizing the conditions people actually face. Do Iranian women need more sanctions? More bombs? More destabilization carried out in their name? Or do they need the violence of imperialism to stop so that their own struggles—against internal repression and external domination alike—can unfold on their own terms?
The people gathered in Tehran’s squares have already answered.
Defending sovereignty in the face of imperial war does not imply endorsement of every internal policy of the Islamic Republic. It reflects a simpler political reality: without sovereignty, there is no terrain on which struggles for democracy, workers’ rights, or women’s liberation can occur.
Imperial feminism obscures this reality by converting legitimate grievances into ideological instruments of war. Military aggression is then reframed as humanitarian intervention. When bombs are falling, the discourse of “authoritarian repression” does not liberate. It provides moral cover for the forces inflicting the violence.
The abstraction costs nothing to those who deploy it from afar. For those living under sanctions and airstrikes, the cost is measured in lives .Under conditions of siege, the survival of the people and the survival of the state are inseparable. Pretending otherwise is not nuanced analysis. It is complicity disguised as solidarity.
Solidarity with Iranian women therefore requires refusing to let their struggles be weaponized for imperial ends.
References:
Doutaghi, H. (2025, January 6). Iran’s Indigenous Labor Movement and Working Class Sovereignty. Progressive International. https://progressive.international/blueprint/e57562a0-4dbd-479f-b77d-ed23bee16394-irans-indigenous-labor-movement-and-working-class-sovereignty/en/
Marandi, S. M. (2026, March 8). Iran rejects ceasefire – demands new status quo[Interview]. Interview by G. Diesen. YouTube. https://youtu.be/0bjW0uh1J60
Shupak, G. (2026, February 10). Leading Papers Call for Destroying Iran to Save It. https://fair.org/home/leading-papers-call-for-destroying-iran-to-save-it/
Send this to all your baby leftist friends that insist this is Israel's war.
The early morning hours of January 3, 2026, marked a turning point in the century-long struggle of Venezuela and Latin America for self-determination and independence.
Operation Absolute Resolve, ordered by the Trump administration, constituted the most brutal and direct military attack against a sovereign state in the region in recent history. In a shocking operation that left hundreds dead, President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores were illegally abducted from Venezuelan territory and taken to the United States, where they now face trumped-up charges in a federal detention center in New York.
In the two months since this act of war, a flood of speculation has emerged from so-called experts and commentators across the political spectrum. This speculation has followed three main lines:
- The success of the operation indicated a betrayal in the highest spheres of the Bolivarian Revolution.
- The acting president, Delcy Rodríguez, and the rest of the leaders have abandoned the Bolivarian project and the socialist transformation, handing over the country, its economy and its resources to US imperialism.
- In matters of foreign relations, Venezuelan leaders have abandoned their historical anti-imperialism.
Taken together, these statements amount to proclaiming that regime change has been successful in Venezuela.
All of these claims are false and reflect an amateurish and superficial approach to politics—hasty opinions revived instead of genuine analysis or research—which ultimately echo Trump's rhetoric rather than dismantle it. To understand Caracas's current trajectory, it is necessary to sensibly assess what happened on January 3rd, carefully examine the facts surrounding Venezuela's financial and commercial situation, and conduct an honest evaluation of the international power dynamics within which the South American country operates. It is essential to understand what has changed in this new situation. To unravel the complex reality of the present, some examples from the history of socialist states can serve as a guide.
A detailed analysis of the facts will demonstrate that what we are witnessing is not a surrender, but a tactical retreat in the face of an overwhelming force, for which there are clear analogies in revolutionary history.
The main claims that supposedly reveal “betrayal” are examined and refuted below, but before we begin, it is necessary to establish an important theoretical distinction between government and state power. Government offices and ministries establish and implement a range of policies, issue statements, and so on, and temporarily change hands from the “left” to the “right.” The permanent institutions of state power—the military, the courts, and the police—represent the real power in any society. Almost all left-wing governments in the region have been elected to public office in recent years, but they have not held state power. By presiding over politics, but with the same capitalist state in place (especially in the military), there is a clear limit to how effectively these governments can challenge the capitalist order and transform social reality. The Bolivarian project similarly emerged as an electoral movement, with Chávez initially only holding government positions, but with one important difference. Decades of US-backed coup attempts, internal struggles, and other crises have gradually led to the replacement of forces loyal to the old order in the judiciary, police, and military with forces formed by and loyal to the Bolivarian Revolution. The United Socialist Party maintains its mission to promote the power of the working class and build socialism. The struggle may advance in fits and starts, with gains and setbacks depending on the pressure of various forces, but at every stage, the party works to preserve its achievements and minimize its losses.
This is important because Venezuela's concessions are being made primarily at the government level, not at the state and party level.
Claim 1: The success of the US operation on January 3 indicated a betrayal at the highest levels of the Bolivarian Revolution.
spoiler
- The alleged “evidence”
No members of the U.S. military died in the operation that kidnapped Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores.
More than 150 US aircraft penetrated Venezuelan airspace without being shot down by the country's advanced air defenses, obtained from Russia.
The “peaceful” extraction of Maduro and Flores was only possible thanks to the “collaboration” of Maduro’s inner circle. There was no immediate military counteroffensive by the Venezuelans.
- The reality: resistance in the face of overwhelming military superiority
Much more is now known about the events of January 3rd than was initially known. Contrary to the narrative imposed by Western media and repeatedly and thoughtlessly disseminated by some on the left, there was resistance. Survivor testimonies and statements by President Trump himself confirm that the presidential security team, along with Venezuelan military units and a contingent of Cuban internationalist fighters, engaged the attacking forces in a firefight. Thirty-two Cuban fighters fell alongside more than 50 Venezuelan security forces and presidential guards, who defended the president with their lives.
First, U.S. electronic warfare systems completely disabled the country's air defenses and communications infrastructure. According to Venezuelan Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López, the United States used Venezuela as a "laboratory" for previously unused weapons technologies. Padrino is known for being the military leader who consistently denounces U.S. efforts to corrupt and bribe the military to turn against Maduro and the Bolivarian Revolution, as well as previous U.S. assassination attempts. He embodied the country's "civil-military union" that blocked years of regime change efforts under the motto "Always loyal, never traitors."
An official Venezuelan report on January 3 has not yet been released, as the country remains under military siege (more information on this will follow). However, unofficial reports from witnesses and survivors corroborate Padrino's account. They describe how, with all their communications and air defenses disabled and all electricity in the area cut off, Venezuelan military forces were attacked with drones and some type of sonic weapon that incapacitated the soldiers. They were instantly subjected to rapid and overwhelming fire that resulted in a one-sided massacre, even when they returned fire.
In his State of the Union address, Trump honored the pilot of the first Chinook helicopter that landed at the presidential complex, carrying the elite Delta Force units that later carried out the ground operation and kidnapped the president. The helicopter came under heavy fire, seriously wounding the pilot. The United States has also acknowledged that there were other American casualties, though no fatalities.
In preparation for this operation, it has been revealed that the raid was rehearsed at full scale in an exact replica of Nicolás Maduro's compound, built in Kentucky. For weeks, Delta Force commandos practiced “breaking through steel doors at increasingly faster speeds” and memorizing the layout of the corridors and secure rooms. Because Maduro was known to rotate between different locations, they only launched the operation after confirming he was in that specific place. Specialized night aviation was provided by a group known as the “Night Stalkers.”
However, the violence didn't end there. In leaked communications confirmed by multiple sources, Delcy Rodríguez revealed that, from the very first contact on January 3, the Trump administration issued an ultimatum. Rodríguez stated: “The threats began the moment they kidnapped the president. They gave Diosdado, Jorge, and me 15 minutes to respond, or they would kill us.” Any refusal to negotiate, she said, would result not only in kidnapping but also in the beheading and annihilation of the remaining leaders of the Venezuelan state. They were also told that the U.S. military would continue to surround the country. Every statement and every decision they made would be analyzed as a sign of submission or resistance, and their lives could be taken at any moment.
It was a negotiation at gunpoint, literally, and it's not over yet. The moment would require leadership capable of making the necessary retreat to save the revolution without fracturing its internal unity.
The United States failed on January 3rd because of the betrayal of Venezuelan leaders. It succeeded because, after more than 25 years of failed coup attempts, economic warfare, and destabilization campaigns, imperialism finally deployed its most powerful weapon: direct military intervention backed by a technological superiority that no independent country in the developing world can currently counter successfully.
- Analysis: The overwhelming hybrid warfare onslaught failed to overcome political realities
The United States achieved its objective of capturing Maduro, but failed to overthrow the government or the state. The remaining leaders—Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello, Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino, National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez, and the core of the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) and the Bolivarian Armed Forces—acted immediately to stabilize the institutions and maintain continuity of command.
The United States did not plan a wider occupation due to the anticipated resistance and armed mobilization of millions of Venezuelans. President Maduro's call to massively expand the Bolivarian militias led to more than eight million citizens taking up arms. This, combined with Venezuela's professional army, which has not fractured, created a scenario in which any ground invasion would degenerate into a protracted people's war, with unacceptable political and material costs for the United States. A strong base of support for Chavismo remains, which the Trump administration tacitly acknowledged when it said that one must be "realistic" and recognize that the Venezuelan right lacks the necessary support to govern the country.
Instead, the Trump administration executed a surgical strike of extraordinary precision, as a way to shift the balance of power and gain influence over the Venezuelan government, which had to accept that it could not be overthrown. However much Trump and Rubio boast about “regime change,” they cannot overcome this basic fact.
But when Delcy Rodríguez, now acting president, entered into dialogue with the Trump administration after the attack, many on the left reacted with confusion and dismay. Yes, Maduro and the leaders had promised a people's war and, if necessary, a Vietnam-style guerrilla struggle. But the fact was that the US commandos were gone; there were no occupying forces to fight. That should be understood as a sign of the revolution's enduring strength, not a weakness.
So how could the Bolivarian Revolution sit down at the table with the very forces that had just murdered its defenders and kidnapped its president? The answer lies in the material conditions for survival and a proper understanding of revolutionary strategy. The revolution's organized social base and military unity represented a kind of deterrent to foreign occupation, but that deterrent could not expel the enormous military forces that still surrounded it, imposing a total naval blockade on its oil while pointing advanced weaponry at its heads. On January 3, the government recognized the military reality and made the tactical decision to maintain control of the state institutions, to buy time and live to fight another day.
This decision has clearly required some concessions to the Empire, but this also requires closer examination. Just as the false accusations of treason from January 3rd are now easily refuted, so too are the accusations of treason in the two months since then.
Claim 2: The acting president, Delcy Rodríguez, and the other leaders have abandoned the Bolivarian project, handing over the country, its economy, and its resources to US imperialism.
spoiler
- "The alleged “evidence”
Venezuela has effectively opened its vast oil reserves to foreign private exploitation and sale.
Venezuela has begun a process of “reconciliation” with the right-wing opposition, which includes the release of 2,500 prisoners convicted of treason and violence.
The US officials were greeted at Miraflores Palace with smiles and musical accompaniment, something normally reserved for allies and friends.
- The reality: a new force of power
Since January 3, the balance of power has shifted dramatically. The largest regional armada in U.S. Navy history has remained positioned off the coast of Venezuela.
No one is coming to Venezuela's aid. In fact, if we look at the region, we see that the right-wing governments of Argentina, Paraguay, Ecuador, El Salvador, Peru, and Bolivia are openly celebrating the attack. The progressive governments of Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico have limited themselves to issuing rhetorical condemnations. The strategic support of Russia and China, while significant in previous years, has proven insufficient to deter imperial aggression and has also been largely rhetorical. Each country has its own strategic military priorities. Direct intervention also raises the risk of a world war, and given their great distance, they would not have the military forces in the region to sustain such a conflict.
The agreements being forged between Caracas and Washington represent a bitter but necessary compromise. Under their terms, Venezuela has granted the United States significant control over its oil exports, reverting to a licensing model similar to that previously operated by Chevron and other companies before the tightening of the embargo. Having acquired their licenses, foreign oil companies will no longer have to cede a majority stake to the state, as was the case with the previous joint ventures; taxes will be reduced, and they will be able to sell their oil on the international market without having to sell it to the Venezuelan state-owned company PDVSA. Instead, the U.S. Department of Energy has begun marketing Venezuelan crude with the help of commodity traders and banks, and Washington has claimed the authority to determine which companies can participate in rebuilding the country's energy infrastructure. Under this agreement, for the first time in decades and without any say in the matter, Venezuelan oil is reportedly being transported by foreign tankers to Israel, a country with which it has no ties.
In return, Venezuela has gained access to its oil revenues through two overseas sovereign wealth funds effectively controlled by the United States. These funds, while subject to U.S. oversight, provide something the country has been denied for years under the sanctions regime: resources for investments in health, education, and infrastructure. The arrangement is exploitative and humiliating, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio has openly described it as the United States “taking all the oil.” But it keeps the Venezuelan state afloat.
Is this a denial of Venezuela's sovereignty over its oil decisions? To some extent, yes. But the fundamental features of the agreement align with Venezuela's long-term desire to rebuild its oil exports to the United States and resemble what Maduro himself reportedly offered in negotiations with the Trump administration. This includes an offer to reopen US oil exploration and ownership in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. This also corresponds with information from Brazilian journalist Breno Altman. Based on conversations with Maduro's son, Nicolás Maduro Guerra, Altman reported: “[Maduro] is informed, and his message is always one of support for the acting president, Delcy Rodríguez.”
The fact is that Venezuela's oil infrastructure was built primarily to supply the US market, and the refining infrastructure of the southern United States was largely built to process Venezuelan crude. From a purely economic standpoint, these countries remain natural trading partners despite ideological differences. Even under Chávez, the United States purchased 60% of Venezuela's oil exports for much of his presidency, constituting the bulk of the country's revenue. Even the expropriation of foreign-owned oil projects in Venezuela was adopted by Chávez not primarily as a matter of principle, but as a reaction to sabotage attempts and deteriorating relations with companies that rejected his terms and left the country.
In essence, the United States was already crushing Venezuela’s oil industry with devastating effects. First, oil companies blocked the sale of unique parts and technologies to maintain their neglected infrastructure. Then came a decade of financial and trade sanctions, the freezing of their offshore accounts (some of which remain, ridiculously, in the hands of Juan Guaidó), and finally, a literal oil blockade. The Venezuelan economy as a whole was severely impacted by this loss of revenue, with rampant inflation, a shortage of foreign currency, and the collapse of other industries. This is the real cause of emigration from Venezuela. Injecting billions of dollars of revenue into the Venezuelan economy, even under these unjust conditions of siege, will undoubtedly lead to an improvement in living conditions. Millions of people are expected to participate in Venezuela’s popular consultation on March 8, voting to select 36,000 community initiatives, ranging from the renovation of public services to economic projects, for government funding.
The agreement with the Trump administration has also led Venezuela to grant amnesty to more than 5,000 people and release thousands of prisoners. This includes approximately 800 people convicted of various crimes related to attempts to overthrow the government, including acts of violence. Those convicted of murder and “serious human rights violations” or “crimes against humanity” will not be released. This amnesty, denounced in some circles as the release of “political prisoners,” is better understood as a strategic decompression. It further eliminates a pretext for humanitarian intervention, isolates the most intransigent sectors of the far-right opposition, and demonstrates that the Bolivarian state retains the authority to define the approach to its own judicial processes. We can assume that the Venezuelan government also hopes this will lead to recognition from other governments in the region and the world. Since the 2024 elections, the Government has been unable to maintain normal political and trade relations with most of the governments in the region, except for Cuba, Nicaragua and some small Caribbean nations.
- Negotiations at gunpoint: Brest-Litovsk in the Caribbean
Here, the history of the Russian Revolution offers an indispensable lesson. In 1918, the young Soviet Republic faced the advance of the German imperial army with a shattered force incapable of mounting effective resistance. Vladimir Lenin, against the objections of the so-called “left communists,” who demanded a “revolutionary war” to defend the entire territory, led the fledgling revolutionary state to sign the humiliating Treaty of Brest-Litovsk. This agreement ceded vast territories, including all of Ukraine and forty percent of Russia’s industrial base, to German imperialism. It was, by any measure, a massive defeat.
Lenin's critics labeled this a betrayal of the revolution and, in particular, of all the workers, peasants, and oppressed nationalities of the ceded territories who had fought and sacrificed everything in 1917, only to return to capitalism with the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk.
However, Lenin understood what his critics failed to grasp: the goal was not to die with dignity, but to preserve the political instrument of the revolution. As the late Commander Hugo Chávez reflected after the failed 1992 rebellion: “Today we must retreat in order to advance tomorrow.” The treaty provided the necessary breathing room to consolidate the Soviet state, build the Red Army, and ultimately defeat not only the German Empire, but also the combined forces of counterrevolution and foreign intervention. History proves that those who denounced Lenin as a traitor in 1918 were wrong. All the ceded territories returned to the USSR a few years later.
Even so, this was not the end of retreats and concessions. Faced with famine conditions caused primarily by the civil war, Lenin contributed to humanitarian aid efforts by American capitalist charities, developed relations with the countries that had just invaded the Soviet Union, and re-established deep economic and commercial ties with German imperialism. Abandoning “war communism,” he guided the state toward the mass reintroduction of capitalist property relations and invited foreign companies. This laid the groundwork, for example, for the Soviet state to sign agreements with the Ford Motor Company (headed by the fascist sympathizer Henry Ford) to establish a factory.
What the government, through Delcy Rodríguez, is doing today must be viewed from this perspective. Seated across from US Energy Secretary Chris Wright, receiving CIA Director John Ratcliffe at Miraflores Palace, this is not an act of capitulation, but rather an act of survival under extreme coercion. Whether she smiles or exchanges the same ceremonial welcome offered to other state visitors is irrelevant. The objective is to relinquish what can be temporarily sacrificed—control of oil, access to the market, even 800 people convicted of violent crimes—in order to preserve what cannot be replaced: the revolutionary state, the party, and the lives of its leading figures, who have played an indispensable role in the cohesion of the Bolivarian project as a whole. With that foundation preserved, a retreat now can become a step forward in the future.
Claim 3: In matters of foreign relations, Venezuelan leaders have abandoned their historical anti-imperialism.
spoiler
- The alleged “evidence”
When US and Israeli forces attacked Iran on February 28, 2026, the Venezuelan Foreign Ministry issued a carefully worded statement that, in addition to condemning the aggression, also condemned the “undue” reprisals carried out by Iran against the Gulf States that host US bases. The statement was later deleted.
Delcy Rodríguez issued a statement expressing her “solidarity” with Qatar following a phone call with its emir, a close ally of the United States. No statement of solidarity was issued with Iran.
- The reality: Venezuela remains under pressure and wants to preserve its relationship with Qatar.
This criticism overlooks the fact that the relationship with Qatar has played a particularly important role for Venezuela in recent years. In fact, Qatar has hosted Venezuela's sovereign wealth funds and, therefore, controls Venezuela's access to its own oil revenues there. Qatar also mediated and hosted the latest rounds of negotiations between the United States and Venezuela. Venezuela had publicly thanked Qatar, in particular, for its role in the release of political prisoner Alex Saab from US prisons.
More than anything, this criticism overlooks the fact that Venezuela remains under the direct threat of annihilation by the United States. Every word and every statement continues to be subject to the strictest scrutiny, given what is at stake. CIA Director Ratcliffe has personally warned Venezuelan officials that any agreement will be ruled out if it serves as a “safe haven” for US adversaries. In such a situation, diplomacy is not a genuine profession of faith, but rather an instrument for preserving sovereign existence.
Formal relations between Caracas and Tehran remain intact, but proclaiming solidarity with Iran against the United States in this massive war would not only sever a relationship with Qatar that has become quite important, but would also provide Washington with a pretext for a second series of far more devastating attacks.
Who is Delcy Rodríguez really?
spoiler
Much of the “betrayal” narrative has focused on the figure of interim president Delcy Rodríguez. This lacks real evidence, appears entirely fabricated, and is a classic tactic of US military strategy and psychological operations.
The revolutionary credentials of the Rodríguez family are etched in struggle and blood. Delcy's father and her brother Jorge's father (the president of the National Assembly) was Jorge Antonio Rodríguez, leader of the Socialist League, a Marxist-Leninist organization that received training in Cuba. He was tortured and murdered by the Punto Fijo regime in 1976, in close coordination with the CIA, when Delcy was seven years old. Both Delcy and her brother Jorge emerged from this tradition of clandestine and mass struggle for socialism. President Maduro himself was a member of the same organization. After Delcy Rodríguez returned to Venezuela from studying abroad, she joined the Chavista movement and the government alongside her brother, and they both became Maduro's principal advisors and his most trusted negotiators and representatives on the most sensitive domestic and international affairs. She declared that building the Bolivarian Revolution would be revenge for her father's murder, a form of justice. To suggest that there was betrayal between them or a capitulation born of cowardice or opportunism is to ignore four decades of shared political training and sacrifice.
In his first statement on January 3, Trump suggested that Delcy Rodríguez had expressed her willingness to cooperate with the United States and meet its demands. Some on the left believed him, interpreting this as a sign of capitulation. His press conference that same day reaffirmed Venezuela's sovereignty and its own demands of the United States, including the release of President Maduro. The following day, after chairing a meeting of the party and state leadership, in which the unity of the military was also reaffirmed, he issued a statement calling on the United States government to cooperate with Venezuela for peace and development, but within the framework of sovereignty and equality.
This statement echoed all the declarations made by Maduro in the past and throughout the years of tensions with the United States. Maduro himself has consistently called for diplomacy and direct, high-level negotiations to avoid a full-blown war, and he has already offered comprehensive economic agreements with the United States for Venezuela's oil and mineral resources. Undoubtedly, any such agreement would have been contingent upon reducing and minimizing strategic alliances with so-called "adversaries of the United States," including Iran, Russia, and China. We can assume that each of these countries would understand this, given that they have clearly made similar difficult tactical decisions in recent history for the sake of self-preservation and national interests. Nevertheless, Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly stated that Venezuela will continue to develop relations with the people of all countries.
If Delcy Rodríguez’s Venezuelan government were to sign a similar agreement to the one Maduro offered, but with Maduro now kidnapped, it wouldn’t constitute treason. Of course, this raises the question of why Trump decided to kidnap Maduro, but this has more to do with maintaining his “tough guy” image than with any substantive political difference. In the weeks leading up to January 3, certain segments of the mainstream media specifically mocked Trump, labeling him a “loser” if he reached an agreement that left Maduro in power. He needed a trophy and wanted to appear as the strongman who could dictate terms to anyone. Trump proclaims victory, saying, “We are in charge.” He does this primarily for domestic political reasons. But that doesn’t make it real. Incapable of carrying out actual regime change, he is essentially using words to falsely declare that “the regime has changed.”
For her part, Delcy Rodríguez has stated that the return of Maduro and Flores remains the central objective of the negotiations with the United States.
Neutralize the right wing and seek the normalization of relations
spoiler
An unintended but significant consequence of these negotiations has been a major political setback for the long-backed US opposition, which has been used to deprive Venezuela of normal international relations. María Corina Machado, who for years called for foreign military intervention and the imposition of the sanctions that devastated the Venezuelan people, has been relegated to the sidelines since January 3. She has gained nothing from an administration that now deals directly with the Miraflores government.
By establishing direct relations between states based on the only commodity that US imperialism truly values—oil—the Bolivarian leadership has outmaneuvered the opposition. The United States, in its brutal pragmatism, has chosen to negotiate with the only force that actually controls the territory and resources, rather than with exiled figures who wield no real power. In their hasty retreat, Rubio and Trump even went so far as to publicly discredit the opposition figure they themselves had chosen, thus de facto recognizing the Bolivarian state as the sole governing entity. Full normalization of relations and recognition of the Venezuelan government are still a long way off and may require further tactical retreats and concessions, but if they occur, they will be considered a strategic victory for the Bolivarian project.
The task of international solidarity
spoiler
For leftist forces outside Venezuela, the current moment demands clarity on what solidarity means. It does not mean endorsing or defending each and every statement made by the Venezuelan government, given the situation in which it currently operates. But neither does it mean demanding that Venezuelan leaders commit suicide in a gesture of revolutionary purity or honor. It does not mean echoing US propaganda about “divisions” and “traitors” without evidence. It does not mean measuring every tactical decision against an abstract standard that no revolutionary project in history has ever met.
Solidarity means understanding that Delcy Rodríguez, sitting across from the representatives of an empire that has long targeted her own family, is engaged in the most difficult kind of revolutionary work: surviving under extreme pressure, with the future of 30 million people at stake. Her goal is to preserve a project that has transformed the Venezuelan state, restored Venezuela's independence, instituted impressive social reforms, created a communal sector, and withstood a sustained imperial economic, military, and political attack in a context of global isolation and an era of counterrevolution. Participating in revolutionary martyrdom in this context would achieve nothing but lead to the liquidation of the Venezuelan left and set back the Venezuelan revolution for generations.
The revolution is not over. It has temporarily retreated, regrouped, and is fighting by other means. The respite gained through these negotiations, however costly, provides the conditions for future progress.
Nicolás Maduro remains the legitimate president of Venezuela, even though he is unjustly imprisoned, denied even the possibility of paying his legal fees. The oil flowing north under this agreement is not tribute, but ransom, paid to guarantee the lives of the Venezuelan people and the continuity of the socialist state. When the balance of power shifts—and it will—Venezuela will fight to recover what imperialism has temporarily taken.
It's not about dying for the revolution, but about living and making the revolution.
Disclaimer. I decided to add the spoilers so comrades have the opportunity choose which reason to read on their own accord. From my standpoint, this way should be easier to read the information here.
Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
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