People here will say anything. Vietnam has like 5 times the militray cooperation and trade with Israel china has by this point. The latter is non existant. While the entire Iranian military production and electronics is based on trade with China. And thats ignoring of course more chinese weapons are in Iranian hands than Israeli ones by an order of magnitude. If iran wants to get to a training and purchase program for a significant amount jets and or air defenses they should have actualy tried to do that years ago. No reason to think they seriously did at any point. Instead they are getting a su-35 every two years

The missile impacts at downtown Tel Aviv seem to have been mostly aimed at non military targets no? That is the AD battery and ministry of defense building. Some settler neighbourhoods got owned but thats probably less than a quarter of the hits let alone missiles used per target. Actually i was just seeing some osint geolocation efforts pointing out that at least one of the impacts was within the Kirya fenced compound even if it did not hit the building itself. So yeah despite Israeli placement of such target next in a civilian area and the relative innacuracy of their missiles (compared to chinese and russian ones, i doupt more than a couple of other countries can consistently do much better than 50m CEP for 2000km BM launches ) iran still did good wuth its targeting given the normal salvo size

talk is that j-35s already have been launch-tested in the previous trial. J-36 wont be carrier based most likely. Huge ass and with enough range to not need it.

Another thing i have seen discussed in the PLA watching circles in the last week is that it seems like some country unnoficialy placed or will place a big j-35 order and Shengyang AC is ramping up production and apparently it isnt Pakistan. Egypt ? Some Gulf country ? Iran even ?

and as it seems Japan did most of the selling lmao. Even if they had to for their own domestic monetary and economic reasons given the situation its funny if Trump got fucked because a vassal fucked him over to save its skin. A positive thing really

Your thing has become somewhat more difficult since at least with Biden we could give the benifit of the doupt that there were 4d chess plays from his administration behind the scenes and that the words of said administration were subbtle push and pull messages to foreign powers. Now you get to do ~Kremlin~Washingtonology with random parts of Trump brainfart ramblings to connect them to hidden empire checkmates. With Trump not only masterfully teasing the US geopolitical moves, offers and threats in his speeches but presumably building an administration that can even see them through. I dont envy you

Just a note. US is ~3% of FDI in China… in good years, FDI is ~4% total investment in China, <2% of GDP for a decade now. (Some of the FDI from HK SAR is also partly from the US, taking a detour to the mainland over HK but still) Im sure China is dismantling one of the pillars of its monetary and economic policy in capital controls in defeat as we speak to get that life saving American FDI. All the signs are there, after all the CPC has announced that "they welcome and urge foreign investment and US cooperation and will try to make the enviroment easier for it" for the 5000th time since reform and opening up

inferior hardware but cheap as shit free energy to train them

Hexbear doing the clickbait anti-china thing where a random proffesor/media person/low level official says something means "China says", weird

Either way expecting the retirement age to never change from an age set when the average life expectency was 50 years is naive. Cuba has higher RE, some eastern bloc countries had higher than China before the change, some the same ,some lower.

Uniquely tho China does need to bridge its current level of development and economy to a highly automated and cleanly electrified one in 30-40 years that can sustain and provide without the same anormous enormous human capital demands as today and for that to happen, since indeed their labor force is slowly shrinking and aging and there is a missmatch of labor demand and supply in certain sectors, a gradual 3-4 year retirement age raise from a low base seens like a huge help.

Idk what the "socialist" idea is? Magicaly make automation increase by an order of magnitude in a decade or import one hundred million workers from the global south

tbf based on other comments they seem to have also visited Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities which in their own right are seeing faster development and are as impressive as a lot of well functioning European cities. So the overall impression is somewhat representative of the lives of more people than the populations of the US or the EU

Looking at Vietnam's numbers you surely wouldnt guess that its a nation born out of long and violent anticolonial struggle against th west in living memory

Hey that cant be cartoonishly evil. Its on the anarch-kurdist territory there by cooperation with the SDF so its all for the greater good of Actualy Existing Libertarian Confederalism or whatever. Dont expect their presence there being question even by most domestic left "anti-imperialist" voices. USA shouldnt leave and betray them and also the latter dont have any other choice than being comprados and being a side demon to the Great Satan, or so i have been constantly been told

China's share of global manufacturing value added is smth crazy like 35%. It's industrial might overshadows most of the world combined.

On top of that in context of the deleveraging and derisking of the real estate issue the investing and credit domesticaly has been shifting heavilt away from the real estate sector and towards industry and manufacturing

Yeah Chinese household consumption is low (tho I have seen recalculations that put it at or around Japan and SK levels and not notably lower).

So I'm asking you in light of this. How can China NOT be an exporter country? Even if household consumption along with median income approaches western levels (which is a shift that it's unreasonable to ask the Chinese state to manufacture in this short timeframe) China's manufacturing and industrial output is so large that it would still be an exporter country right? Even more so if productivity gains increase in China and the rest of the world doesn't pick up manufacturing wise.

So what does not being an exporter country entails in light of all these? China becoming more financialized and it's manufacturing base not expanding or even decreasing?

Because at current scales, and given that real estate related contributions to gdp are to shrink and have already shrinking the growth, it's industrial and manufacturing sector will only become more dynamic , versatile, efficient and productive while providing jobs to hundred(s) of millions.

It's domestic consumption can't and won't absorb anything close to it's big majority in the foreseeable future even in good case scenarios. So how can China become significantly less of an exporter country or not at all?

Also what would that mean for its foreign relations and soft power? A China that isn't the biggest exporter to most nations is a China easier to isolate with countries more likely to fa in line with US coercion, now having less to lose. Unless it becomes a comperably big importer of goods from these countries, especially as they develop too. So now China will have to absorb a much larger part of its own production and also import enough from other countries to counterbalance the loss in soft power from decreased exports of capital and goods?

Also the US "replacing" it's Chinese imports with other countries (Mexico, Vietnam) is a Potemkin village isn't it? These countries just import parts from China and assemble them to export to the us. Their imports from China follow the growth of their exports to the US EXACTLY. They become more dependent and inter tangled with China while the US isn't untagling itself from Chinese supply chains and production or industry. Just adding a middle man. Have you seen any "decoupling" and "manufacturing moving" that hasn't been that? Why is that such a good deal for the US?

Export decrese is in line with almost every other east asian country and its very much so a "western economies go into recession and import less" problem. Groth slowing to ~5% is in line with what everyone is expected and China doesnt sweat too much about it. Its pretty solid especially since its higher quality. Deflation is only a problem if it persists for a long time and if it actualy spans in various types of commodities. If you exclude energy and housing everything else shows small inflation in China still and the real estate sector is going through tough but needed restructuring and regulation periods since last year. Deflation introduced from that part of the economy is more or less a by product of them deleveraging the sector and bursting some bubbles