Because they would prefer to avoid a direct war. They'd prefer a Syria/Libya type situation of engineered moderate rebels and selective strikes to maximize chaos and breakdown. They already have Azerbaijan totally in the zionist/NATO pockets hosting their planes and harassing Russia just across the border which they can use to aid with arming these. They hope to inspire ethnic tensions to create an actual fall of Iran that's durable and removes it as any kind of a power player for decades.

Interesting. But hardly surprising. This could also be itself an influence op by the admin to attempt to influence Iran into holding its punches in the belief that there are those inside the administration trying to stop the escalation towards them and that not reacting would give them a chance to avoid a costly war with the US and meet their objectives. It's interesting that a Trump official would seek to leak to the grayzone of all places too. I suppose they have a certain notoriety but it's very interesting.

Yeah and it's well known and western media broadcast it. It's such a weak faint, so transparent that if the Iranians were taken in at all by it at this point just.. no words. Not saying they were just saying it would be.

I want to just put out there that I can see Iran being successfully destroyed. Done Syria/Libya style.

The west has moved a lot of things into position for this.

And frankly, let's recall Iran isn't run by pragmatic, thoughtful people who grew up in the USSR education system like Russia, it isn't run by Marxists like China or the DPRK. Iran is run by theocratic, reactionary, religious fundamentalists. Many of their religious policies like the mandatory hair-covering are unpopular with much of the younger society. That is an inherent, deep, deep, deep disadvantage in short and long-term planning, it is a problem because it makes them unpopular with their people because of their hard line on certain things. And given many young people in Iran have grown up never knowing the Shah it'll be very easy for them to slip into thinking they can make peace with the west, or that they should join the west or at least not defend the current rulers of their country. Add on the fall of Syria, the amount of jihadists they can deploy as in ISIS puppet groups, kurds, etc into Iran as their proxies to carry out assassinations, to carry out attacks, to demoralize the society and gather intelligence, it's a really sticky situation.

Fact is the zionists have been murdering a lot of top people in Iran very successfully. Their intelligence and likely penetration of the Iranian military is extreme and an extreme problem. They seem to know where to hit down to the day or time of day to kill these people and the Iranian air defenses are not stopping them. They don't have control of their airspace, they don't have air dominance like Russia does.

Given that and nothing else besides the recent string of victories of the zionists and the US need to cement complete control of the middle east/west Asia for their coming confrontation and cold war against China I think it's very plausible. It's depressing to think about but I think they're not as strong as they present themselves as. That doesn't mean they're as weak as the zionists or US present them as but people trot out the Millennium challenge thing and that was back in 2000, Iran has suffered a lot under sanctions since then and the doctrines of warfare have changed a lot, drone warfare for example including on the seas has matured and evolved and it's possible NATO capabilities in that area plus area denial weapons would be enough to destroy Iran in a naval fight and negate the advantage of all their small swarms of missile boats. You have to remember that challenge was in an era where it assumed old school 90s carrier battlegroups with a carrier or two, destroyers, various support ships, and a few helicopters and planes. Not with that plus tons of drones operated by people in pajamas in Germany and Tel Aviv all coordinated together.

The whole "the zionist entity is on the verge of collapse" thing so repeated here honestly comes across as copium/hopium blend based off propaganda and what we would rather be true. Objectively they've scored so many geopolitical and strategic wins from Syria falling to western puppets to Nasrallah's assassination, Hezbollah's stand-down (because Syrian supply lines were cut), the pager attacks, the Gaza genocide carried out so far and opposition to that viciously crushed all across the west, etc.

Ultimately most people here are hope-casting, or doom-casting. There is the fog of war that will not lift until the smoke has cleared and by that time the situation will likely have been decided in one direction or the other. The Iranians are likely to lie about successes and downplay failures. The zionists are likely to hide the Iranian successes and downplay their own failures. I don't pay any attention at all to western imperialist propaganda "reporting" on this and haven't since the genocide flared up really as I can't stand them so I'm not really influenced by zionist claims just by the alleged facts on the ground, the history of who momentum is with (the zionists sadly), and other factors like that.

Optimism of the will, pessimism of the intellect. The west still has a lot of strength and I fear I see a grander plan unfolding successfully. China's long-game approach to non-interventionism for example means tons of western interventions and securing the rest of the world against them by coups, wars, color revolutions, "moderate rebels", etc early on in the game right now might blunt their ability for success by the time they are ready to do that and strong enough to do that. I don't know the right moves, I just know we shouldn't underestimate them and their power at this point.

I of course hope Iran brings the entity to its knees but hope does not reality make as I hoped Assad would prevail against the west and that Nasrallah would teach the zionists a bitter lesson and we can see how those things went.

The trick about the panopticon is it's not actually good at seeing everything all the time. It's the threat of it that matters to discipline the population. In the case of the NSA/PRISM/14-eyes they have so much data much of it isn't useful in a real time sense at present. They can go back and trace things back and find connections and nail people to the wall with investigations but at present they don't have automated systems that quickly identify and find every instance of something like this. Unfortunately they're working on that with AI and I fear within 5-10 years they could be there but at present it's mostly just data that gets siloed then looked over as needed within the context of specific investigations into specific known persons and their networks of contacts and relations.

Yeah bullshit. At most I imagine he does something that applies only to US medicare. That is the US government in prices it pays has to get the lowest cost. People with insurance, e.g. those who aren't over 65? They still get fucked. In fact those with medicare might get fucked too if the drug companies simply decline to sell in the US and you end up with a medicare system that doesn't have a lot of vital drugs that in a few years Republicans can declare as completely failed and killing people and push for privatizing.

Those are the silliest things to stockpile. 1) You can get a bidet, 2) even without it we produce TP here. 3) We also produce tons of food here, we're a huge exporter, unless these officials are huge fans of Chinese brand chili crunch or ramen or something they don't need to worry about that. If anything things like soy should in theory have a price collapse for a short while as farmers go bankrupt before the price shoots up and stays up for years after due to a shortage. But you can't stockpile the things that matter long-enough term to matter, they'll spoil.

What you should stockpile is electronics, is household goods made in China that you go through. You should not defer purchases but make them now, now, now for that new TV or hard drive for yar har or video card for , etc.

It's interesting how the US guards developments anything like this yet China just releases them to the public. I get they're trying to deter the US by showing they have technology knowledge to deter and intimidate defense/military people to prevent/delay war but I have to wonder if part of the reasoning they do this is because their spies have revealed the US already has everything they reveal like this and so it's not any advantage to the US to have a paper on how to do this new thing, more just a show "hey we have this too now".

I've posted the top one before myself but this rings a bit not entirely true as in the whole story.

They're not a Chinese propaganda op and may have US spies but undeniably they had waaaay less censorship of Palestine, Gaza, the genocide, anti-zionism than all of Zuckerworld. Same I hear with Luigi stuff. So they might be gathering data but they're not controlling it as tightly as Zuck-world controls theirs or most western social media.

More importantly I think it's about destroying competition. The US took out Japan, a capitalist vassal with the Plaza accords, they work like the mafia and it's unacceptable to have something they don't fully own and control existing and being successful.

Apparently a Chinese social media app that has exploded in popularity in the west due to Tiktok's imminent ban.

Things would not have gotten better without Oct 7th, there was no better history ahead where the Palestinians allowed themselves to be quietly genocided without it. It drew attention but as we've seen that attention isn't enough. In the long-run maybe the fall-out, the ICC issues and various sanctions will serve to actually catalyze a movement to isolate the zionist occupation. But we can say it has had dire consequences as well, it's accelerated the extermination and occupation campaign. Iran flinching may be looked back at as one of the biggest strategic blunders. Their flinching has not saved them, it's left them without Syria, without a way to supply Hezbollah, with Hezbollah weakened, with Hamas weakened, with their regional influence weakened, more isolated, more hemmed in from all sides. Flinching may well have doomed them to a war with the US directly that would have been devastating but as with the Palestinians the choice increasingly looks like a slow hemming in and killing which Iran chose here, their regional alliances have fallen to pieces, or striking back and risking immediate devastation. At least striking back hard would have perhaps terminally weakened the occupation entity. Their hesitancy emboldened the zionists to decapitate Hezbollah, to take a lot of other steps to put themselves in an extremely advantageous position as of this date.

Maybe there were no winning moves for the resistance.

Oh it does. Diagnosis: Terminally Chinese, not under control of western intelligence for planting backdoors.