[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago
[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

So you think that the biggest thread energy wise is the votality of lng? I believe that this is a problem, and if it's true it may lead to another crisis in winter.

But right now the storage is nearly full, so if the winter is weak there will probably no shortage of gas and no problem in winter.

I thought that you had a different reason that will more likely (say >70%) cause more chaos in winter.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Energy was expensive, especially last winter, but it came back to "normal" levels.

Gas for example is at 10% of the high of last August and around the level of 2019.

Oil is more or less the same worldwide, so there is no disadvantage for Europe.

So which energy do you mean?

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/eu-natural-gas

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Yeah, many signs are pointing down and I won't be surprised if we get a recession here. But until it's definitely there I will wait.

As for this indicator. Never heard of it, but there seem so many of those that I wouldn't trust them unconditionally. This one for example points up:

https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/industrie-auftragseingaenge-deutschland-staerkter-auftragsplus-seit-drei-jahren-100.html

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Yeah, many signs are pointing down and I won't be surprised if we get a recession here. But until it's definitely there I will wait.

As for this indicator. Never heard of it, but there seem so many of those that I wouldn't trust them unconditionally. This one for example points up:

https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/industrie-auftragseingaenge-deutschland-staerkter-auftragsplus-seit-drei-jahren-100.html

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Germany is in a technical recession, but france, Italy, Spain are not (yet). Don't get me wrong. I think it is very likely a recession might come, but as far as I can see it is not there yet.

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/17254747/2-31072023-BP-EN.pdf/998638f3-f643-aa29-a170-ba1d34da7858

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Yeah, the US seems to be better off.

But there still does not seem to be data that the EU will be in a recession very soon, it Still at +0,?%

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Okay. Thousands of new soldiers a day (so ~1 million a year) is more than enough.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Interesting. Of course Russia will have the advantage in the long run. 140 vs 40 million people is just too big of a difference. (and then you need to remember that a lot of people flet Ukraine).

However, if Ukraine really gives everyone guns to fight, Russia needs more soldiers at the front.

What are the current news on conscription? Are there more Russian soldiers to be expected at the front soon?

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Sad. Which Russian delivery company is that on the right?

[-] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Isn't Russia still seing gas to Europa? Over different pipelines I mean. I remember hearing about some exceptions to the sanctions for eastern European countries.

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bandarawan

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