ToastedRavioli

joined 3 weeks ago
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[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 1 points 5 minutes ago* (last edited 3 minutes ago)

This is why in the realm of drug law there is the concept of analogue illegality. As in one cant just take crack or whatever, modify it by one molecule, and then sell it legally just because it isnt crack anymore on a technical basis. Its overall similarity to crack, molecularly and in terms of functionality, makes it as illegal as crack

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 7 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

“Guy Edward Bartkus? Thats a devil name”

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 3 points 19 hours ago

Downburst Entrainment Inflow

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 3 points 21 hours ago

Realistically I think any influencer wont be able to garner enough of the vote, at least until there is a further demographic shift, because having influencer/tik-toker as a label attached to you is not gonna get confidence from old people. Maybe some millennials and gen xers. But not the core demographic of consistent voters

I mean hell I’m only a few years older than her, but I have a hard time taking that background seriously, although I agree with the points Ive seen her make and like how she is literally feeding people. Shes definitely making a positive difference regardless of if she has that much electability, which is awesome.

Maybe it will change “influencing” more than it will change politics

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 17 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Whats hilarious about this is that senior commanders would be more likely to have “girls” names considering names tend to flip back and forth gender-wise. Any young Lindsay you meet today will likely be a girl, meanwhile you have old dudes like Lindsay Graham in the senate

Leslie is another one

Its incredible how things can just slip through, especially when they start at the very top

And that was the fastest that bus will ever be seen going

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Without the badge, it just looks like a Hyundai that ate too much

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 5 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I think that last sentence actually does have some value, if one isnt just saying it to hock dietary supplements.

Its hard to argue against it though if you consider all the issues with highly processed foods, nutrition deficiencies, the fact that we are meant to move far more than we usually do on a daily basis, microplastics, screen time, etc. I mean hell even eating 3 square meals a day is pretty unnatural from your body’s perspective. Kids being put on ADD medication just for normal child behavior instead of any severe issues. Theres a million examples of how our lives are deeply disconnected from the way that our bodies developed over hundreds of thousands of years

I dont think the point should be used to sell shit so much as it should be used to get people to reconsider their lifestyles. And it especially shouldnt be used to argue that modern medicine is entirely useless or that correcting any of those kinds of things can cure everything that is wrong with anyone. Obviously there are all kinds of heath issues that arent derived from some externality. That said, I think its fair to say we are all round pegs trying to fit the square hole of modern life to some extent; which reframes many health issues people can have as logical results of that situation, instead of just as an isolated problem

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 4 points 2 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I live in a tourist town with a ton of bears, moose, elk, etc, and its the same story. People are stupid as hell and have no respect for nature.

They think they can chase after a bear with cubs to take pictures, or let their dog go be friends with a moose. No matter how much you try to tell people to respect the animals or they might literally get killed, they still do the same dumb stuff

And then you have like one quarter of people who are overly cautious. “Is it safe to go for a run outside? What do I do if there is a bear?” Just dont fuck with it? Its not gonna mug you for your wallet, jesus

[–] ToastedRavioli@midwest.social 5 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Its kind of like when racial quotas were struck down by the courts for colleges. I dont think we need to have quotas for racial categories of people, but the school can still overall choose for diversity in any given instance without having legit racial quotas. They can see the diversity of any applicant as a benefit to their application over a student who does not offer that perspective.

The law cant say “universities arent allowed to value diversity” but its fair that it can say “schools arent allowed to admit based on ‘we want X amount of Y race of people’”

Overall, a system that just recognizes, values, and attempts to incorporate diverse perspectives is far better than something like racial quotas, even though they are both “DEI”

On the one hand, the first lady is certainly a fairly highly regarded position where women have been able to influence politics and affect change for a long time, even before women were really allowed to be in politics formally.

On the other hand, having married happenstance some guy that becomes president is obviously not a feat of any kind. But at the same time, in the old-school patriarchal sense of values, a woman married to a politically powerful man is considered to be above other women. Even in far pettier situations. The governor’s wife, the senator’s wife, hell even a mayor’s wife

 
 

I picked up this old Dufferin green leaf about a month ago online, and was sad when it wasnt straight because I love the maple butt.

Luckily, considering the oddity of the aluminum pin-in-shaft design on a 30+ year old cue, I was able to get a replacement from Canada where Dufferin is the largest cuemaker.

After two weeks of waiting to see if I was right, and the issue was in the old shaft/pin, it looks like the butt is as straight as the new shaft!

Cant wait to give it a test drive. Oddly enough the new shaft is about a half an inch or more longer than the old shaft, which is a bonus

 

God might not be a gambler, but His creatures certainly are. With the papal conclave due to start on May 7th, punters on Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair—three prediction markets—have already wagered $19m collectively on identifying the next pontiff. Adjusted for inflation, that is nearly 50 times more than in 2013, when Jorge Bergoglio of Argentina became Pope Francis. It may seem odd that such an arcane process can be forecast at all. But papal betting has a long history. Roman banking houses were taking bets as far back as 1503. Alessandro Damasceni Peretti di Montalto, a 16th-century cardinal, is said to have placed a ten-to-one bet on Francesco Sforza di Santa Fiora, whom he then duly helped to install as Pope Gregory XIV. (Damasceni Peretti had big bills to pay: he is said to have kept a staff of musicians on standby to sing solos at his palace.)

Such shenanigans are presumably a thing of the past. Cardinals say their voting is guided by the Holy Spirit. But today’s bettors look for more tangible clues, such as seniority, diplomatic or pastoral experience and the general direction of the Roman Catholic Church. With millions of dollars on the line, modern markets should estimate probabilities of victory reasonably well—although their current message is that the race is wide open. Our analysis of the odds offered across all three sites finds that even the current favourite, Pietro Parolin, has only a one-in-four chance of election. He is the Vatican’s secretary of state and is expected to preside over the conclave. Close behind him are Luis Tagle of the Philippines and Peter Turkson of Ghana, both of whom would represent regions where Catholicism is growing fastest. Matteo Zuppi, who serves as the Holy See's peace envoy to Ukraine, is also currently a frontrunner. The markets reserve a healthy 6% chance for a surprise: that someone currently outside the top ten will emerge from the conclave in white. Papability

So far, these odds have been fairly stable. In theory, they should remain so even after proceedings begin. The Church prohibits the 135 electors, “except in cases of proven and urgent necessity”, from any outside contact, on penalty of excommunication. The same applies to anyone else “legitimately present in Vatican City”. The only clue that bettors will get is the number of voting rounds that fail to yield a pope—the outcome of each unsuccessful tally is announced to the world with a stream of black smoke from the cardinals’ burned ballots.

Yet in 2013 the veil of secrecy that gives the conclave its name (from the Latin cum clave, “with a key”) proved surprisingly porous. On the second morning of voting, Giacomo Galeazzi, the Vatican correspondent of Italy’s La Stampa newspaper, reported that Bergoglio, who had not previously been seen as a leading candidate, was near the top of the balloting. Just 34 minutes after the second outpouring of black smoke, Mr Galeazzi posted an update naming the three effective finalists. All were later confirmed to have led the first round of voting.

That year traders on Betfair failed to move on the news. This time, with more money on the line, they might be quicker to act. A sharp shift in our chart once the cardinals are sequestered would be cause for suspicion—though very far from proof—of loose lips in or around the Sistine Chapel.

 

Calling all 8-ball, 9-ball, and snooker lovers to the first billiards community of Lemmy!

Hoping to create a chill environment to talk about games, gear, equipment, etc

!Billiards@midwest.social

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