[-] BioMan@awful.systems 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I mean I dunno if any internal numbers are meaningful at all as anything but accounting fictions. But the cost of the falcon 9 to external customers is on the believable end of things, even if they are potentially subsidized by funding rounds, and impressive. Near as I can tell it comes from accepting trade-offs: they accept low specific impulse and thus declining performance at high velocity for cheap engines, they accept an overpowered oversized upper stage to have only one engine assembly line and to shift some of the burden to the upper stage that optimally would be on the first, they accept that entering at 2 km/s is way easier than entering at 8 km/s and don't try to recover the second stage, they accept the steep payload penalty of recovering the first stage. Starship on the other hand tries to brute-force through every trade-off - meaning theyre trying to push their engines through all sanity, the second stage is heavy and bulky and comically oversized, and theyre trying to have a big empty fuel tank be a heat shield which not even the shuttle ever tried.

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 2 points 1 day ago

Acosta, the guy who cut him his sweetheart deal in 2007, is quoted as saying he was told to back off on prosecuting Epstein because he "belonged to intelligence".

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 6 points 1 day ago

So.

How much of this is folding all the meme stocks into the one thing that actually produces a product that people all over the world demonstrably want to pay for over the competition to keep their stupid plates spinning?

And how much is religious psychosis, advancing along the singulatarian eschatology from AI to dyson sphere to rebuilding the universe in His Image?

I can't tell.

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 5 points 1 day ago

Does (deservedly) mercilessly bullying Slopya Nadella actually work?

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 11 points 1 week ago

This is all he does now

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 16 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The Great Leader himself, on how he avoids going insane during the onging End of the World because among other things that's not what an intelligent character would do in a story, but you might not be capable of that.

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 7 points 2 months ago

The long expected collapse of the rationalists out of their flagging cult into ordinary religion and conspiracy theory continues apace.

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 7 points 2 months ago

I look forward to the cultists continuing to update these graphs convinced they are seeing the future of the cosmos as fewer and fewer people pay attention to the fever dreams

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 6 points 2 months ago

I wonder what will happen to all the data-center-specialized hardware when the demand falls through the floor. SOMEONE will buy it, the question is what will people figure out how to use it for despite it not being like ordinary consumer hardware.

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 8 points 2 months ago

Offhand as someone who read their websites out of morbid fascination just like I read all this stuff out of morbid fascination, it was indeed pretty important to them at least as presented on the internet

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 13 points 2 months ago

Gerard and Torres get namedropped in the same breath as Ziz as people who have done damage to the rationalist movement from within

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Hun4EaiSQnNmB9xkd/tell-people-as-early-as-possible-it-s-not-going-to-work-out

[-] BioMan@awful.systems 8 points 2 months ago

It's totally clear that current systems are not on the path to that. There's no reason to think that its impossible that something ELSE could be conscious. But there's no pointers towards getting there either.

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BioMan

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