If Russia stops fighting, it’s the end of the war. If Ukraine stops fighting, it’s the end of Ukraine.
this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2024
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What is this blog? It has no About page or any info to judge its credibility.
The author: Michael von der Schulenburg, former UN Assistant Secretary-General, escaped East Germany in 1969, studied in Berlin, London and Paris and worked for over 34 years for the United Nations, and shortly the OSCE, in many countries in war or internal armed conflicts often involving fragile governments and armed non-state actors. These included long-term assignments in Haiti, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq and Sierra Leone and shorter assignments in Syria, the Balkan, Somalia, the Balkan, the Sahel, and Central Asia. In 2017, he published the book ‘On Building Peace – rescuing the Nation-State and saving the United Nations’, AUP.
Former UN Assistant Secretary-General is not credible.
Having never heard of this person, I have no reason to believe they exist, that they are who you claim, that they hold these credentials, that they wrote this blog post, that the blog publisher is credible, that you are credible….
You see the problem. It doesn’t pass even a basic CRAAP test.
Buddy didn't bother to read the whole article, huh? The blurb OP is quoting is literally at the bottom.
Oh, I read it. I just have no reason to believe it. I have no reason to disbelieve it. I have no reason to think that it's anything other than a collection of words that some random stranger posted to the internet. It makes a few good points, so I was trying to discover if it's credible.
Putin does not want to talk or negotiate. His offer for Ukraine is surrender. Ukraine would need to give up the 4 oblasts that Russia considers part of Russia, including their 2nd and 3rd largest cities.
Judging by how civilians fared in cities like mariopol and bucha, millions will die then anyway.
Talking with Russia will not resolve anything. Letting up on Russia will only allow them to come back stronger.
His offer for Ukraine is surrender. Ukraine would need to give up the 4 oblasts that Russia considers part of Russia, including their 2nd and 3rd largest cities.
Both 2nd and 3rd largest cities of Ukraine are outside of borders of 5 contested regions.
5 contested regions? Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporhizhia, Kherson, Crimea, Odessa.
And no #2 Kharkiv and #3 Odessa are both on Putin's "wishlist".
The end goal is to link up the coast to Transnistria and make what is left of Ukraine landlocked.
Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporhizhia, Kherson, Crimea
Only abovementioned 5 regions had referendums and therefore fall into "Russia considers part of Russia" category as they are really treated as Russian regions by Russian law. Any other regions of Ukraine are not, at least currently.
Well, if Putin says he considers Odessa part of Russia (see the tass article), we should believe him. The fact Odessa has not had a referendum and was annexed is not for lack of trying.
And the other 5 are according to Russian law, Russia. Meaning they can send conscripts there legally, as they can only be deployed within Russian borders.