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[–] 3 points 2 hours ago

entropy, baby.

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  • [–] 3 points 4 hours ago (1 child)
  • [–] 23 points 16 hours ago

    Still a few billion years? We'll turn it into a junkyard way before then.

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  • [–] 4 points 11 hours ago

    Obviously though? Like that's entropy, it's fundamentally built in.

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  • [–] 177 points 1 day ago (9 children)

    I mean when you make it as arbitrary as possible. The universe is terminally unstable and will be completely destroyed. Bit of a nonsensical headline without timelines.

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  • [–] 56 points 1 day ago (6 children)

    FTA:

    The estimated lifespan of the outer solar system has been downgraded from 100 billion years to just a few billion years, according to a study that probed “terminal instability” during the Sun’s death.

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  • FTA:

    “Newton’s envisioned instability is real after all,” the team. “He was mistaken only about the perpetrator.”

    The news isn't that the solar system will eventually collapse (the concept of entropy isn't new) but that the mass loss is not predictable and smooth and the impact of the irregular mass loss fucks with their orbit:

    The recently measured white dwarf recoil demands asymmetric mass loss that is most readily attributed to discrete, independently directed ejections that impulsively perturb stellar motion.

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  • [–] 11 points 1 day ago (4 children)

    People are acting like it's not a problem, but if we have just one more downgrade of that magnitude, we'll be in big trouble

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  • [–] 25 points 1 day ago (3 children)

    Yeah, at that magnitude loss one more and we'd only have tens of millions of years left.

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  • [–] 14 points 23 hours ago (2 children)

    does that mean I can quit my job and go on a hedonistic rampage?

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  • [–] 19 points 19 hours ago

    Finally some good news.

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  • [–] 27 points 21 hours ago

    Humans are terminally unstable and will die within an average of 73 years. More at 11.

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  • [–] 25 points 23 hours ago (8 children)

    A few billion years you say? Maybe about 5 Billion?

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  • [–] 8 points 19 hours ago* (6 children)

    That episode was wildly optimistic. Earth will be uninhabitable by humans in around 250 million years and the oceans will be boiled away by the sun in 1 billion.

    ...Unless we destroy it sooner ourselves, of course.

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  • [–] 5 points 11 hours ago

    Didn’t they say in the episode that humans had long since left and it was preserved “as it used to be”. I would assume if they had a space station that could survive a supernova they’d have a way to make things fine on the surface.

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  • [–] 4 points 19 hours ago (2 children)

    If we stay around for another million years we may get to the point where we could increase the earth's orbit, allowing us to stay in the habitable zone for far longer.

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  • [–] 5 points 16 hours ago

    Even that isn't going to necessarily help.

    When the sun depletes all of the hydrogen in its core, gravity becomes the dominant force once again and it starts collapsing. Eventually, the temperature and pressure increase from that collapse will ignite helium fusion, but in the time between those two events, the core will have built up some amount of inertia, which means the collapse continues and overshoots the new equilibrium point. This means the temperature and pressure further increase, adding even more helium fusion to counteract it until the pressure generated from that fusion overcomes that inertia.

    But this rebound will also be an overshoot, but this time pushing outwards, followed by a reduction in temp/pressure, reducing fusion, then another collapse once gravity overcomes that inertia, and it'll oscillate like that for some time.

    The science isn't exactly certain about what specifically this will look like but I'd be surprised if it isn't "strip the atmosphere from the earth, even if it's already in the new goldilocks zone for once the sun eventually reaches equilibrium" levels of violence, possibly on each outward oscillation after that burst of higher fusion energy.

    Oh, there's also still a huge amount of hydrogen in the outer layers that are collapsing with the core, suddenly being pushed on with the force of helium fusion, that can also ignite hydrogen fusion in the outer layers as it oscillates, adding even more energy, though this could act to dampen the oscillations, but it will still be violent in our direction.

    My guess would be best case is humanity is forced to live underground for several million years, if we are able to tune energy gatherers properly to keep producing solar power but not get destroyed by those periodic mini novas.

    Also, even if we can manage the heat from the increased radiation, the higher pressure solar winds might overcome our magnetic field during the new equilibrium anyways. There might not be a "goldilocks zone" at all, at least not for our planet, unless maybe we can supercharge our magnetic field, which might be possible since moving to another orbit is already a Type II civilization kind of thing (considering we can't just move our planet and expect everything to be fine with the rest of them, moving earth outwards will likely require doing something about the gas giants), so the rest of it might be trivial or solvable.

    But it's fun and interesting to think about the details :).

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  • [–] 36 points 1 day ago (5 children)

    Humanity is more terminally unstable, so we win!

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    [–] 17 points 21 hours ago (1 child)
  • [–] 12 points 22 hours ago

    Not soon enough, unfortunately.

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  • [–] 14 points 1 day ago (2 children)

    Some 5 year old will hear about this and start panicking.

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  • [–] 1 point 15 hours ago

    Insert picture of Big Bird in front of a circle of sitting kids with wide eyes and a speech bubble: "... and after it swallows our entire planet whole, it will destabilize the outer planets, swallowing some of them and hurling others out into inter-stellar space where they will become rogue planets. It doesn't matter how many vegetables you eat or chores you finish, this eventuality is inevitable, which is today's word of the day!"

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  • [–] 14 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    So do I hoard toilet paper?

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  • [–] 9 points 1 day ago (3 children)

    anyway we have no clue what will happen when we collide with Andromeda galaxy in a few billions year, Maybe nothing, maybe orbit will be screwed, we don't know. And the sun will go red dwarf or something anyway in a few billions year. We will all be dead

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  • [–] 6 points 22 hours ago (2 children)

    Can't be bothered to find a source, but I remember hearing (probably from a Vsauce video or something like that) that it won't really affect our solar system. Even colliding with another galaxy, the space between stars is so ridiculously fucking huge that the chances of a celestial body getting close enough to pull our planets out of Sol's orbit is functionally zilch. It'll still be one hell of a night sky though…

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  • [–] 1 point 15 hours ago

    I think either way it's just speculation how things will be affected. Like space is big but it's also going to be chaotic af and remember that both galaxies have inner cores containing supermassive black holes and a higher density of stars, as well as both galaxies have satellite galaxies with their own cores that can join in on the chaos. Those black holes have high energy jets that they shoot off perpendicular to their accretion disc, which could get messed with as matter starts coming from all directions instead of generally falling in from the galactic disc.

    Currently, the stars in both sets of galaxies have relatively stable stellar orbits and are moving together. The collision will affect those stellar orbits, not just increasing the number of rogue planets flying around out there but also the number of rogue solar systems, including a non-trivial number that will be flung from both galaxies.

    No idea what would happen to us if our solar system was one of those. Do we need a galaxy or would it just make the night sky more boring to not be in one?

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  • [–] 8 points 1 day ago

    Oh no! A few billion years!

    /s

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  • [–] 6 points 23 hours ago

    Me too, solar system, me too.

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  • [–] 5 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 23 hours ago)

    Let's just see if we get through 2026 first, guys.

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  • [–] 6 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    Without a sun you don't have a solar system, the sun was never ever going to survive another 10 billion years yet alone 100. What a pointless study to point out the bleeding obvious.

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  • The headline isn't the timeline change but the mechanism change. The researchers used new data from observing the death of a star and applied that behavior to a simulation of our own solar system to see the impact.

    Updating models based on new data isn't pointless, it's fundamental to science.

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  • [–] 4 points 23 hours ago (5 children)

    The article's title should've focused on what 2/3 of it are written for: the beginning of life on Earth.

    I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the solar system has been diagnosed with terminal instability and has been given a mere six billion years to live.

    Actually longer than before, I suppose. The sun isn't expected to last more than 4bn years anyway, not to mention the collision with Andromeda might screw the system before the sun does.

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    [–] 3 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

    Right, but the sun is going to grow into a red giant before then, so we’ve only got a few hundred million years. Better start preparing now!

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  • [–] 2 points 16 hours ago (1 child)

    More like 5 billion years. Plenty of time to for us to wipe out all life on Earth on our own without the sun being involved. Heck, I wouldn't be surprised if humans somehow manage to break the sun before it can go red giant. Humanity's capacity to fuck shit up simply cannot be overestimated.

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  • [–] 2 points 12 hours ago

    Humanity will probably either wipe itself out in the next couple hundred years or last for a long ass time

    Either we're going to get our shit together and start being caretakers of life, or we're going to end up like Venus

    Even if modern society gets destroyed and we started over technologically, the easily accessed fossil fuels are significantly depleted. We might redevelop in a greener way by necessity, or even just find stability as preindustrial societies

    Or we just get our shit together. We're going to have to do some terra forming if we want to return to comfortable Holocene conditions, we'll need to change how we live, but we're going to have to make some big adjustments soon no matter what we do. Hopefully we take that opportunity to grow as a species

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  • [–] 3 points 23 hours ago

    Well, they didn't poll me or anyone I know about this, so I'm a bit suspicious this study is true.

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