Since there hasn't been a vote of no confidence, that is technically true, that's what it means to be PM.
I hope they keep him until the next election, he's doing a great job getting the Greens elected, keep it up Keir!
However true this may feel, I'm much more worried that Reform will end up in power than I am excited that the Greens might.
Yeah, I totally get it, your concerns are valid. Personally, I don't think they will, unless something dramatic happens to reverse the current trends. Reform UK has the plurality of support by polling for now, but they're trending downwards pretty significantly, their base is collapsing on several fronts - the extreme right contingent are too stupid to understand that Farage is a cryptofascist and want a more extreme party and keep splitting off to form crazy splinter parties that basically stand no chance of going anywhere, the moderate conservatives who hate the Tories are seeing loads of Tory party defectors being accepted into Reform and are getting progressively more and more pissed off about it, and the people who just want an anti-establishment party to vote for are getting drawn towards the Green's pro-working class, anti-establishment messaging. Pretty much this just leaves the people who buy into Murdoch propaganda and that is a rapidly aging demographic.
I think the greatest risk is something dramatic happening that spooks people into voting for authoritarianism, like a terror attack - or an early election being called before the Greens can attract enough support.
The other thing that's damaging Reform is the limit on donations from rich expats (who were most likely laundering foreign money) and crypto donations (which were definitely laundering foreign money).
On the other hand, I wouldn't put it past the Tories to join a coalition with Reform.
I don't think Labour's going to call an early election, they're too far underwater right now, and even if they find a competent slightly less centrist leader to replace Starmer, it'll take them a while to restore their credibility.
I wouldn’t put it past the Tories to join a coalition with Reform.
I think it's actually quite likely. There've been rumours that Labour are/were looking to form a secret agreement with Reform to keep the Greens out, too.
I'd love to vote for greens in my area but they aren't as big as reform locally so if I shift my vote there's a chance reform get in which pins me to a labour vote.
My best advice for you is to keep an eye on polling for your constituency and vote for the best option to keep Reform out. In the Gorton & Denton by-election recently, the best tactical vote was for the Greens, despite Labour really pushing the narrative that they were the best option to keep Reform out. The reality is that there are a LOT of people who will vote to keep Labour out, too, since they've so badly betrayed a lot of their base.
Just pick the largest non-Reform, non-Tory party. That's the best you can do.
He's the living excuse for a bad performance at the local elections now. I expect him to be ousted quickly if labour don't grow or at least stabalise.
Whats all this then? Blimey
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