Nah, dependency hell is when two things you want to use depend on same thing, but different versions. The depth of dependencies needed to make "this one thing" work may or may not be a problem

It's exacerbated by "oh this library is updated for no reason than its version is newer so we need to force that bleeding edge on any ecosystem we're in" thinking.

We've absolutely lost the careful, measured long-term release and maintenance cadence that we built the Internet on.

Compare Systemd.

Heard, not used though. Jokes about isEven(tm) too, but I never thought it goes like this in anything intended for external use

With Uber that was indeed the plan and it worked. The same plan was there for AI, but AI isn't doing so well on the whole overtake and starve out thing. They'll have to jump directly to hiking prices. So it's only kinda like Uber.

Microsoft steeply lowered expectations on the AI Sales team, though they have denied this since they got pummelled in their quarterly and there's been a lot of news about how investors are not happy with all the circular AI investments pumping those stocks. When the bubble pops (and all signs point to that), investors will flee. You'll see consolidation, buy-outs, hell maybe even some bullshit bailouts, but ultimately it has to be a sustainable model and that means it will cost developers or they will be pummeled with ads (probably both).

A Majority of CEOs are saying their AI spend has not paid off. Those are the primary customers, not your average joe. MIT reports 95% generative AI failure rate at companies. Altman still hasn't turned a profit. There are Serious power build-out problems for new AI centers (let alone the chips needed). It's an overheated reactionary market. It's the Dot Com bubble all over again.

There will be some more spending to make sure a good chunk of CEOs "add value" (FOMO) and then a critical juncture where AI spending contracts sharply when they continue to see no returns, accelerated if the US economy goes tits up. Then the domino's fall.

Unless I misunderstood, it will eventually dry up? Investors aren't going to be willing to give money with no returns indefinitely

Hah, they wish. It's a business, and they need a return on investment eventually. Maybe if we were in a zero interest rate world again, but even that didn't last.

So far, there is serious cognitive step needed that LLM just can't do to get productive. They can output code but they don't understand what's going on. They don't grasp architecture. Large projects don't fit on their token window. Debugging something vague doesn't work. Fact checking isn't something they do well.

It's not going to be enough to spend thirty thousand dollars a year per person on it, though, so the current first mover corps are still fucked. I agree that the tech itself has huge possibilities, just not the pets.com ass bullshit that is currently being pushed.

Might make open source more trustworthy, It can't be any harder to check than closed source.