One of the polls suggested that with Carney as Liberal leader, the Liberals would either be tied with the Conservatives, or even slightly ahead. But I'm just hoping that people don't take the polls for granted and don't get out and vote. While PP may have lost some ground in Ontario, he still has Alberta, so Liberals need to stay focused, since there's no telling when the election would be called, and they have to get their own leader in place first before that happens. If and when Carney gets elected Liberal leader, my concern is that some people will just think there'll be a large enough turnout that they don't have to vote themselves. I think right now, the negativity that's turning some people off PP and the Conservatives is mainly being fuelled by Trump. But if Trump turns his attention to things like the Middle East, or talks about Canada less, then I'm worried that people will become complacent and not see PP as someone who basically supports just about everything Trump says.
And even though PP talks about 'Canada First' and how he'd stand up for Canadians, I don't see him talking back to Trump. I can see Trump saying something offensive against Canada, and PP either deflecting, or blaming Trudeau, instead of defending Canada. Another thing is, I don't see PP trying to foster relations with other nations, he just wants to cozy up to Trump, either due to ideology, or because he thinks it will appease him, or both.