As an Australian I hope HarrisWalz wins because trumpet is a potential threat to other countries and not all of you americans are piece of shit bigots
this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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not all of you americans are piece of shit bigots
Australia's kindest affirmation.
I feel like there was a missed opportunity to invoke the immortal diss "shit-cunts".
As another Australian, a vote against Trump also is a vote against the Palmer united party, Dutton and other c**ts.
I'm an American living in the Netherlands. The Dutch just elected a "conservative" goon named Geert Wilders several months ago. His rhetoric has been eerily similar to what's coming out of the UK, Germany, France, Canada, and Australia. Hell, Meloni in Italy has roots in the OG fascist party. They're getting too comfortable.
From what I can discern through my news apps (Associated Press and Reuters, these days), Palmer and Dutton are quite a vintage of proper cunts, but I argue the entire anglophone world is inundated with these authoritarian cocksuckers.
With sincerity, I hope that in your next election they're shoved into the trash compactor of history along with all the other bitch-made invertebrate right-wing lunatics that are pissing in everyone's coffee across the globe, just as we (hopefully) will do so with the Orange fucker today.
EDIT: Well, looks like we're fucked.
Actually, most of us are not. But that silly Electoral College we have....makes it so that Democrats have to win by huge margins just to break even on that and on things like representation in the House.
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DON'T BUY IT. VOTE.
Possibly what you mean is don't use this news as an excuse for lazy complacency.
Every poll is a lie.
Vote.
Seriously. They all seem to say fucking different things. Useless bunch of shit.
Maybe he should do another speech where he talks about shooting people, throwing people in jail and about how much a pile of shit this country is. That seems to be working well for him, gaining him some votes. Maybe he should dig deeper into the racism and xenophobia, it’s what got him his highest numbers in the poles, right?
pretty sure at this point he's not counting on votes to get him in the white house, but violence
According to conservative relatives there was no coup, only bad players.
I’m so sick of living in a malignant narcissist’s alternative reality. Can we go back to a time where half of us don’t play along with and encourage the delusions of mental illness? Pretty please?
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Hopefully the current president won't be as pathetic as the one who was in the Whitehouse the last time the fascists tried to overthrow the government.
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You would think the Poles wouldn’t like him that much
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Celebrate the poll then vote 💙
Let it motivate you to go vote. You are not alone, even if you live in a deeply red area.
Every person who votes helps tell the story that the majority of this country rejects a crazy person leading our country.
Living in a red state this is how I thought of it, even if my vote is wasted at least maybe the world can see a majority (even if it's slight) of Americans voted against trump numerically even if he wins.
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FYI, if you see one outlier poll, ignore it. It doesn’t mean anything.
Trust the aggregate and realize there is a margin of error. If you vote, you will be the margin of error.
All the vote predictions are inching to a 50 50 split. And pollsters are using AI to simulate real people and using that in their models.
I'm curious if the split will actually be this close, but everything screams that the models are not right.
And then the moment you see some smaller pollsters who actually did the legwork, you see deviation from the 50 50 split.
But still... The call to vote is excellent, cause last time around some states where decided by less than 15K votes.
I've yet to get a clear answer on how they correct for the fact that no one answers the phone or wastes time talking to pollsters for free. I keep reading that " they take it into account" but not the methods used.
Its worth searching it up, theres many recent stories detailing the methods.
They use a representative sample by reaching out to random voters or posting ads online in social spaces. Once they have enough people to make representative groups to match the population of the state or nation, maybe a few thousand people, they then ask them questions.
They tend to use the same people repeatedly, as they are more reliable in answering, and some of them are regularly paid small amounts for their time.
The polls are essentially tracking a group of people who thought it was worth their time to answer polls, which I am not a part of, and noone I know is a part of.
Edit to add: one new thing this election cycle is that a new weight has been added to account for party affiliation, which wasnt used before.
https://goodauthority.org/news/pollsters-are-weighting-surveys-differently-in-2024/
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Tbh, a Trump presidency just presents too much fuckery. I don't even really like Kamala, but I'm more comfortable with what the US looks like after a term with her than with what Trump put forth.
This is a vote in avoiding a very obvious detriment to our country.
He is scared and coming across like a bitter asshole. The mic deep throating would have been arguably "funny" but the whole mood was sour because all he was really doing was bitching and whining about them not setting up his mic properly. Surely even Trump voters must wonder how he could manage an actual problem if he turns into an absolute manbaby at the most minor of hiccups
Surely even Trump voters must wonder
I'm gonna stop you right there.
Yeah good point
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Mic deep throating is funny on late night comedy TV.
Simulating oral sex live in front of children is not.
That was just bizzare.
Can you think of the leader of any other country where that would slide? I mean, not even Boris would have been that crass. Even keeping it within the States, is there a past president who would have?
It really made me think of elderly flashers, who act that way because they have degenerative neurological disorders associated with age.
I mean, technically there is a past president who would have, but I know that's not what you mean
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Remember when saluting with a coffee in your hand would make the national news because it lacked decorum?
I sincerely hope to God that’s true, America deserves better than the oligarchy trash taking over it. The real fight begins after this election, the Supreme Court needs an overhaul and the electoral college needs to go
TBH, I feel like there's an oligarchy controlling both parties. I voted for Harris, but I think I just voted for the less bat-shit crazy side. The billionaires are still going to get richer, corporations will continue to consolidate, middle-class will keep dwindling, and common people will keep getting poorer and have less say.
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In case anyone is overconfident and thinks them or their family/friends don't need to vote:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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Latest Selzer poll, regarded by pollsters as the gold standard, shows Harris +3% over Trump. An earlier assessment gave a scale of what various Trump leads over Harris might mean - if he led her by 11% it would predict a decisive victory for him, with lesser leads meaning not quite as strong a victory, down to a Trump lead of only 3% predicting a strong showing for Harris. Harris leading Trump is literally off that scale and predicts a Harris landslide.
Are you talking about nationally, the recent Iowa poll, or something else? Because Trump has never won the national popular vote but still made his way into office
Looks like the Iowa poll, as in of Harris had a real lead on Iowa of all places, there's no chance for him in swing states.
However there's just no way, in anyone's fever dream, that Iowa would go for Harris, so we have to assume there's some freak anomaly rather than anytime to count on or predict how things are going.
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Are there any early polls that show numbers of previous Trump voters picking Harris this time or previous Clinton/Biden voters going for Trump?
there's that one poll showing harris took the lead in iowa of all places, which is insane because of how red the state is
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