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submitted 2 years ago by ironsoap@lemmy.one to c/politics@beehaw.org

Article from a few weeks ago, but now that G. Elliott Morris is taking over without Nate's models, I'm curious what lemmy's think about political polling analysis from FiveThirtyEight?

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[-] Hermitix@beehaw.org 5 points 2 years ago

I didn't trust Nate Silver anyhow. Maybe it'll be an improvement?

[-] ironsoap@lemmy.one 3 points 2 years ago

Why did you not trust him? A history of invalid models, or personality?

[-] AngularAloe@beehaw.org 4 points 2 years ago

My trust in him dropped after being exposed to his activity on twitter. It seemed like he had a habit of trying to apply his knowledge to things he didn't understand or where he was missing the point. I'm no longer on twitter and can't remember specific examples, so it may have been more that that format did not work for him.

[-] alphalyrae@beehaw.org 1 points 2 years ago

Morris has also built robust polling analysis models, so it will be interesting to see how (or if) his models manifest themselves on 538.

As to Nate, he can well and truly go fuck himself. His arrogance is staggering, as demonstrated by his behavior at the onset of COVID in early 2020. He seemed to argue with every epidemiologist that crossed his path early in the pandemic, simply because he believed HE knew better about the impacts of a global pandemic than they did. Because as we all know, being a statistical analysis guru makes you an expert in epidemiology (yes, I'm being sarcastic).

The dude is so far up his own ass that the only way he can see outside is through his belly button.

this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2023
8 points (100.0% liked)

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