This is your regular reminder that the only poll that matters is on November 5th
this post was submitted on 15 Aug 2024
64 points (82.0% liked)
politics
19104 readers
2554 users here now
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
also early voting is a thing in most states. So take the whole week and vote when it's convenient for you. That' means Saturday as well.
OP is right folks. If not for yourself vote for the women in your life. Help protect their right to govern their own bodies
Let's add to the list, almost four years of operatives infiltrating their way into the election certification process. Not to get too tinfoil hatty, but the addiction denial strategy almost worked last time, and while the same team that orchestrated it no longer occupied the White house, state officials open to the scheme likely won't make the same mistakes this time.
It's a different election now with Harris taking the Dem nomination, but 2020 was decided by about 40k votes spread across a few key states. The same polarization that makes polling almost impossible to do accurately also means people's opinions are equally hard to change. Don't try. Instead, focus your efforts on mobilizing voters to turn out. Organize and make a plan to get yourself to the polls and to bring a friend. Check vote.gov and make sure you're still registered and make sure the reasonable people in your life have too! Uncle ivermectin isn't changing his mind about the trans panic, but there's going to be a significant portion of the population that just doesn't have time to vote between working the jobs to stay afloat. Get them a mail in ballot!
I've checked my registration about 25 times this month after learning I had mysteriously dropped from the rolls in a swing state. Don't let some jackass take your opportunity to vote away. It may be our last change to finally stop hearing about every single stupid thing that comes out of the mouths of the worst people in government. Winning is the only way to fix what's broken in our system.
If
How about the caution point of POLLS ARE USELESS?
And FYI Trump is waaaaay less popular now. My neighborhood is a maga stronghold. Not a single Trump flag by any house this year, but plenty of Kamala (there were no Biden signs here last election).
Maybe spend your time doing something that isn’t as useless as posting about polls
They're not totally useless, they're just useless as a prediction mechanism. You can still use them to examine change over time.
In other words, polls can never tell you who is likely to win, they're terrible at that. But by looking at changes in polling over time, you can see how attitudes change over time, which can be useful in certain contexts.
I’m in a battleground state and haven’t seen a single Harris (or Biden) sign. Just more and more Trump signs going up as we get closer to the election.
Don’t get complacent.
“Here’s some doomer poll data, but I put in a comment that the polls don’t matter” is a heck of a contradiction.
And if I read these tea leaves right, and interpret the look of those bird intestines...
Real Clear Politics - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Real Clear Politics:
MBFC: Right-Center - Credibility: Medium - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source
Media Bias Fact Check | bot supportSearch topics on Ground.News
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2024/08/13/cnns_enten_if_poll_error_matches_2016_and_2020_trump_is_ahead.html#!
~~Ooh, this is the first time I've seen a source reported as having "Medium" credibility by MBFC. Usually it's "High" or "Very High." Funny that the first time I see this is for a source that's reported to have a right wing bias. Kinda telling, that.~~
EDIT: Well, I'm a big smelly idiot. Read the response to this comment. I should always read the linked article before making remarks like this.
For what it’s worth this is just Real Clear Politics summarizing a CNN video
Here is the summary on CNN from the bot:
MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source