Because people are dying less from other diseases and living longer, right?
this post was submitted on 13 Aug 2024
30 points (94.1% liked)
Climate Crisis, Biosphere & Societal Collapse
1074 readers
17 users here now
A place to share news, experiences and discussion about the continuing climate crisis, societal collapse, and biosphere collapse. Please be respectful of each other and remember the human.
Long live the Lützerath Mud Wizard.
Useful Links:
Earth - A Global Map of Wind, Weather and Ocean Conditions - Use the menu at bottom left to toggle different views. For example, you can see where wildfires/smoke are by selecting "Chem - COsc" to see carbon monoxide (CO) surface concentration.
Climate Reanalyzer (University of Maine) - A source for daily updated average global air temps, sea surface temps, sea ice, weather and more.
National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center (US) - Information about ENSO and weather predictions.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) Global Temperature Rankings Outlook (US) - Tool that is updated each month, concurrent with the release of the monthly global climate report.
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System - Government of Canada
Surging Seas Risk Zone Map - For discovering which areas could be underwater soon.
Check out our sister sub for collapse-related memes and silly stuff, Faster Than Expected!
AKA
c/[email protected]
Alternative community on Reddthat
If there are any links you think are important that should be added to the list, please send a message and let me know.
Thanks for coming to c/collapse!
This is a supoli.xyz community.
SUPOLI GENERAL RULES:
- Remember the human! (no harassment, threats, etc.)
- No racism or other discrimination
- No Nazis, QAnon or similar whackos and no endorsement of them
- No porn
- No ads or spam
- No content against Finnish law
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
If you RTA actually yes, that's one of their main drivers of the predicted increase of cancer.
checks the microplastics in my brain
yes, that makes sense
And overall population growth and aging population due to lower fertility rates.
From the World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, published by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs:
The current world population of 7.6 billion is expected to reach 8.6 billion in 2030, 9.8 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100, according to a new United Nations report being launched today.
…
Compared to 2017, the number of persons aged 60 or above is expected to more than double by 2050 and to more than triple by 2100, rising from 962 million globally in 2017 to 2.1 billion in 2050 and 3.1 billion in 2100.
~ Sauce
Okay... I tried reading the linked paper in the article linked and from this:
The projected cancer cases and deaths in 2050 were derived through demographic projections, assuming that the 2022 estimated rates remain constant. The projections were calculated every 5 years (2025, 2030, … 2050) by multiplying the 2022 age-specific rates with their corresponding population projections for the target years (2025, 2030, … 2050), with the projected population extracted from the United Nations world population prospects.
It sounds kinda like the cancer increase is mostly due population growth. It's not "The Earth's crust will be 90% carcinogens by 2050" it's "We expect a lot more people, so that means there will be a lot more old people, a lot more obese people, a lot more people who smoke and drink, and a lot more people exposed to air pollution.
I mean, the per capita cancer rate has been pretty steadily dropping in the US for the past two decades even before COVID decimated the elderly.
Did they mention doing a Lee-Carter model for the forecast?
I'm not gonna lie, calling my reading of the paper "skimming" would be generous, but I don't recall seeing that.
Oh fun. My balls are full of plastic and I'm gonna die of cancer.
Just in time for the AMOC collapse!