[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 26 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

It's more that at my new job I can't spend time posting when I should be working, and I really do not want to screw this up, it's a once in a lifetime opportunity to change career fields while also fulfilling a lifelong passion. This website takes a backseat to that. I did inform one of the mods here via private message last month that I'd be online a lot less, so it's not like I dropped out because of world events or whatever.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 106 points 2 days ago

The US continued to deploy assets from Fort Bragg and Pope Army Airfield (82nd Airborne, 3rd SF Group, Delta Force, etc) to the Middle East from April 14th to April 18th, most destinations hidden from open source tracking. Previously, over 30 C-17s were tracked to have arrived in Kuwait and the UAE for staging of the above forces. In addition to this, Marine Corps F-18C tactical fighter aircraft, an unknown amount, will also be deployed to the UAE to provide close air support for any potential Marine operations in Iran. They are in the process of crossing the Atlantic ocean. This is in addition to Marnie Corps F-35Cs headed to land bases in the region last month (unknown which to me, you can try figure it out) and and F-35Bs on the USS Tripoli and USS Boxer for the same mission, the Tripoli is already in the region, the Boxer is on it's way. The Boxer left Pearl Harbor on the 1st of April, at an average speed of 15 knots it could make it to the Strait of Hormuz before the end of April, 26 day voyage. Not a prediction, but an illustration of how long it'll take to arrive, and how close an earliest potential arrival is. The USS George HW Bush aircraft carrier is also on it's way, going around Africa. The USS Gerald R Ford is in the Red Sea, just entered the Suez canal yesterday. The USS Abraham Lincoln remains in the region, about 250-300km from the coast of Iran.

Source on latest movements, Armchair Admiral on X/Twitter

There are now a total of 34 flights categorised as "Unknown Destination", meaning I was unable to determine a destination from either ADS-B or ACARS data. This is an increase of 17 from the 14th of April.

There have been a further 15 C-17s from Pope Army Airfield either in-transit or arrived in the Middle East - three have arrived at King Faisal Air Base.

There have been 10 Navy-coded flights from Marine Corps Air Station Beaufort, where a Coronet East towed F/A-18A/C Hornets to Lajes Field on the 18th of April. Six of these flights arrived at Al Dhafra Air Base [UAE].

The USS Tripoli doesn't have a well deck, meaning it lacks the full amphibious assault capabilities of ships like the USS Boxer, which has a well deck. This could explain the need for the Boxer. The USS Tripoli is often used as a mini aircraft carrier as the lack of a well deck means bigger hangars for aircraft, with over 20x F-35Bs on board, or an airborne assault force of tilt rotor and helicopter aircraft, or a mix of both.

This will probably be my last comment for a few weeks.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 25 points 3 days ago

These numbers (1/3rd destroyed, one 1/3rd buried underground, 1/3 unharmed) are just the same numbers which have been put out by the Times of Israel war correspondent weeks ago. Everyone is just recycling them.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 43 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

82nd Airborne is the premier airborne division of the US Army, it was the first airborne division in it's history. Paratroopers, light infantry. Parachute assualts to secure national key points.

With relevance to a potential ground operation in Iran, the 3rd SF group is trained for Special Reconnaissance/Commando operations behind the frontline, Information Operations including electronic warfare and psyops, and most notably, Counterproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction.

Now will they actually deploy in Iran? Who knows. Typically, as a pattern, if Trump sends the military resources to an area, he uses them. But this is very, very different from previous military actions. It would be a multi week ground operation, to excavate and seize nuclear materials. Casualties and fatalities are guaranteed at a level not seen in two decades by the US military, even if successful. Not a two day operation to rescue a single pilot. Even in that rescue operation, the US used every tactical fighter aircraft in it's arsenal, and B-1B bombers, to provide close air support for the rescue operation. The US may decide not to do it, and try ceasefire shenanigans or try to negotiate a new nuclear deal, with regards to the nuclear materials.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 79 points 3 days ago

Anyone pick this up? US using the ceasefire to stage the 82nd Airborne Division (and others) in the UAE and Kuwait. Information from a few days ago, April 14th.

Since the start of April [to April 14th] there have been 62 Army-related [C-17] flights, with 47 being from Pope Army Airfield, 11 from Dover Air Force Base, and 3 from Campbell, Robert Gray (2) and Henry Post.

Most of these flights from Pope have gone to Al Minhad Air Base in the United Arab Emirates (26), and Ali Al Salem Air Base (10) in Kuwait. A further 4 have gone to Ben Gurion in Tel Aviv, 4 to King Faisal Air Base and 3 to King Abdullah II Air Base, both in Jordan.

Source, Armchair Admiral on X/twitter

Fort Bragg and the associated Pope Army Airfield is home to the 82nd Airborne Division, the 3rd Special Forces Group (Airborne), Delta Force, and others.

No idea what will happen next. More ceasefire, more war, who knows. I have no time to follow this in detail.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 5 points 3 days ago

Nothing's changed lol

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 5 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

I sent one of the moderators a message on the 29th or 30th of March explaining why I wouldn't be online anymore and said that they were free to tell people why (with less detail than the private message). In short, career change, and I really don't want to screw up this career change. So no time for posting.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 98 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

More Tomahawk cruise missile remnants found at the site of the strike that hit a girl's primary school in Minab, Iran, killing over 100 schoolgirls. The United States is the only party in this war that operates Tomahawk cruise missiles.

Source, multiple threads of evidence from Trevor Ball (ex US Army EOD), NYT and now CGTN

More confirmation of the obvious, it was a US Tomahawk cruise missile strike at the beginning of the war that killed those schoolgirls. Despite all the denials from the US government and Trump administration, and all their blind followers.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 105 points 1 month ago

It's raining oil now in Tehran this morning, after Israeli airstrikes on Iranian crude oil storage facilities.

Thread with multiple videos and photos

This is absolutely horrendous, I guess our generations version of the oil wells burning in the 1991 Gulf War (I'm not old enough to remember that, but I've seen the images).

37

I'm unironically very glad we're getting another melodramatic super unrealistic Ace Combat game. Despite being a massive plane nerd I much prefer Ace Combat to something like DCS. First person cutscenes are interesting, I just hope that they don't screw it up like they did with Assault Horizon.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 106 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

The Israeli occupation of Gaza city, "Operation Iron Fist" has just begun. An initial division of the IDF/IOF have entered Gaza city, with close air support being provided by aircraft continuously landing and taking off according to Israel. Yes, Israel are actually planning to invade and occupy the entirety of the Gaza strip, including Gaza city, which they have not done so yet. They have now pulled the trigger on this plan, after much speculation.

Source, xcancel

Axios also reporting on it

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 131 points 10 months ago

Everyone, while this is not news, If you've been following my posts over the past few months, you can see that I've been covering the US military buildup in the Middle East against Iran quite extensively. Seeing it all come to fruition after ringing the alarm bell for months, it's nightmarish, I'm feeling sick honestly. Everyone in Iran that uses this website, please stay safe.

15

Highly recommend reading this if you want a breakdown of exactly what happened in the fighting between India and Pakistan this month, I read the whole thing yesterday and it's fairly accurate and well sourced, and lines up with previous observations.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 102 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

In case anyone's wondering why I only share or post satellite imagery or geolocations after any bombings have already happened, and am very strict about OPSEC (even to the point of not reposting posts from resistance figures or media with poor OPSEC), this is why. US CENTCOM has been using social media OSINT (twitter, telegram, WhatsApp, etc) for targeting information, resulting in innocent people dying.

Twitter source

Xcancel mirror

Remember, this is war, not a circus or videogame. Innocent people just like me and you are dying. Don't post, repost or share incriminating stuff, even if a popular resistance figure posts say, a selfie of themselves next to a US daytime bombing while it's happening (Yes, this actually happened, no, I will not share it). Don't post satellite imagery of "potential military sites". Unfortunately many people online in OSINT communities do not understand this, they either don't realise war is real or they don't consider those on the other side of the world as human.

Ultimately the responsibility is on those doing the bombings (the US Navy in this case), and a group's OPSEC is their own responsibility, and not the responsibility or fault of random twitter accounts, but still, don't play any part in the death of innocent people. There's a reason why Ansarallah in Yemen have put in place a strict official media and social media censorship campaign, which I have posted about before.

Also if the Commiejones moderator on hexbear is still around, thank you for enforcing OPSEC when you were around.

If anyone's wondering, the data I use for the daily Yemen posts comes from the Ansarallah/Houthi owned and ran Al Masirah TV.

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MarmiteLover123

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