this post was submitted on 09 Jan 2024
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Statecraft
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I'm more concerned about Chinese manipulation. Russia may have practically invented social media foreign manipulation in 2015, but China is now much better at it. If China wants Russia to win (debatable), their influence campaigns may be more effective. And I expect this year to have the most effective influence campaigns ever. This year won't just be hundreds/thousands of troll farm accounts. With AI the bandwagon, pushing an opinion will be able to outnumber the genuine accounts. You won't just have one shilp with a couple shill responses. You'll have the first dozen comments be shills, with most having several shill comments in agreement.