this post was submitted on 27 Dec 2023
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I think the idea is that more employers are being cautious right now, and so employees lose a bit of leverage going into negotiations. They'd rather wait with what they have, some sense of stability, and enter the job market again when things are looking better for the employees.
Is this necessarily true or accurate? I don't really know, that's a bit outside of my pay grade, but I get the reasoning
The thing is, while interest rates and wages are in some ways connected, it's a far less direct connection than simply taking a look at the overall labor market, competitive pay rates for your skills, and going job hunting when yours isn't keeping up.
Regardless of interest rates, the labor market is tight right now, which means better offers from those companies willing to compete for qualified workers, end of story.
Honestly, while I'm no economist, I would think that most companies aren't borrowing in order to cover payroll, so while interest rates may affect their decisions in regards to capital investments, they only have a tangential effect on hiring and compensation offers. In fact if anything, maybe a high interest rate might dissuade a company from capital investment and steer them toward a focus on staffing.