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this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2023
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Death to NATO
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I'm not really seeing a good strategy for US here as well. China realizes that time is ultimately on their side. In the long run, it's almost certain that reunification will happen peacefully. As you point out, the only scenario where China would react militarily is US crossing China's red lines which will be politically difficult to do. I think the other aspect people tend to forget is all the ways China can retaliate economically against the US.
Exactly, if there was an actual war between US and China then US economy would collapse overnight. They've been yammering about decoupling for years now, but the reality is that there's no path towards it. What's worse from US perspective is that countries they might realistically move production to are becoming increasingly hostile towards the US as well.
What countries that the U.S. wants to turn to but are becoming hostile to it are? I know that Amerikkkan politicians for decades have talked of moving production out of China into places like India, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, but what countries specifically and what recent developments? I'd love to do some reading.
India and Mexico are the two big ones. US has been trying to position India as a counterbalance to China for a while, but now the relations between US and India are quickly starting to deteriorate. One big driver of that has been US trying to pressure India to stop trade with Russia which infuriated India. Recently US and Canada were trying to put political pressure on India by making public accusations of India carrying out assassinations on Canadian and US soil. India has reacted to this as negatively as you'd expect.
Meanwhile, AMLO has been very critical of US while further strengthening relations with China. US politicians have now even started making noises about US having to go to Mexico to "fight cartels".
Let's hope this trend continues
India did do those assassinations, but yeah the US and Canada wouldn't have made a stink if they didn't want something out of it
Right, and lots of countries do these kinds of assassinations all the time. The only time it's brought up in public fashion this way is for political pressure.