this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2023
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I’ll be shocked if Threads is relevant within two months.
Maybe. I think there’s a lot of dislike towards Elon out there, people are just looking for an alternative to Twitter. The recent surge in popularity for threads is just proof of that.
You could say that about Facebook and yet it trundles on.
Threads will be relevant because Meta has the money to keep making it relevant.
Meta VR would have died by any other company, but Meta VR will stick around for quite a while because Zuckerberg money.
Unless Twitter completely turns things around (spoiler, they won't) I expect Threads will slowly grow over the next several months; both in users and features.
At the moment Threads isn't ready (from a functionality standpoint) to absorb Twitter, but it will be the more time they have.
From a Mastodon/Fediverse standpoint the sooner Twitter falls over, the better. (Assuming it's ready to scale and take on users, I think probably, but who knows.)
In short unless something dramatic happens I expect Threads (for better or worse) will be around for a long time.
I made a few comments on various news sites (and techie news sites too), and the overwhelming response was basically they were happy to choose the lesser of two evils. And the fact that Threads is working while Twitter is in shambles.
No wonder the open Internet is fucked.