A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image depicts Kim Jong-un accompanied by China's Wang Huning, crossing the New Yalu River Bridge on a day's visit to China.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preambleThe situation in the Middle East remains very tense, with the two major points of speculation being 1) whether the war will resume at all, or if the US is bluffing to try and get Iran to concede on their demands, and 2) assuming the war will resume, whether the US will conduct strikes on Iran before or after the elections within the Zionist entity; the point being to try and further delay the elections by citing the war they started as an emergency and therefore keep Netanyahu in power. Quite frankly, if Netanyahu wants to risk destroying the whole Zionist project just to save his own skin, then I have no objections - aside from the part where he might do immense damage to the world economy in the process by prompting Iran's promise of regional retaliation, of course. Meanwhile, the Saudis keep getting pummelled, with Ansarallah landing missile after missile on pipeline pumping stations, airbases, military officials, and troop accumulations. Even the Western media is becoming dour about MBS's prospects. Attempts to isolate Iran economically are becoming rather spotty. Pakistan briefly halted their border exchange with Iran, but once Iran splashed cold water on their face by restricting their fossil fuel exports into Pakistan - which is already in a politically unstable situation - they wised up quickly and reopened them.

Next up, we have the surprising victory of Lula in the second round of the Brazilian elections. A loss in the first round into a victory in the second round hasn't happened in Brazilian history since 1989, and the president winning a fourth term via a democratic vote is unprecedented - and I fully confess that I went into this thinking Bolsonaro was gonna scrape by with a ~0.5% lead, so I will publicly and gladly admit to being wrong. The regular suite of electoral irregularities and not-quite-illegal tactics took place to try and prevent Lula from gaining the requisite votes, including a swathe of widespread interruptions to public transportation in cities that typically vote for Lula, as well as Meta putting a thumb on the scale by apparently reducing the visibility of Lula's online campaign. However, countering that was an upsurge of people who were otherwise unengaged who presumably went "oh shit" when they saw the first round results, as well as an emergency two hour extension to voting in order to counter the aforementioned public transportation interruptions. The next year or two will determine if Lula's victory is a curious aberration or instead a breakwater to the rising tide of conservatism in Latin America, fueled somewhat by explicit American intervention but mostly by the populace themselves finding little hope in lukewarm social democrats and instead finding community in, among other places, right-wing evangelical religious groups. I recommend RedSails 2023 piece, Reformists, Revolutionaries, and Social Liberals, which delves into the broad contours of the Latin American and particularly Brazilian political landscape, and how even reformism has been essentially abandoned in many countries in the region (and, therefore, why ground has been ceded to the right-wing lately).

It remains difficult to keep track of global events as the crisis worsens. The Hormuz oil glut prophesized by the US military and its quislings is still yet to show signs of being founded in reality, with Brent oil prices now reaching highs resembling those in the period of outright war in April, and emergency fuel supplies in the US being increasingly dipped into. While the biggest cause of this price increase is obviously the literal scarcity of oil, some of this trend is due to comically high tanker rates (which are that high due to a number of factors but which all still ultimately stem from Iranian strikes on tankers trying to slip through the strait), and some of it is due to China amping up their oil imports just in time for the US midterms, which puts further stress on world supplies. All of this pressure continues to feed protests and riots, of which those in Europe have received the most attention. The pressure on populations is coming at the exact same time that broader financial conditions reach points that usually prompt austerity measures, creating a pressure cooker of contradictions which governments will have to attempt to survive. Some have already failed to do so, such as Serbia's - however, as I said last week, the root cause of the dissatisfaction is typically another factor that the economic problems are merely fueling (i.e. in Serbia's case, a student movement).

As a more positive final note, Kim Jong-un visited the Chinese border city of Dandong to commemorate the 76th anniversary of Chinese troops marching to help northern Korea during the Korean War, with both countries reportedly seeking to deepen their industrial and trade cooperation. The New Yalu River Bridge between the two has finally formally opened after a 12 year delay, shortly after a bridge between the DPRK and Russia was completed last month.


Last week's thread is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] 47 points 1 day ago (4 children)

https://archive.ph/W4CSk

Yes, B-1 Lancer Crews Are Now Logging Proficiency Hours In A Honda Business Jet

The US Air Force has made headlines recently with divestments of legacy airframes, bringing the total fleet inventory to the lowest point since the end of WWII. At around 4,900 aircraft in total, the USAF has a shortage of combat-capable bombers, fighters, and every other airframe as well. In addition to limiting its deployable squadrons, it is also making it more challenging to keep pilots current on training flights.

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This has led to an innovative solution involving the most economical bomber-like plane available in the private sector. Although a supersonic heavy bomber and a 422-knot light business jet have almost nothing in common, both directly contribute to the flight time that keeps USAF bomber pilots qualified. The arrangement is formally called the Bomber Supplemental Trainer for Aircrew Readiness, or BSTAR. At the Air and Space Forces Association's Air, Space and Cyber Conference on September 17, General Stephen L. Davis, commander of Air Force Global Strike Command, confirmed the program. Specifically, the HondaJet is being used to help Rockwell B-1 Lancer pilots log flight hours while their own aircraft sit in the maintenance bay. So how did the world's most powerful air force, and one of only three with bombers in its Fleet, reach this point?

A Fleet That Cannot Fly Its Own Pilots Enough

As a result of its long career, the airframe of the B-1 Lancer isn't what it used to be. The B-1's mission-capable rate fell from 55% in fiscal 2022 to 43% in fiscal 2024. Similarly, the Northrop Grumman B-2 Spirit stealth bomber fleet has been slipping from roughly 59% in fiscal 2021 to 52.8% in fiscal 2022. The famous flying wing is one of the most notoriously high-maintenance aircraft ever built, but the B-1 is not far behind it with its swing wings and supersonic mission profile, which calls for 'yanking and banking' just above the nap of the Earth. Bomber-wide, mission-capable rates across the B-1, B-2, and Boeing B-52 Stratofortress fleets averaged just over 50% in fiscal 2024, Air and Space Forces Magazine reported. That is distributed on a combined bomber inventory of 140 aircraft spread across nine squadrons. The combined average age of all those airframes is nearly 50 years, with the B-52 being the oldest but also averaging the highest readiness.

A fighter squadron with half its jets grounded is a problem. However, a bomber squadron with half its jets grounded is a crippling blow to a tiny force. While the entire US bomber force once reached a peak of 422 planes in the Cold War, the current force levels are likely to only grow smaller in the future. But not only leaves fewer planes for missions, but also fewer aircraft to fly for training. So, if the jets are not available, what exactly does a pilot do to stay proficient?

Renting Business Jets To Keep Crews Current

During a panel titled 'Flying and Fixing to Fight and Win,' Davis explained that bringing in the HondaJets helps provide vital flight experience. XSTAR Aviation grew directly out of a USAF Global Strike Command study into the same aircrew readiness gap it now exists to solve. Under BSTAR, XSTAR supplies the Air Force with HondaJet Elite light business jets to address its pilot readiness issue while it works on remedying the fleet readiness. The plane is a twin-engine civilian aircraft built by Honda Aircraft Company that cruises at up to 422 knots, reaches a service ceiling of 43,000 feet (13,106 meters), and is powered by a pair of GE Honda HF120 turbofans. These light jets give pilots a chance to fly and log crucial time in the seat. The HondaJet Elite itself is a twin-engine light jet measuring 43 feet (13.11 meters) long with a 40-foot (12.19 meters) wingspan. Its two GE Honda HF120 turbofans each produce roughly 2,050 pounds of thrust. It is true that the plane is diminutive by comparison to the enormous bombers of the USAF. It is a machine designed for regional corporate travel rather than anything resembling heavy bomber operations. Still, the logic behind using the Honda Jet is straightforward. It saves a great deal of funding for maintaining basic flight currency and depends heavily on instrument flying, approach work, and general stick time. A light jet can sustain these foundational skills. This practical workaround allows pilots to keep their core aviation instincts sharp while their primary aircraft are grounded.

What Grounded The Bombers In The First Place

The B-1 Lancer, fondly known as the Bone, was made to penetrate Soviet airspace using sheer speed and maneuverability. The huge plane first flew in October 1984 and was delivered between 1985 and 1988, originally entering service as a nuclear penetrator before converting exclusively to conventional roles in the 1990s.

Today, the Lancer stands as the Air Force's sole carrier of the Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile.

technically, this is a bit out-of-date, it was recently also confirmed for the B-2, there are ongoing tests for the F-35 and some other planes, and it can also be used on the F/A-18E/F (but that's the Navy so technically it doesn't count towards the USAF's capability)

Its swing-wing airframe can haul up to 75,000 pounds (34,019 kg) of ordnance, more than any other aircraft in the US inventory, but that massive capability now rides on an active fleet that has shrunk to roughly 45 airframes from an original production run of 104. Air Force officials have pointed to a combination of funding, parts, and workforce shortfalls as the primary drivers behind falling mission-capable rates across the entire aircraft inventory. The consequences of these thin flying hours are far from abstract. Colonel John 'JV' Venable wrote an analysis of the state of the fleet for Air and Space Forces Magazine in mid-2025.

The Hazards Of Deprioritizing Flight Time

Venable noted that the bomber fleet was struggling, and in at least one mishap, the pilot had a paltry number of hours in recent months: "US bomber crews are in even worse shape [than fighters]. Years of underfunding flying-hour programs and weapons system sustainment accounts make it unlikely that a single bomber squadron can execute peer-level mission requirements within their respective designed operational capability statements." "Employing forces that are not trained for a high-end fight would undoubtedly suffer higher loss rates, not just in combat, but during the more benign phases of flight, like taking off and landing. Recent accident reports, like one that followed the January 2024 crash of a B-1, confirm this. That $300 million bomber was lost during a routine instrument approach into its home field. The mishap pilot had three sorties in the previous month, and the instructor pilot had just two in the previous 60 days." That accident serves as the immediate backdrop against which BSTAR was conceived, and it fits a dangerous pattern the Air Force has acknowledged across its entire combat aviation community. Aviation analysts have documented a fighter pilot shortfall that has grown from 200 pilots in 2006 to roughly 1,150 today, driven in large part by a lack of available aircraft for pilots to train on. This same dynamic, fewer flyable airframes chasing the same strict currency requirements, applies just as directly to the bomber community.

A Parallel Push to Fix the Bombers Themselves

While BSTAR treats the immediate symptoms of thin flying hours, the Air Force has also launched a major effort aimed at fixing the underlying cause. In September, Air Force Global Strike Command partnered with Air Force Materiel Command and the Defense Logistics Agency to launch the North Star Readiness Campaign. This initiative is explicitly designed to raise the number of mission-capable B-52 and B-1 aircraft by speeding up the delivery of vital spare parts, engineering support, and depot-level maintenance. General Davis of AFGSC commented on the initiative earlier this month, saying: “The North Star Readiness Campaign is our commitment to ensuring the warfighter has the nation's bomber force ready to go at a moment’s notice. This is a team effort. It brings together the operators at Air Force Global Strike Command, the acquisition and sustainment experts at Air Force Materiel Command, and our logistics partners at the Defense Logistics Agency to focus on one thing: operational readiness.” “By modernizing these incredible platforms and ensuring our maintainers have the parts and support they need, we are sending a clear message to our adversaries and allies alike that the United States’ long-range penetrating strike capability is, and will remain, second to none.”

Making Do To Accomplish The Mission

BSTAR is a readiness story about a bomber force so depleted, at just 140 aircraft compared to a Cold War peak in the hundreds, that the Air Force decided renting civilian aircraft was a more reliable path to pilot currency than waiting for its own maintenance pipeline to catch up. Davis candidly acknowledged that the program exists because so many airframes face ongoing readiness challenges, a plain admission that the solution is not entirely within the Air Force's own hands yet. Whether this pays off depends on two timelines staying roughly on schedule: the North Star Readiness Campaign for the B-52 and B-1 fleets, and the B-21's smooth transition to a combat aircraft. Until both objectives are met, a small fleet of light jets will continue doing quiet, unglamorous work that no high-profile press release ever mentions. These corporate jets will keep giving Lancer crews just enough stick time to stay current on paper while their own supersonic bombers wait in the hangar.

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  • [–] 20 points 1 day ago*

    The main reason is that the B-1B fleet got worn out performing a mission it was never made to do in the original design, but actually is very good at, close air support in Iraq, Syria and mostly Afghanistan.

    The B-1B was originally designed to penetrate Soviet airspace by flying very low to the ground at transonic speed using it's terrain following radar, remaining undetected due to low altitude and a reduced radar cross section, to deliver nuclear weapons. The mission the B-1B ended up performing was loitering over Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria at medium speed (with the swing wing extended) and medium to high altitude, to drop JDAMs on whoever the US was fighting, providing close air support (the word close is about how close the effects are to allied infantry, not how close the aircraft itself is to the infantry) for US infantry and their allies.

    It was very good at this because of it's long loiter time (due to it being an intercontinental strategic bomber), and large payload capacity, up to 24x 2000lb GBU-31 class JDAMs, or 48x 500lb class JDAMs, or a combination of the two in it's 3 internal weapons bays. But it wore the airframes out, especially the swing wing component. There is no way to remove the hours flown from those airframes, they are done for, and the US is even bringing B-1Bs out of the boneyard to keep numbers up. Those airframe hours were all used up to accomplish nothing in Afghanistan in the end. Expensive strategic mistake.

    It's why the US Air Force will retire the B-1B well before the B-52H, which is becoming the B-52J. And why there is such a huge focus on keeping the B-21 programme on time and on budget as the US wants new bombers to enter the fleet ASAP, though the B-21 is different from current bombers and goes back to the philosophy of WW2 era bombers with it's own defences/self escort capability (those smaller side weapons bays are the modern equivalent of a tail gunner) and less reliance on mid air refueling, with two highly efficient turbofan engines and a slightly smaller size than the B-2.

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