I see your idea. I do think it's socialism or barbarism. And I think the contradictions are sharpening hard in the imperial core.
The cost of living is out of control meaning that there will need to be some concessions. But that's been spiraling out of control since the 80s. We might be finally at a breaking point but we'll need to see some juice from politicians.
I don't really agree with the balkanization thought you have. I think that's super complicated and who knows.