Hold on to your butts, comrades. We're about to get a preview of 2050. I just checked the live data, and the area off the coast of South America that is the index water for ENSO is 9° F above average in places. This is going to be a wild year.
Yeah, ocean temps in the Atlantic tend to be slightly cooler during El Niño years, which suppresses hurricane activity a bit.
On the other hand, if ever a hurricane-like cyclone were to devastate Los Angeles, this would be the year.