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this post was submitted on 05 Jul 2026
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For those who don’t know here is that city on a map although labeled as Al-Ubayyid (same name, different Latinization). As you can tell RSF is surrounding much of the city, though it’s a better situation than when they were totally cut off and under siege earlier. Still very unpleasant situation to be in as all these drones show.
Drones also aren’t only coming from RSF controlled areas in the east, unfortunately. The SAF caught drone attacks being launched on civilian and military targets in their capital of Khartoum coming from an airport in Ethiopia. Ethiopia has also had recent reporting some months back from Reuters of them establishing a secret base to train RSF fighters near the border with Sudan.
Actually, though you may look at the map above and think RSF is screwed due to having no access to the ocean to get supplies from the UAE, that thought would be incorrect. UAE money is very tempting and so almost all of Sudan’s neighbors (including Ethiopia, South Sudan, Central Africa Republic, Chad, and Haftar’s piece of Libya) other than Egypt and Eritrea are keeping the RSF’s supply chains intact through their own countries.
South Sudan is going further than that and backing the Sudan People’s Liberation Front - North (at least, the part of it that joined hands with Hemedti) as the SPLF’s efforts were what South Sudan sprang from. The SPLF-N and RSF have fought each other before but one part considers the SAF to be the bigger threat and joined up with RSF while the other faction did the opposite.
Rough neighborhood for the SAF outside of Egypt and Eritrea who are both terrified of an RSF led Sudan & Ethiopia partnership and so oppose it instead with their own military aid and assistance. Egypt because that combo could freely extort Egypt by using the Nile River as leverage, and Eritrea because Ethiopia has already been saber rattling about wanting to conquer a port from Eritrea anyway so the added fun of another neighbor potentially in on that scene is really not appealing.