this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2023
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Ukraine
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Really interesting article providing context to what is happening from someone with experience at commanding major military operations. Definitely gives new perspective to why Ukraine has struggled lately to make significant progress.
To add to that, they are also on the clock. Once mud season starts, advancing becomes almost impossible until the winter sets in, giving extra time for the defending force to resupply, strengthen positions and bring in new troops.
You can see the Ukrainians are pushing hard to get the supply lines to Melitopol in HIMARS range. All the rest is a secondary objective at the moment, I think. If they can severely weaken or cut the supply lines over the land bridge, the bridge to Crimea becomes a single point of failure for the supply routes to Crimea and Cherson. If that is achieved, I'm sure UA will find a way to cut that line as well.