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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

Starmer (44%) vs Farage (29%)
Starmer (36%) vs Badenoch (25%)
Starmer (27%) vs Davey (25%)

Davey (41%) vs Farage (27%)
Davey (33%) vs Badenoch (21%)

Badenoch (29%) vs Farage (25%)

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[-] [email protected] 12 points 1 week ago

For all the talk of a Reform surge, this has to strongly indicate that they're near their peak. For a comparable datapoint from history, Labour held a polling lead from 2010 to mid 2015 over the Conservatives, but Milliband never out-polled Cameron on "best PM" questions, Cameron then of course went on to win the 2015 GE.

[-] [email protected] 6 points 1 week ago

if you look at the data from the elections earlier this month, it seems like the real danger is that many labor voters have simply stopped voting

They're not voting for other parties. They've simply stopped showing up to polls at all.

[-] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

This is therefore the time for the Greens to capitalise and try and capture the apathetic by pushing for proportional representation. Unfortunately, the English Greens don't seem to have the same competence as the Scottish Greens, so them actually managing to do so is slim :/

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago

That's how it played out in the US. More than 10 million less voters in '24 than '20. Political fatigue is insidious

this post was submitted on 27 May 2025
28 points (100.0% liked)

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