this post was submitted on 18 Feb 2025
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Summary

European officials are preparing a multibillion-dollar defense package to bolster regional security and support Ukraine, announced by German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock at the Munich Security Conference.

The package, potentially valued up to 700 billion euros, will fund military training, arms deliveries, and security guarantees amid concerns over Russian aggression and diminishing U.S. contributions to NATO.

The move follows calls for Europe to boost its own defense spending while U.S.-Russian talks, which exclude Ukraine and Europe, on ending the Ukraine conflict continue.

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[–] [email protected] 23 points 3 days ago (4 children)

I think we should give a nuke to Ukraine. One would be enough to stop all this BS.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Funny enough, when the USSR split up, Ukraine did have nukes, briefly. It was, you guessed it, the US that convinced them to give all their warheads to Russia.

Source: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-trilateral-process-the-united-states-ukraine-russia-and-nuclear-weapons/

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago

Yeah, I heard that. But I think that Ukraine couldn't actually use the nukes so they were of limited use, like maybe they could have been repurposed or something. But yeah no doubt about it, Ukraine got screwed and now they're finishing the job. I hope they sell their resources to anyone else, China or North Korea before they let Russia or the US have them.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 2 days ago

Them not being involved in the peace talks underlines again how indispensable nuclear weapons are, sadly.

The DSA playing hopscotch with whose ally they are underlines how worthless a shared nuclear umbrella can be.

So a grim lesson for Ukraine, Europe, Taiwan and pretty much any country with any border tensions, or anything another aspiring imperialist might find desireable: Get nukes, own them yourselfes, or risk being thrown aside or being steamrolled. Trump undoing decades of existential anti-proliferation work in mere days.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 days ago (2 children)

I keep hoping the Palestinians will get their hands on one for the same reason.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

so what would you think hamas do with nukes?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The same thing every other country does with nukes.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 2 days ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Is that a serious point you're trying to make?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I thought you put it together already. Hamas' willingness to sacrifice Palestinians is only second to IDF. They'd drop that bomb without hesitation if that meant the final defeat of Israel.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I think your analysis might be the silliest thing I've ever seen. A nuclear bomb in both nations' hands is the only thing that is going to end this war. It's called 'Mutually-Assured Destruction'.

But thank you for response.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

the only thing that is going to end this war. It’s called ‘Mutually-Assured Destruction’.

The IDF wouldn't drop a bomb on their own citizens because their prime ideology is jewish supremacy, plus they have the military might without it. Hamas, OTOH would have no qualms about it. I can't figure out if you are sarcastic here, but mutual destruction is exactly what would happen, so if you're saying that nuclear annihilation is the only way to stop this war, then you might be right, but generally that's the least favorable outcome.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The limited military capabilities of Palestinians has restrained Israel’s actions.

How should Palestinians use that nuke?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The limited military capabilities of Palestinians has restrained Israel’s actions.

If you say so.

How should Palestinians use that nuke?

They shouldn't use it, per se.

Just make threats with it, like most countries do. Having a nuke is a deterrent.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I don't think Israel would care. Or the USA

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago

I mean, if you're assuming the worst, a nuclear strike could pretty much wipe israel almost entirely off the map. With a more conservative and realistic positioning, you know, one singular, small nuke, probably sourced from somewhere else, then you'd still be looking at probably 20,000 people dead or injured if it were to hit the downtown of any city. You know, ten times the amount of october 7th. That would be a huge international incident, especially seeing as how the nuke would have to be provided by some other foreign government, which means that there could be a chance of a probably unpreventable follow-up attack at almost any time. It would be a pretty big deal, even if they were credibly threatened. I mean, that's part of why Iran isn't allowed to have a nuclear program.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

One won’t be enough. If they use it, Russia will at least hit the whole frontline with tactical nukes, maybe wipe out a city or two. That means Ukraine can’t use it, making it as valuable as a paperweight. For credible nuclear deterrence a country needs a few dozen nuclear weapons and more than one delivery method.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Noone who has nukes can use them, but that's not the point. Just the threat is enough. One nuke with enough juice to get it to Moscow would be enough. I'm pretty sure if any country ever used a nuke, the whole world would explode.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

The threat needs to be credible though. One bomb is not enough because it could be destroyed in a first strike without fear of a second strike.

One bomb won’t make it to Moscow. Air defense will take down a single attacking missile or plane.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

There are air defenses that could potentially shoot down a missile before it hits its target. So one means there's merely a probability of destroying Moscow. A psychopath like Putin may be willing to take that risk, and even if Moscow got nuked, Russia would still exist (though obviously it would be significantly diminished), and he'd have justification for using nukes on Ukraine.

For MAD to apply you need enough nukes to be an existential threat to another country when you're dealing with psychopaths that would be fine with potentially millions of people dying if it means they come out on top in a war.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago

I think he'd be smart enough to not want to take the risk of destroying so much. Yeah he's a psychopath but who would gamble with that kind of destruction... I guess if the nuke failed to explode that's another consideration but I'd assumed even if the air defences worked in any sense, the nuke would still detonate? If that happened in the air, wouldn't it kill/maim a lot of people and taint land with the radioactivity?

What worries me is that the UK nukes are (I think) unable to be used without US authority so at the moment they're essentially useless even as a deterrent. I saw Kier Starmer giving that speech recently and yep, we're in trouble lol, he's no good at hiding his feelings. I almost feel sorry for him, except that I remember what he did to become the labour leader.