this post was submitted on 30 Nov 2024
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Trump is oblivious to the fact that BRICS is now a bigger economy than the G7. The US is no longer an essential part of the global economy.

Increasing trade outside of the dollar is the only way countries can protect themselves from economic coercion by the US. In particular, China can obviously see that the US will go after them the same way they did with Russia. So, it would be suicide to agree to tie their global trade to the dollar.

Meanwhile, China also happens to be a bigger trade partner than the US for most of the world. So if it comes to choosing between the US and China, it's not really much of a choice. Especially given that China exports things people actually need, while the US barely has any manufacturing industry left accounting for less than 15% of the overall economy. The US is a big market, but it's not essential the way China is.

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (2 children)

Historically the US would go to war or even coup countries to force them to trade with the US, it has spent a very long time building up its dollar hegemony. If it suddenly switches to cutting off trade with its largest trading partners, that will basically disappear overnight. It is already disappearing gradually because of US's obsessive use of sanctions has created a whole bloc of countries that have no choice but to figure out how to bypass the US dollar. I wouldn't even consider the US threatening to cut trade ties all its largest trading partners as "bullying," it really reflects how much weaker the US has become, because in the past it would just use force to enforce its hegemony over global trade, now it seems too weak to it is just threatening to throw a temper tantrum and threatening to pull out of the global market instead, despite this being something that will ultimately cause whatever is left of US hegemony to collapse overnight. I would bet a lot of money the US would not actually do this, Trump is just bluffing, because I'm sure he's surrounded by people who actually do care about maintaining US control.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

If Biden has revealed anything about the office of the US presidency, it's that the president doesn't actually seem to control much of anything. The president can be a walking corpse and the state handlers will continue to follow the script.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 weeks ago

So basically, great man theory is bunk

[–] [email protected] 11 points 3 weeks ago

The problem US has is that the countries at the centre of BRICS are too big for them to take on.