electoralism

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US Election Day November 2024 Containment Megathread (hexbear.net)

submitted 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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put all of your election posting here so it doesn't bother anyone else!

from @[email protected]:

For Agitprop purposes, I’m asking comrades to help aggregate any and all effortpost responses, critiques, or general thoughts that you have seen or written pertaining to yesterday’s U.S. election that you think have standalone value for discussion either online or IRL.

I made a post for that purpose here, and ideally it can be used not only for general discussion, but as a reference for well thought out responses in discussions about the election to save all of us some brainpower.

No shitposts please, as we’d like to highlight some comrades’ actual effort in constructing responses or analysis, but humor is 100% welcome to help make your point!

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Per the Economist's tallying of all reported counties thus far and comparing them to 2020, seems like an overall +8 swing to Trump/Republicans. Early yet, but could be a sign all is not well for the Dems. https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/results/president

[–] [email protected] 12 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

This combined with over 70% of voters dissatisfied or angry with the state of the US according to CNN exit polling, is painting a poor early picture for the Democrats.

Also Georgia not looking good for the Dems...

Georgia will report early in-person and absentee ballots by 8pm Eastern time, probably giving Democrats an early lead. This will erode as Republican-leaning election-day votes are counted. Unless the state is very close, we should know the result early.

Trump is up by 13% in Georgia...

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Yeah, it could very well be bratover

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago

power-stride

[–] [email protected] 11 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Is that weighted to account for the fact there are more Republican counties than Dem? Cuz it seems like overall red areas are getting redder and likewise for blue areas, which could create the illusion of a swing for Republicans if the population of those counties is not considered. On its face though, definitely not a great sign for the blue team

[–] [email protected] 10 points 6 months ago

I don't think it's weighted like that, no. Yeah this could be about the geographic sorting in the US, where Republicans move to Republican areas and vice versa, and the early counties are all pretty Republican thus far. I think it's weighted by population though, so it should at least avoid your thing where there's just more Republican counties overall.