this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2024
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electoralism
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Idk if betting odds aggregators are a reliable signal. Betting bros are far more likely to be right wing IMO.
True, but they get less partial when their money's involved. In 2016 they gave Clinton an 80% over Trump's 20, and like all the polls too, guessed that one very wrong.
It's generally much more reliable than polling tho: https://electionbettingodds.com/TrackRecord.html