this post was submitted on 13 Oct 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (3 children)

The media wants a race. That’s the only way they get viewers.

[–] [email protected] 71 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Or... it really is THAT close of a race. When we shrug it off as "the media just wants a race" we get complacent.

www.vote.gov make sure you're registered and double check even if you think you already are. Early voting is happening in some states. Get active

[–] [email protected] 27 points 1 month ago

Always vote like your vote will make a difference. It might, especially local races. If we accidentally turn the election into a sweep by everyone voting, oh well.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Who’s shrugging off anything? Did I say that? Nope. I’m just saying that we can have a close race and it still be true that Harris holds a 3-point lead nationally and small leads in the swing states. My point is that the media ALWAYS try making it even closer than what it is. Do you disagree with that?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago

It could also be true that Trump holds a 3 point lead. It could go both ways.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It can be both things.

There are no definitive data points that should lead anyone to believe that either candidate has a significant advantage.

I'm not sure anyone who is well versed in election projections or polling would say anything other than it's a toss up. As a heavy consumer of said data and reporting, I haven't seen anything to the contrary.

You're not wrong about media incentives, but they're also not wrong that this is a very close race.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Thank you! That was point. It’s close. Harris holds a steady, yet small lead. The media will always make it seem closer than what it is though for ratings.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Landslide stomps get views too. They made a game of Reagan's run in literally 1984 trying to predict if he could win all 50 states or not. (He fell one short).