this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2024
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[–] [email protected] 44 points 1 week ago (8 children)

Israel Hayom - Israel to classify West Bank as 'combat zone'

Recent events have triggered a major policy shift in Israel's approach to the West Bank, Israel Hayom has learned. Previously designated as a "secondary arena" requiring stable maintenance since the war's onset, recent attacks have convinced top officials that this stance is no longer tenable. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) now operate under a new paradigm, viewing the West Bank as the second most critical front, immediately after Gaza.

While this directive is still in its initial stages, with substantial changes on the ground expected to take time, a series of operations across the West Bank are imminent. "The Jenin operation is just the beginning," security officials emphasize.

Palestinian security mechanisms, driven by self-interest rather than goodwill towards Israel, have been cooperating substantially with Israeli forces, including during Sunday's attack. A heavy-handed operation risks triggering a broader escalation, which Israel seeks to avoid. However, there's a growing consensus that aggressive action against the severe terrorism emanating from the city is necessary. As a result, we may see large-scale, intelligence-driven operations, coupled with encirclements around the city, a strategy already in play.

The prevailing assumption is that a major attack could be imminent. While last week's incident occurred in Gush Etzion, security officials warn that future attacks could target Jerusalem, Beersheba, or Tel Aviv.

First they came for Gaza, then for the West Bank, later they’ll go for Hezbollah, pam pam pam one by one they’ll mow the grass.

The axis of resistance should have functioned in a NATO-like fashion. All-in, one for all and all for one. Instead they’re allowing Israel to cycle over them one by one yet again.

[–] [email protected] 49 points 1 week ago (5 children)

Israel's economy is in shambles, its people fleeing in large numbers back to their homes in Europe and USA, its military force in tatters and its troops in hospitals or the ground. The resistance knows what they're about, don't succumb to doomerism.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (4 children)

I don’t see a theory of victory for the axis.

Economic collapse doesn’t end Israel.

And maybe they’re suffering “heavy” casualties but heavy means uncomfortable rather than unsustainable. They can sustain these losses.

The closest I can see is that Israel becomes a pariah like South Africa but if they have the US and the EU behind them, they survive.

Tell me how I’m wrong?

Like, their economy retracts by 40% or something crazy and then what happens?

I don’t see Israel defeating the axis but I don’t see how the situation changes from what it is now.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

This feels a little strange when history is littered with the corpses of settler-colonial states that were backed by major imperial powers - which were actually STRONGER back then than they are today.

Like, let's go down the checklist here:

  1. Can Israel be invaded and conquered from a neighbouring country? No, almost certainly not, without some dramatic changes in the stances of those countries (a political collapse in Egypt and Jordan). Hezbollah does have forces that are designed to infiltrate and invade Israel but even with 100,000+ men, it isn't enough to hold the entire country, including the cities; only a substantial part of the north. Therefore, Israel will not end via a tank parade through Tel Aviv.

  2. Can Israel be blockaded into collapse? Yes. Yemen has demonstrated that naval blockades are relatively easy to establish even against the most powerful navy on the planet. Hezbollah also has anti-ship capabilities. Israel can still be supplied via road, which would be trickier to disrupt, but road transportation is insufficient to supply a country the size of Israel with anything but the barest essentials. Civilian airports and the planes that would carry goods in are prime targets and could be disrupted to the point of uselessness. Ending Israel this way is therefore plausible, but will mean a regional war which would kill hundreds of thousands of people and so should be avoided if better options are available, or unless Israel starts that war itself.

  3. Can Israel be engineered into an internal political collapse? It seems probable. Even without a full blockade, Israeli society is economically suffering greatly, and internal refugees from the north will put increasing pressure on the resources and social cohesion of the country. A lack of results in the war and external pressure, as well as the fleeing of settlers who have foreign citizenship, could eventually boil over into sufficient anger to topple the state, whether from a group of disaffected Israelis, or something more like a palace coup. We've already seen massive protests in Israel and government disunity. The issue is, of course, that most Israelis are genocidal fascists who don't disagree with the government on what to do (brutally murder every Muslim within a thousand miles), merely how to do it. But we have seen this pattern before - one example is Algeria, in which the OAS became angry at the French government for not fighting Algeria well enough, and tried to assassinate De Gaulle and others because of it. Algeria still achieved independence.

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