this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2022
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[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (2 children)

your comment is clearly formulated in a way so that my reply to it should give my reasons why i believe russia is likely to invade ukraine, which isn't bad in any way of course (formulation, not invasion), but, i'm afraid there's not much i can offer besides the existing satellite pictures, convoy footage, articles and other news coverage, intelligence of other countries etc, which you no doubt have already seen

don't get me wrong, i, more than anyone would like this whole thing to turn out to be a too-far-taken negotiating tactic for russia's demands to stop expansion of nato, bc i have ukranian friends who are likely to get drafted, some of my closest friends in russia were at risk of being drafted even before this whole thing started, i myself could get drafted in the event of a war

i would be really happy to be able to look back at this comment in a year and laugh at how ridiculous this whole thing was, but, one thing we've learned is that we'll never fail to be surprised by the kind of fucked up shit a crazy, nationalistic autocrat with zero oversight catering to a nationalistic population can do...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Russia is clearly the aggressor here.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

russia is a country with the most number of nuclear weapons in the world, being extremely sensitive about any border disputes, fueled by an unfortunate self-perpetuating symbiosis of a large portion of the population being nationalistic being catered to by an equally nationalistic autocrat...

no sensible country would touch such an explosive combination country with a long pole, let alone try to invade, which would virtually guarantee mutual destruction with nuclear weapons...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

fueled by an unfortunate self-perpetuating symbiosis of a large portion of the population being nationalistic being catered to by an equally nationalistic autocrat…

Not all nationalisms are equal. Russia's nationalism has invaded 0 countries, and has like 4 external military bases that are holdovers from the USSR. I'm showing you a picture of dozens of NATO bases used to launch invasions and encroachments for Euro-american chauvinist interests, like as @[email protected] mentioned, in Yugoslavia, Syria, Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq.

How many countries has Russia since the 1990s, compared to NATO?

[–] [email protected] -1 points 2 years ago

Not all nationalisms are equal. Russia’s nationalism has invaded 0 countries,

Sakartvelo?

Every night, Russian soldiers move the border markers a few meters south, and people living close to it always wonder if they will wake up having become Russian residents while they slept.