this post was submitted on 11 Jul 2024
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"Trump is a felon. He is a pathological liar. He is a menace," wrote the Vermont senator. "But the national conversation is focused on President Biden's age and capacity. Only he can change it."

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[โ€“] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

I would say there is a real chance for it to go the other way.

Alright, why do you believe that? Whenever I ask, I get a response that boils down to vibes and bad polling data, and whenever I give my reasons, I get downvoted to hell by people who refuse to answer any questions. I think this is a psy-op, honestly.

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago

Well, my opinion is that: 1. It is largely a popularity contest and Trump is still insanely popular with his crowd and Biden is not popular in general 2. The Maga crowd will certainly vote, so the Democrats would need to be united and show up to beat that. With any real doubt about Biden, I think a large enough to matter amount of Dems will either not vote or vote for other.