Geopolitics

I see this larger plan coming together. When China agreed to be exploited by the west to get their MOP they didn't have the plans for MOP, they couldn't build the machinery or processes if they wanted to. Despite exporting the physical machinery or much of it and the processes the west still has the plans and in fact much of what the west now makes is various parts of the machinery of production which is up the value and even tech chain from the products themselves in many places. So it's not necessary for them to take all of the MOP or even most of it from China and put it somewhere else physically.

Mark my words, if they try it they aren't going to wait, nor do they need to, for all supply chains to be replaced. The world won't end, reign of the bourgeoisie won't end if suddenly there are supply shortages in the west. We saw it with covid, they just used it as an excuse to fire more people and raise prices and profit margins. And by and large the western proletariat will take it, will believe they've lost nothing more than low quality slave labor in losing Chinese goods. They'll wait patiently to get on a payment plan that equals out to $1500 for a new iPhone over 2 years and blame China for it and foreigners as usual by design. They'll seek to support an increase in the exploitation of the lowest rungs of society, of the minimum wage and gig workers, of the global south to bolster their own positions economically and happily support in power and action reactionary policies, crackdowns on labor, expansion of imperialist practices and violence (including at home), coups, color revolutions, operation freedomburger 5.0, etc.

The only thing they're really left waiting on which can't be gotten around is chips supply which is why they're trying and failing to set up fabs in the US. But that doesn't matter, India, occupied Korea, both happy to oblige the US in setting up fabs with horrible working conditions for the US and at the end of the day the US can probably just import a bunch of Indian workers on visas to run its own ill conceived fabs. TSMC is probably slow-walking it but they can't delay forever and there are competitors like Samsung and other occupied Korean giants to consider.

India's true success and rising as a capitalist nation under a caste-loving religious extremist ideology is built off, must be built off the back of Chinese decline and isolation and I feel they know this so at the end of the day their fortune is not with BRICS, only if the west completely collapsed and there was no hope of taking China's manufacturing and getting western investment would it be the case that BRICS would hold more appeal. The pull from the west, serving to undermine China and BRICS as a whole is why India is a poison pill within it. They seek their own power, their own way as they put it in the cold war, but that way is at the expense of others, happily on their backs and corpses, it's about India for only India unlike China's philosophy or even some of what Russia does to curry favor with other nations that the USSR historically had good relations with in order to hold onto some power as a rising nation.

They must not be trusted. It is not wise or anything but hopium to claim they're on the verge of a communist take-over. It's not going to happen. I've heard too many comrades from India talk of the colonized mindset of other Indians, add in a backwards reactionary system like the caste system and their religious reactionary tendencies, add in jealousy towards China a very similar power who did better than them and is like a more successful neighbor they're bitter towards, add in how good at suppressing communism they west has gotten and I just don't see India as anything but at best a thorn in the side.

After all they started out humiliated and formerly colonized just like China yet in the cold war they didn't have a communist revolution despite being really close to the USSR, in the 70 years since they haven't had one and are no closer to having one, they're farther I'd say in fact. The Hindu idea of reincarnation and of people being born into a place they deserve based off past lives (excuse me if I am mixing up Buddhism here, I'm not positive) is very reactionary, it like the Protestant work ethic demands hard labor in this life for a shot at a better life next go around or after the death, it says those in lower castes or positions are there for a reason and it is not the place of man to question god(s). Both are very effective inoculations against class consciousness and proletarian power.

The road ahead is a very rocky and hard one, I see many places that could lead to the entire world falling into barbarity and perpetual darkness. I trust Russia much further than India based purely off the benefits each stands to gain from different orders of the world gaining or losing power.